Long range model discussion

[Stratton20]

Cosgrove says a -EPO /-NAO / -AO becomes the dominant pattern for February, im expecting this thaw period to be short lived

[Cpv17]

Cosgrove says a -EPO /-NAO / -AO becomes the dominant pattern for February, im expecting this thaw period to be short lived

Hopefully we can get some cross polar flow.

[Thundersleet]

Cosgrove says a -EPO /-NAO / -AO becomes the dominant pattern for February, im expecting this thaw period to be short lived

Hopefully we can get some cross polar flow.

Here here, some cross polar flow.

[Cpv17]

Towards the end of the month the models are predicting another big blocking -NAO.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 yep, just gotta give the pattern time to recharge, hopefully we can get a couple of bigger systems in february, really sidnt get much from this event

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 yep, just gotta give the pattern time to recharge, hopefully we can get a couple of bigger systems in february, really sidnt get much from this event

Usually climo favors more snow here in late January and into February.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Man that’s a steep -EPO on the 30 day ensembles

[Stratton20]

No kidding, it really takes a nose dive!

[Cpv17]

How strong of a -EPO are we talking here? -3 value??

[MontgomeryCoWx]

The 30 day average is approaching that.

That tells me we could see potentially see 4 to 6 range.

[Cpv17]

The 30 day average is approaching that.

That tells me we could see potentially see 4 to 6 range.

Damn! Yeah, that’s impressive.

[sambucol]

Brief relaxation period after this , pattern looks to reload as the ridge reestablishes itself over alaska in the 11-16 day period, looks like end of january into all of February looks very cold

I think it was Larry Cosgrove who said a brief warm up in January then a cold February. Looking forward to more cold.

[DoctorMu]

Cosgrove says a -EPO /-NAO / -AO becomes the dominant pattern for February, im expecting this thaw period to be short lived

Hopefully we can get some cross polar flow.

Here here, some cross polar flow.

The Trifecta and Siberian Express. I'd certainly like to see it.

[Cpv17]

Hopefully we can get some cross polar flow.

Here here, some cross polar flow.

The Trifecta and Siberian Express. I'd certainly like to see it.

Me and you both.

[Cpv17]

https://x.com/bamwxcom/status/174761049 ... _m1NXPw4Cg

[Stratton20]

Beginning to see that ridge getting pumped up into Alaska on the GFS, day 11, we got a lot of winter to go, and i think its gonna be a fun february!

[sambucol]

Im looking forward to February! We are leaving our winter preps in place with the exception of the frost cloths over the plants.

[Stratton20]

Im starting to lose faith in a cold februrary, that pacific jet pattern could be coming back…..

[sambucol]

Cosgrove says it’s coming in February

[Stratton20]

Im hoping, im seeing alot of talk of the MJO stalling in the warmer phases, and allowing the pacific jet to flood the US with mild air