February 2022

[DoctorMu]

Front is at Cypress - Klein - Spring line

[jasons2k]

Front is at Cypress - Klein - Spring line

Not quite. You can see the wind shift on radar. Just entering the NW tip of Montgomery County. Wundermap observations also confirm this. Still a blast furnace here at Harper’s Landing park.

[jasons2k]

As an aside, walking around the park, more trees are blooming than not. And the mosquitoes think it’s summer too!

[Stratton20]

jasons2k those mosquitoes are in for a rude awakening

[jasons2k]

jasons2k those mosquitoes are in for a rude awakening

I think we all are

[TexasBreeze]

More mosquitos, bees, and blooming trees are all taking place currently! That means bad news for those with pollen allergies. It may not even reach freezing here with this front and even if so it shouldn't be a big deal. Nw parts of the area and Austin/DFW will be a different story!

[jasons2k]

You can see the front on TIAH radar approaching New Waverley and Plantersville.

[DoctorMu]

Front is at Cypress - Klein - Spring line

Not quite. You can see the wind shift on radar. Just entering the NW tip of Montgomery County. Wundermap observations also confirm this. Still a blast furnace here at Harper’s Landing park.

Wundermap observations are often not real time. DPs, wind direction and velocity, temps are often wrong.

I have a world wind map which is quite accurate, and I used precise longitude and latitude and linked to Google maps.

Having said that, the front has now stalled around -95.01 W, 30.22 N ; 5 mi ENE of Plum Grove.

re: Precip. mode. Precip can be in front or behind the front.

[walsean1]

Could someone explain why we would not have the greater Houston area temperatures not climb out of the 30s. Instead of predicted highs of 40s and 50s? I thought this was an Arctic front that would give us colder weather that what is not expected.

[jasons2k]

Front 7:38: Willis - Todd Mission - Hempstead

[jasons2k]

Front is at Cypress - Klein - Spring line

Not quite. You can see the wind shift on radar. Just entering the NW tip of Montgomery County. Wundermap observations also confirm this. Still a blast furnace here at Harper’s Landing park.

Wundermap observations are often not real time. DPs, wind direction and velocity, temps are often wrong.

I have a world wind map which is quite accurate, and I used precise longitude and latitude and linked to Google maps.

Having said that, the front has now stalled around -95.01 W, 30.22 N ; 5 mi ENE of Plum Grove.

re: Precip. mode. Precip can be in front or behind the front.

In hi-res mode it’s picking-up the actual wind shift. The short range doppler in Tomball is great for this.

Red, Meet Green.

[Stratton20]

walsean1 houston will likely be in the 40’s for highs, the further north you are its note likely you will be in the 30’s all day tommorow , this is an arctic front and forecasting high temperatures with a really strong front like this is very difficult

[Andrew]

Could someone explain why we would not have the greater Houston area temperatures not climb out of the 30s. Instead of predicted highs of 40s and 50s? I thought this was an Arctic front that would give us colder weather that what is not expected.

Cold air no matter the origin will still see some modification/warming as it tracks south. Additionally, with these type of dense/shallow cold air setups, the cold air will often funnel straight south before tracking towards the east. As a result, we get more of a "glancing" blow initially. Still, I would not be surprised to see a lot of the region in the 40s by midafternoon with areas further northwest in the 30s.

[jasons2k]

If the front was 5 miles from Plum Grove, it would have passed through the park here at Harper’s Landing, maybe even my house in Imperial Oaks.

It’s not. It’s not even through Conroe yet.

I think that wind map is bit off.

[suprdav2]

I'm in Cypress, and my weather station is saying it's 74° with 84% humidity currently. And dewpoint is 68°. Had a high of 84°.

[Stratton20]

Things are starting to look a little more interesting potentially for NW Counties, the 00z NAM has me hovering around 30-32 for most of the day tomorrow with some freezing drizzle but the afternoon

[walsean1]

Could someone explain why we would not have the greater Houston area temperatures not climb out of the 30s. Instead of predicted highs of 40s and 50s? I thought this was an Arctic front that would give us colder weather that what is not expected.

Cold air no matter the origin will still see some modification/warming as it tracks south. Additionally, with these type of dense/shallow cold air setups, the cold air will often funnel straight south before tracking towards the east. As a result, we get more of a "glancing" blow initially. Still, I would not be surprised to see a lot of the region in the 40s by midafternoon with areas further northwest in the 30s.

Thanks for the clarification

[Cpv17]

walsean1 houston will likely be in the 40’s for highs, the further north you are its note likely you will be in the 30’s all day tommorow , this is an arctic front and forecasting high temperatures with a really strong front like this is very difficult

Actually with this front the more west you go, the colder. Not really so much north. San Antonio will be a good bit colder than Houston. Possibly even Corpus Christi.

[walsean1]

walsean1 houston will likely be in the 40’s for highs, the further north you are its note likely you will be in the 30’s all day tommorow , this is an arctic front and forecasting high temperatures with a really strong front like this is very difficult

Actually with this front the more west you go, the colder. Not really so much north. San Antonio will be a good bit colder than Houston. Possibly even Corpus Christi.

What is the difference with this arctic air versus 2021 arctic air that had the entire state in the deep freeze?

[don]

The 0Z NAM and WRF models are all coming in colder.With the two WRF models now showing freezing drizzle near or into western portions of metro Houston.We'll need to see if this is a trend or not,cant be ruled out.