Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 1:09 pm
Remember, the saturation points are very high. That being said, tropical rains can have training to them, causing flooding
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Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 1:44 pm
No surprise the Euro still shows no development, honestly this system could become a hurricane and the euro still wouldnt pick up on it until after making landfall
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 1:46 pm
Actually, the Euro has a slightly more defined area of vorticity to the southeast of Corpus Christi. It sends whatever forms to the NNW, so we should see some beneficial rain from this.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 25, 2022 1:44 pm No surprise the Euro still shows no development, honestly this system could become a hurricane and the euro still wouldnt pick up on it until after making landfall
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 1:55 pm
captainbarbossa19 that is true, though this will likely be weak if it develops, I still do not trust the fact that the GFS has light wind shear over the NW Gulf plus the absolute bath rocket sea temps this will be moving into, granted it will have maybe 48 hours over water, not saying we will definitely get surprised but I am a little weary that this thing “ COULD” end up surprising us , it does have a favorable environment, time over water is its big limiting factor
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 2:07 pm
48 hours over water in favorable conditions is plenty of time for a system to get going.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 25, 2022 1:55 pm captainbarbossa19 that is true, though this will likely be weak if it develops, I still do not trust the fact that the GFS has light wind shear over the NW Gulf plus the absolute bath rocket sea temps this will be moving into, granted it will have maybe 48 hours over water, not saying we will definitely get surprised but I am a little weary that this thing “ COULD” end up surprising us , it does have a favorable environment, time over water is its big limiting factor
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 3:22 pm
On the positive side, the Euro has widespread 2-3 inch totals over the next week. That will certainly help with drought conditions. Another thing to consider is that many areas may receive more than that since it is averaged. Also, this is assuming nothing of significance develops in the Gulf so the totals would likely increase if anything does.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 3:27 pm
Humberto 2007 went from an area of disturbed weather off the Upper TX Coast to a CAT 1 hurricane and landfall just E of High Island in less than 24 hours with rapid intensification.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 4:14 pm
Not weather related but the Astros just won 3-0 and no-hit the Yankees and they’re the only team since 1958 to no hit them and they’ve done it twice!
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 4:23 pm
It was an awesome game! The Yankees come into town Thursday for 1 game and Verlander and Cole are supposed to be pitching against each other!
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 4:28 pm
What makes it better is that it was against Cole in their home up there!
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 4:31 pm
Yikes, looks like im in hostile territory because im a Rangers fan haha, congratulations on the no hitter though
because im a Rangers fan haha, congratulations on the no hitter thoughRe: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 4:34 pm
I knew it!Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 25, 2022 4:31 pm Yikes, looks like im in hostile territory
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 4:43 pm
New tropical update from David Paul on youtube (khou) very interesting with some of the points he makes about our potential system next week
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 4:52 pm
Beneficial rain hopefully
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 5:11 pm
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 5:29 pm
This might be a preview of the ALCS..great baseball all three days. To the weather, still a hot one today and tomorrow. Hydrate and use caution.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 5:31 pm
Your team could be a factor later in the year for a wild card spot..Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 25, 2022 4:31 pm Yikes, looks like im in hostile territory
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 6:21 pm
18z GFS has really backed off on development and rain.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 6:24 pm
CPV 17 models are going to struggle with this type of setup considering this energy or MCS is coming down out of the US into the gulf, as for just rain chances in general, im not buying this run, 18z GEFS does have a large cluster of low pressure areas still in the gulf
Re: June 2022
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2022 7:07 pm
Yep it looks closer to the EURO solution. I think we will know alot more on whether this system has a chance or not of development once the system gets in the Gulf on Monday and we see how organized the convection gets during the day. Models will have something to initialize on and that should also help them.