August Weather Discussion

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Mr. T
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rnmm wrote:
Sorry if I sound like an idiot here, but what are the normal temps for our area for this time of year?
mid 90s ... mid 70s

If a frontal boundary does move into the area, it would become a great focus for showers and thunderstorms. I could see a few highs in the 80s next week like we saw in July.
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Thank you Mr. T, the 80's would be a welcome sight in my opinion. I will be glad when the humidity isn't so high!!
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Mr. T
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rnmm wrote:Thank you Mr. T, the 80's would be a welcome sight in my opinion. I will be glad when the humidity isn't so high!!
If we can get the upper trough over the Great Lakes next week to dig fairly far to the south, maybe we can get some drier dewpoint air to advect into the area from the east... That'd be nice
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I think the biggest change in temps around here over the past few years has been the very warm overnight lows. We consistently stay higher than our average at night.
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Mr. T
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Candy Cane wrote:I think the biggest change in temps around here over the past few years has been the very warm overnight lows. We consistently stay higher than our average at night.
Definitely. The UHI at IAH has made the current 1971-2000 climate normals virtually useless. Overnight lows have been getting so warm at IAH, sometimes even Hobby Airport has a cooler overnight low than IAH (for example, this morning). I can tell you that it was not 83 degrees this morning on the north side of town. I was up around 7:30 this morning when the outdoor thermometer read 80 degrees, which was the same as Hooks. Hooks is a much better representation of what temperatures are like WHERE PEOPLE ACTUALLY LIVE north of the Beltway

Check out this morning's low temps:
Hooks 80
Sugar Land 79
Hobby 81
College Station 79
Conroe 78
Huntsville 78
IAH 83

lolwut? Thanks to IAH being an awful climate site, today's low for the city of Houston will officially be 83 degrees.

I mean, yeah, it's only a couple of degrees off of what it should be. But, when this site is consistently doing it every single day of the month, the temperature departure is suddenly out of whack compared to nearby sites (sometimes up to 2 or 3 degrees warmer than surrounding departures). This is because of the usage of the 1971-2000 climate normals at IAH. This period was before UHI really became a big issue at IAH over the last decade thanks to all of the development that has occured at the airport (more concrete, less trees)

Pardon my french, but that is f'n ridiculous.

If you look around at other locations that are not IAH, like Hooks or Sugar Land, there hasn't been a change in overnight lows for the past couple of years.

This is what happens when you designate an official climate site 5 ft. from a runway.
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Mr. T
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CLIMATE...
A RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE WAS OBSERVED YESTERDAY MORNING
AT HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT. THIS READING TIED THE RECORD
SET FOR THE MONTH OF AUGUST...AND IS ONLY ONE DEGREE SHY OF THE
ALL-TIME HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORD FOR HOUSTON.

HOUSTON/IAH: MIN TEMP 83 DEGREES
NEW RECORD FOR THE DATE (PREVIOUS RECORD 81 DEGREES SET IN 2008)
TIES RECORD FOR THE MONTH OF AUGUST (LAST SET AUGUST 4 1980)
ALL-TIME RECORD: 84 DEGREES SET ON JULY 29 1895

Sorry, HGX. Nobody cares about these inflated readings anymore. I know you guys are just about as giddy as a schoolgirl that it's just so close to the all-time record, but why are the surrounding climate sites nowhere near their daily records, hmmm?
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What do the highs and lows for the second half of next week and next weekend look like, Mr. T? A return of typical August temperatuers & heat?
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srainhoutx
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While we do not know if Ex TD 5 will regenerate as it migrates W early this week into a Tropical system again, it does appear that rain chances will increase...here's hoping anyway...
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srainhoutx
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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
259 PM CDT SAT AUG 14 2010

...HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-151130-
/O.NEW.KHGX.HT.Y.0002.100814T1959Z-100816T0100Z/
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-
MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALVIN...ANAHUAC...ANGLETON...BAY CITY...
BELLVILLE...BRENHAM...BROOKSHIRE...BRYAN...CALDWELL...CLEVELAND...
COLDSPRING...COLLEGE STATION...COLUMBUS...CONROE...CORRIGAN...
CROCKETT...DAYTON...EAGLE LAKE...EDNA...EL CAMPO...FREEPORT...
FRIENDSWOOD...GALVESTON...GROVETON...HEMPSTEAD...HOUSTON...
HUMBLE...HUNTSVILLE...KATY...LAKE JACKSON...LAKE SOMERVILLE...
LEAGUE CITY...LIBERTY...LIVINGSTON...MADISONVILLE...
MISSOURI CITY...MONT BELVIEU...NAVASOTA...ONALASKA...PALACIOS...
PASADENA...PEARLAND...PIERCE...PRAIRIE VIEW...RICHMOND...
ROSENBERG...SEALY...SHEPHERD...SUGAR LAND...TEXAS CITY...
THE WOODLANDS...TOMBALL...TRINITY...WEIMAR...WHARTON...WILLIS...
WINNIE
259 PM CDT SAT AUG 14 2010

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT SUNDAY.

