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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Fri Dec 03, 2021 11:18 am
by DoctorMu
Panhandle snow mid month on GFS. 2-3 frosts around here. First major blue norther. We'll see.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sat Dec 04, 2021 1:27 am
by Stratton20
Model trends over the past 24 hours have been very positive! Lets hope this continues
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sat Dec 04, 2021 8:29 am
by Iceresistance
Stratton20 wrote: βSat Dec 04, 2021 1:27 am
Model trends over the past 24 hours have been very positive! Lets hope this continues
The GEFS is having a weaker signal now
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sat Dec 04, 2021 9:19 am
by Kingwood36
Models are just having one hell of a time trying to figure out what to do
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sat Dec 04, 2021 10:41 am
by Stratton20
Iceresistance of course it is, but im buying it, the operational euro and GFS runs have been consistent the past 36 hours
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sat Dec 04, 2021 5:47 pm
by Iceresistance
18z GFS has a 1070 MB high over Greenland by Late-December
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sun Dec 05, 2021 12:07 am
by Cpv17
Iceresistance wrote: βSat Dec 04, 2021 5:47 pm
18z GFS has a 1070 MB high over Greenland by Late-December
1078 MB on the 0z GFS. Crazy.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sun Dec 05, 2021 5:00 am
by Iceresistance
Cpv17 wrote: βSun Dec 05, 2021 12:07 am
Iceresistance wrote: βSat Dec 04, 2021 5:47 pm
18z GFS has a 1070 MB high over Greenland by Late-December
1078 MB on the 0z GFS. Crazy.
Good grief! That's near the record of 1080 MB!
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sun Dec 05, 2021 8:16 am
by Kingwood36
It won't verify...9 times out of 10 they never do
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sun Dec 05, 2021 9:35 am
by snowman65
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sun Dec 05, 2021 11:36 am
by Stratton20
Im just gonna call this years winter early spring, its going to be a bust, I just dont see any cold snaps this season, oh well tine to move to sprint
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Mon Dec 06, 2021 10:20 am
by Cpv17
This is what happens when you have colder water and lower heights in the NE Pacific south of Alaska. Itβs called a +EPO and itβs absolutely killing our winter. Need to start chipping away on this so we can have a backloaded winter.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Mon Dec 06, 2021 11:53 am
by Stratton20
im starting to hear that after christmas their are signs that the EPO might go negative
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Mon Dec 06, 2021 1:00 pm
by Iceresistance
Stratton20 wrote: βMon Dec 06, 2021 11:53 am
im starting to hear that after christmas their are signs that the EPO might go negative
Take a look at this! O_O
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Mon Dec 06, 2021 1:16 pm
by Stratton20
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Mon Dec 06, 2021 2:37 pm
by Kingwood36
Well the next 12 days look depressing..tank tops and shorts
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Mon Dec 06, 2021 5:21 pm
by snowman65
Iceresistance wrote: βMon Dec 06, 2021 1:00 pm
Stratton20 wrote: βMon Dec 06, 2021 11:53 am
im starting to hear that after christmas their are signs that the EPO might go negative
Take a look at this! O_O
nahh...not buying it this year
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Mon Dec 06, 2021 5:38 pm
by Stratton20
snowman65 it literally is only december.......
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Mon Dec 06, 2021 9:38 pm
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: βMon Dec 06, 2021 5:38 pm
snowman65 it literally is only december.......
Yeah. If the MJO can get out of phase 6 into 7 that will start helping the EPO and we could have a backloaded winter. Late December around Christmas towards New Years could be interesting.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:00 am
by Iceresistance
Cpv17 wrote: βMon Dec 06, 2021 9:38 pm
Stratton20 wrote: βMon Dec 06, 2021 5:38 pm
snowman65 it literally is only december.......
Yeah. If the MJO can get out of phase 6 into 7 that will start helping the EPO and we could have a backloaded winter. Late December around Christmas towards New Years could be interesting.
If I recall correctly, was Winter 2020-2021 mostly backloaded as well?