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captainbarbossa19 and gulf sea temps just off the northern gulf temps are bathwater, in the 86-88 degree range, that is fuel, but we will see

Edouard in 2008 and Imelda in 2019 also formed from a similar setup to what the models show next week.(Not expecting anything like Imelda rainfall wise though)

18z GFS now on board with developing a weak surface low, as don said this bares watching

Im just glad we now might have something to look forward to. Rain and cooler weather. Cmon!

This weather pattern is absolute ****. I'm trying to water a couple times a week just to try to keep my lawn and trees alive and everything is dieing anyways. The lawn is too hot to even walk on barefoot during the middle of the day.

Any rain is welcomed.

I am just watering dirt. .lol

You know the heat is bad when your only outside for a few minutes and your whole blue bell container (cookies and cream) went from solid ice cream to mush so much for being in the freezer!

Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Mon Jun 20, 2022 7:29 pm Any rain is welcomed.

Most of the models are picking up that front.




:pray

100 degree heat indices at 10PM is brutal.

0Z GFS now develops the system next week into a tropical storm off of the frontal boundary once it enters the gulf.The 0Z ICON also closes off a weak low.

Good. Bring it.

Steering currents look weak on that GFS run, kinda just meanders off the Texas for a few days before getting pulled NE by a trough

The seabreeze looks active so far today with lots of clouds and a few storms popping along the coast! Gotta look at the little wins in this pattern!

Interesting pattern today. Lots of moisture, remnant sea breeze boundary pushing inland, another one forming along the coast primed to push inland later today, a dying storm right over Harris County with the outflow spreading out and the cirrus plume fading away...

Just need some more sun.

Such a tease - I’m getting a sprinkle right now from that dying cell. Not enough to fully wet the pavement. Just enough to rub more salt.

FWIW 12Z ICON is now developing a tropical depression from the surface low that detaches from the frontal boundary next week.

GFS doesnt really show much of anything next week with the surface low, we will see what the CMC and Euro have to say though

I like the trends the models are showing for next week, we may finally get some much needed widespread rain.As a front slows down as it nears the coast and interacts with tropical moisture. Not sure about TC development yet though, but that will need to be watched also next week.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Jun 21, 2022 11:52 am GFS doesnt really show much of anything next week with the surface low, we will see what the CMC and Euro have to say though

GFS looks pretty good even without showing the surface low it has a decent amount of moisture with the frontal boundary next week.