Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Wed Jan 19, 2022 6:58 pm
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Winter Long Range Discussion
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Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 12:18 pm
Watch the 12z GEFS at your own risk.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 12:23 pm
Iceresistance what does it show
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 12:45 pm
Crazy Ensemble Member Snowfall & Mean Snowfall, but the Run is not done yet.
The fun on the GEFS really begins on February 1st.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 1:12 pm
12z GFS has something potentially big at the end of the run, & it's coming this way (More info on S2K)
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 1:21 pm
Iceresistance yup has a deep trough digging into the southwest, too bad its fantasyland because that would definitely be something interesting to watch
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 1:34 pm
Unless it develops consistencyStratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 20, 2022 1:21 pm Iceresistance yup has a deep trough digging into the southwest, too bad its fantasyland because that would definitely be something interesting to watch
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 1:37 pm
Iceresistance we will see, their is alot of cold air behind that trough on that particular run, for now just something to casually watch
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 6:11 pm
18z GFS WOW! (More info. on S2K)
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 6:23 pm
Iceresistance saw it, problem is the dreaded SE Ridge is showinf up on the run at the same time period
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 6:32 pm
Yeah that looks to be headed out west. Not down the central part of the country.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 20, 2022 6:23 pm Iceresistance saw it, problem is the dreaded SE Ridge is showinf up on the run at the same time period
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 6:38 pm
CPV17 Yep, hope the ridge doesn’t make a return, that would be a blowtorch pattern, good thing this is 16 days out so it’s definitely gonna change
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 7:04 pm
Nooooo, not the SE Ridge!Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 20, 2022 6:23 pm Iceresistance saw it, problem is the dreaded SE Ridge is showinf up on the run at the same time period
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Thu Jan 20, 2022 11:42 pm
00z GFS has moved up this potential dip in the jet from hour 384 to hour 312, when a model moves up something by a few days that’s something to definitely watch
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2022 10:14 pm
How is this not hyping anyone? Lol
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2022 10:18 pm
18z GEFS sniffing out maybe another shot at wintry mischief late next weekend? Seems to be the next Sunday timeframe
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2022 11:17 pm
Because it’s probably not coming here lol
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 23, 2022 1:57 pm
With the MJO out of action right now, it's really messing up the models, making forecasts over 5 days out very diffcult.
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 23, 2022 2:03 pm
The only good news I can see say right now is the 12z GEFS heading into the first week of february is trending cooler than normal conditions for the central US
Re: Winter Long Range Discussion
Posted: Sun Jan 23, 2022 8:29 pm
I actually don’t really think the models look all that bad. I see a lot of average or below average temps for the next couple weeks.