January 2022
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CPV17 yep and the 18z GFS has a pretty cold airmass behind that front if it plays out
Better keep that pool on 90°F!jasons2k wrote: ↑Tue Dec 28, 2021 9:08 pm As I sit out on the patio on this fine evening, next to the pool heated to 90….I can say I’m not looking forward to the cold front. Other than a lack of sunshine, this has been a most enjoyable holiday break of mild weather. Walks every day. Kids playing outside. It’s been great
Potential 50°F+ drop in temperature on Saturday in CLL...and even colder Monday am.
The 12z NAM is interesting. It has about half or possibly even more of southeast TX staying in the 30’s for a good part of the day on Sunday. The NAM usually does pretty well with temps.
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CMC and GEPS Ensembles are still sticking with 19-20°F Sunday night/Monday am in CLL.
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Check out the HRRR.
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CPV17 HRRR, which run? The current run only goes out 18-24 hours
What I meant was wait till it gets within range. It might be interesting to follow it.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:46 pm CPV17 HRRR, which run? The current run only goes out 18-24 hours
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CPV17 gotcha! The NAM is the only meso model showing this right now, not sure how good the NAM is with wintry precip though
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Any time you get a short-term model, any model, showing snow in Houston it’s an eye-opener. Certainly something worth keeping an eye on.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 30, 2021 10:23 pm CPV17 gotcha! The NAM is the only meso model showing this right now, not sure how good the NAM is with wintry precip though
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txsnowman interesting! Definitely didnt know that, I usually dont focus too much on the meso scale models
What’s the date for snow on that run? Thanks
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sambucol monday january 3rd! So definitely really close
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I really don’t put much stock into those forecast anymore.
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CPV17 I know, it seems like they arent taking into account what the GEFS and other ensembles are showing