HEAT INDEX VALUES HAVE RISEN ABOVE 108 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON AT
A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES
REACHED THE MID 90S TO NEAR 100 AND DEWPOINTS HAVE REMAINED IN THE
70S.

NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE HEAT IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY WITH HEAT INDEX
VALUES LIKELY PEAKING IN THE 106 TO 112 DEGREE RANGE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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wxdata
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0z run shifted rains eastward a bit
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tireman4
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I Just saw a blurb in Saturday's Houston Chronicle. As of August 15, we ( Houston) are averaging 88.1 degrees. That qualifies on track as the hottest August ever. Great.
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Mr. T wrote:
Candy Cane wrote:I think the biggest change in temps around here over the past few years has been the very warm overnight lows. We consistently stay higher than our average at night.
Definitely. The UHI at IAH has made the current 1971-2000 climate normals virtually useless. Overnight lows have been getting so warm at IAH, sometimes even Hobby Airport has a cooler overnight low than IAH (for example, this morning). I can tell you that it was not 83 degrees this morning on the north side of town. I was up around 7:30 this morning when the outdoor thermometer read 80 degrees, which was the same as Hooks. Hooks is a much better representation of what temperatures are like WHERE PEOPLE ACTUALLY LIVE north of the Beltway

Check out this morning's low temps:
Hooks 80
Sugar Land 79
Hobby 81
College Station 79
Conroe 78
Huntsville 78
IAH 83

lolwut? Thanks to IAH being an awful climate site, today's low for the city of Houston will officially be 83 degrees.

I mean, yeah, it's only a couple of degrees off of what it should be. But, when this site is consistently doing it every single day of the month, the temperature departure is suddenly out of whack compared to nearby sites (sometimes up to 2 or 3 degrees warmer than surrounding departures). This is because of the usage of the 1971-2000 climate normals at IAH. This period was before UHI really became a big issue at IAH over the last decade thanks to all of the development that has occured at the airport (more concrete, less trees)

Pardon my french, but that is f'n ridiculous.

If you look around at other locations that are not IAH, like Hooks or Sugar Land, there hasn't been a change in overnight lows for the past couple of years.

This is what happens when you designate an official climate site 5 ft. from a runway.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Can you show the data from the stations you mentioned, and maybe go back further than a couple of years? I'd be curious to see how big the trends are in those locations. I would imagine their increases aren't as much as stations with UHI, but the overall trend is still up.

Globally we just had the warmest six months on record (Jan-Jun 2010). So what's your point exactly?
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Well we were at 99 degrees for 4 straight hours today at IAH. Anybody think we popped to 100 during obs?
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svrwx0503
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Going to have to keep an eye on the developing line of showers and thunderstorms across our northeastern counties currently moving southwest. Surface analysis shows a moist and unstable air mass resides across the region. It is interesting to note that we are seeing some decent downdraft CAPE values along with good low level lapse rates indicating the potential for strong winds with the strongest storms. In the least, it looks like a good portion of the area, especially along and east of I-45 will see some cooling rain or at least increased cloud cover.
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Mrs.Frosty
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Woohooo...thundering and raining here in Cleveland !
Got some nice wind gusts from the ouflow earlier which was also nicely visible to see that line roll through !
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svrwx0503
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It is oppressively hot ahead of the line of storms. As of 2pm below is a list of current temps and heat heat indices, bold indicating heat advisory criteria.

IAH: 100, 111
HOU: 98, 106
SGR: 96, 107
DWH: 99, 108
CXO (Conroe): 101, 111
UTS (Huntsville): 101, 109
CLL: 102, 108
GLS: 94, 107
LBX: 94, 107
LVJ (Pearland): 97, 107
Wharton: 104, 112

Edit: It is 98 here at UH main campus with a heat index of 108 and clam winds.

Of course there has been debate on whether IAH is an as accurate as it could be although it looks alright this afternoon as many locations north of I-10 are at or above 100. Take it easy out there!
Last edited by svrwx0503 on Mon Aug 16, 2010 2:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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srainhoutx
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Strong winds a threat over the Bay and surround Coastal Waters...

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
221 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
GALVESTON BAY...
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM...

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT

* AT 218 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORM...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER
FROM LIBERTY TO HANKAMER TO SABINE PASS...MOVING SOUTH SOUTHWEST
AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. BEAUMONT RECORDED A WIND GUST OF 41 KNOTS WITH
THIS LINE OF STORMS.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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svrwx0503
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Even if you don't see much rain, the outflow boundary will likely drop temperatures a good 10-15 degrees as it passes by. It recently passed one of our met stations in west central Liberty county just off of FM 1960 dropping the temp from 98 to 84 in about 5-10min with winds gusting to 35-40mph.
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svrwx0503
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You can check out our network of stations around the region using the link below. The site I was referring to above is our West Liberty one.

http://www.hnet.uh.edu
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Mr. T
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As the outflow boundary moved through, the temperature went from 100 to 88 here in Kingwood in about 10 minutes. The skies really darkened and the winds really picked up. It was pretty fun...

We are now recieving a nice batch of thunder and heavy rain. A very welcome sight, indeed...
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