Wx Infinity Forums

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 4:48 pm**

don wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 4:43 pm Big shift west on the 18Z ICON.Now has a landfall of a weak tropical storm around Matagorda. Looks more in line with the other models now.

Then go North to Northwest!

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 4:49 pm**

This system sure isn't going to be moving fast. It takes from Thursday afternoon to Saturday morning for the low to get to NE Texas on the Euro.

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 4:49 pm**

don wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 1:42 pm The EURO shows some nice rainfall totals from the system.

:pray

That would be nice!

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 4:51 pm**

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 2:33 pm
djmike wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 2:26 pm Well that qpf gives everyone but Beaumont a good chance of rain. Itll be my luck…
At least your area benefited from some of the popup storms that blew through the border over the last week. Most of us haven't seen a drop in weeks.

Hopefully this system can halt the desert feedback loop and open the door for a more "normal" rainfall pattern.

No rain in a month here.

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 4:51 pm**

captainbarbossa19 yep a slower system would be beneficial but also the flooding potential would also go up

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 4:54 pm**

102°F with winds N20 G30. How is that even possible? lol.

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 4:59 pm**

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 4:54 pm 102°F with winds N20 G30. How is that even possible? lol.

Dang. Blow dryer.

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 5:07 pm**

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 10:01 am
djmike wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 9:53 am
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 9:06 am

HRRR has a nice scattering of showers south of 10 for later this afternoon.
Can you post the HRRR for this afternoon/evening?

That's really close for today's rain distribution.

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 5:39 pm**

18z GFS is stronger and further north than 12z.

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 5:44 pm**

captainbarbossa19 i dont see much of a difference on this run

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 5:56 pm**

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 5:44 pm captainbarbossa19 i dont see much of a difference on this run

Look at 850mb vorticity. The center is more consolidated and slightly stronger. The track is about the same.

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 5:58 pm**

I would be watching the hRR right now with home Brew systems it’s really time radar to watch

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 6:06 pm**

0.00”

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 6:14 pm**

Stormlover2020 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 5:58 pm I would be watching the hRR right now with home Brew systems it’s really time radar to watch

Yeah...I'm watching everything miss us west.

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 6:18 pm**

What a crock of you know what.. It POURED at work and I get home to ZERO at my house. Go Figure!

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 7:08 pm**

8 Pm NHC update still at 20%, they really arent budging lol

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 7:10 pm**

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 7:08 pm 8 Pm NHC update still at 20%, they really arent budging lol

They didn't budge with Imelda either until it was practically a depression.

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 7:15 pm**

0.00" in W League City but glad to see some got very well needed rainfall today.

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 7:23 pm**

I don't think they will raise it..they must not be seeing it or believing the models

Posted: **Mon Jun 27, 2022 7:30 pm**

Kingwood32 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 27, 2022 7:23 pm I don't think they will raise it..they must not be seeing it or believing the models

They will almost have to raise it if it starts developing though. A lot can change overnight, let alone days.

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