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Re: January 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 29, 2021 5:38 pm
by Stratton20
CPV17 yep and the 18z GFS has a pretty cold airmass behind that front if it plays out
Re: January 2022
Posted: Wed Dec 29, 2021 8:10 pm
by DoctorMu
jasons2k wrote: ↑Tue Dec 28, 2021 9:08 pm
As I sit out on the patio on this fine evening, next to the pool heated to 90….I can say I’m not looking forward to the cold front. Other than a lack of sunshine, this has been a most enjoyable holiday break of mild weather. Walks every day. Kids playing outside. It’s been great
Better keep that pool on 90°F!
Potential 50°F+ drop in temperature on Saturday in CLL...and even colder Monday am.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 10:44 am
by Cpv17
The 12z NAM is interesting. It has about half or possibly even more of southeast TX staying in the 30’s for a good part of the day on Sunday. The NAM usually does pretty well with temps.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 11:10 am
by don
HGX maps
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 11:45 am
by Stratton20
Interesting to see the 12z Nam trying to show a little light wintry mix in our western counties , dont think their is enough moisture for this , though the cold air would be in place, just something cool to see, dont think it would cause any problems even if this did happen
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:22 pm
by DoctorMu
CMC and GEPS Ensembles are still sticking with 19-20°F Sunday night/Monday am in CLL.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:32 pm
by Stratton20
00z Nam 12k , what do yall think? Its only 84 hours out
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:43 pm
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:32 pm
00z Nam 12k , what do yall think? Its only 84 hours out
Check out the HRRR.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:46 pm
by Stratton20
CPV17 HRRR, which run? The current run only goes out 18-24 hours
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:55 pm
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:46 pm
CPV17 HRRR, which run? The current run only goes out 18-24 hours
What I meant was wait till it gets within range. It might be interesting to follow it.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 10:23 pm
by Stratton20
CPV17 gotcha! The NAM is the only meso model showing this right now, not sure how good the NAM is with wintry precip though
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 11:12 pm
by txsnowmaker
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 30, 2021 10:23 pm
CPV17 gotcha! The NAM is the only meso model showing this right now, not sure how good the NAM is with wintry precip though
Any time you get a short-term model, any model, showing snow in Houston it’s an eye-opener. Certainly something worth keeping an eye on.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 11:47 pm
by Stratton20
txsnowman interesting! Definitely didnt know that, I usually dont focus too much on the meso scale models
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 11:50 pm
by sambucol
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 30, 2021 9:32 pm
00z Nam 12k , what do yall think? Its only 84 hours out
What’s the date for snow on that run? Thanks
Re: January 2022
Posted: Thu Dec 30, 2021 11:53 pm
by Stratton20
sambucol monday january 3rd! So definitely really close
Re: January 2022
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 9:55 am
by don
HGX now calling for lows in the 20s for many locations.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 1:13 pm
by Kingwood36
Euro coming along with next week's front
Re: January 2022
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 2:51 pm
by Stratton20
What a joke
another above normal map from NOAA
Re: January 2022
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 3:00 pm
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Dec 31, 2021 2:51 pm
What a joke
another above normal map from NOAA
I really don’t put much stock into those forecast anymore.
Re: January 2022
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 3:12 pm
by Stratton20
CPV17 I know, it seems like they arent taking into account what the GEFS and other ensembles are showing
