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Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:50 pm
by jasons2k
txbear wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:25 pm
meso low south of galveston?
looks like it's going to be high and dry on the west side unless something drastic changes.
Looking at the radar loops back Texas looks depressing. It’s consolidating SE of most of us. Nauseating.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:52 pm
by cperk
davidiowx wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:17 pm
cperk wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:15 pm
I just checked the NWS website and we are under a flood warning through Friday.
That would be a Flood Watch, not a Warning.
I stand corrected thanks
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:57 pm
by Cromagnum
It's infuriating that the last few days all the rain was west of us, and now it's all east of us. Then they hoist a flood watch in the area that hasn't received any rain at all, and by the looks of the radar, still won't.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:23 pm
by don
Thats a meso low near Galveston...2pm update
1. Western Gulf of Mexico:
Recent satellite and radar imagery indicate that showers and
thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure near the
southern coast of Texas have changed little in organization since
this morning. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly northward
and inland over southeastern Texas later today. Slow development of
this system is possible while the low remains over water and it
could still become a short-lived tropical depression before it moves
inland. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible along
portions of the Texas coast for the next two days. For more
information about the potential for heavy rain, please see products
issued by your National Weather Service office. An Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter plane is currently enroute to investigate the
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:32 pm
by Stratton20
What an absolute bust, one of the worst ive seen in a long time, and a heat ridge builds in this weekend, imagine having a near tropical depression just off the texas coast and we cant get any rain from it
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:59 pm
by Kingwood32
Sky is starting to clear here in Brazoria County yet we're under a flood watch I don't understand.. Looks like on radar everything is starting to move away from us
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:24 pm
by tireman4
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:32 pm
What an absolute bust, one of the worst ive seen in a long time, and a heat ridge builds in this weekend, imagine having a near tropical depression just off the texas coast and we cant get any rain from it
You maybe too young to remember this, but Tropical Storm Don, in 2011, was a complete bust. At least some folks are getting rain. The Death Heat Ridge of High Pressure completely destroyed it as it was making landfall near Corpus. No one got any rain.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:24 pm
by captainbarbossa19
Kingwood32 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:59 pm
Sky is starting to clear here in Brazoria County yet we're under a flood watch I don't understand.. Looks like on radar everything is starting to move away from us
Heaviest rain is not expected until tomorrow morning. The flood watch is in effect until tomorrow evening.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:28 pm
by Cromagnum
captainbarbossa19 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:24 pm
Kingwood32 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:59 pm
Sky is starting to clear here in Brazoria County yet we're under a flood watch I don't understand.. Looks like on radar everything is starting to move away from us
Heaviest rain is not expected until tomorrow morning. The flood watch is in effect until tomorrow evening.
Based on what though? The circulation center and all associated rain is very visibly off to the east now.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:34 pm
by captainbarbossa19
Cromagnum wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:28 pm
captainbarbossa19 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:24 pm
Kingwood32 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:59 pm
Sky is starting to clear here in Brazoria County yet we're under a flood watch I don't understand.. Looks like on radar everything is starting to move away from us
Heaviest rain is not expected until tomorrow morning. The flood watch is in effect until tomorrow evening.
Based on what though? The circulation center and all associated rain is very visibly off to the east now.
That's just a mesovort. A weak circulation is still located east of Corpus Christi. It will move onshore most likely early tomorrow morning. The current storms east of Houston will likely diminish due to DMIN and then refire towards daybreak. That is why the NWS likely issued a flood watch.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:35 pm
by davidiowx
Cromagnum wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:28 pm
captainbarbossa19 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:24 pm
Kingwood32 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:59 pm
Sky is starting to clear here in Brazoria County yet we're under a flood watch I don't understand.. Looks like on radar everything is starting to move away from us
Heaviest rain is not expected until tomorrow morning. The flood watch is in effect until tomorrow evening.
Based on what though? The circulation center and all associated rain is very visibly off to the east now.
The circulation center is actually offshore of Corpus, What you are seeing east of Galveston is a meso vortex, not the storm itself. The storm had several of these circulating around the center just like all tropical system do in the beginning until the actual center stacks vertically.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:46 pm
by Stratton20
Tireman4 I did hear about that one, I remember I came across an old post on the internet regarding an old radar loop of tropical storm don, amazing how it just completely fizzled out once it made landfall
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 2:56 pm
by davidiowx
18z HRRR is very sad
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:00 pm
by Stratton20
I think this is a perfect picture of most of us getting no rain at all, what a troll!
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:40 pm
by mcheer23
All this and I might not even get a drop… it hasn’t rained here in 38 days.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:42 pm
by djmike
0.76” for today at my home in Beaumont. Some areas around town south Beaumont got about 3”+ and towards Galveston/Port Arthur/Sabine Pass are the winners for today at 3.44” in 24hrs. This mornings rain shield just could not push inland. But again, TOMORROW is the “Main Event” and always has been for all the inches of rain thats been forecasted. Many that got duped today will see possibly inches tomorrow. Sorry for those that didn’t see much or any at all today, but tomorrow is another high possibility it will include more of Setx. As someone mentioned on here a few pages back, high possibility remains AFTER the blob is north of us. Will still be tapped into the gulf pulling/training northward storms. Locally Friday is 80% and Saturday is 70% for the the Triangle. Keeping fingers crossed much more will be included tomorrow.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 3:53 pm
by davidiowx
Our last hope is likely tonight into tomorrow morning. If it can get some convection down there then we may get lucky. I can't imagine the NWS issued a flood watch through tomorrow for no reason at all. Then again, I have seen it happen before so just have to wait and see.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:02 pm
by sswinney
I don’t post often but I’m always lurking. I just want to tell a lot of people to chill for a second. Most tropical systems when they move inland elongate and spread their rain shield out. You might end up with some rain before this ends. Where I’ve been today it has rained nearly all day and that’s from the south side, to the med center, to the NE side, and now in the Deer Park area and it’s still raining.
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:07 pm
by snowman65
Hope we get our fair share in the GT but no more than that!
Re: June 2022
Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:10 pm
by don
Don't look at the HRRR LOL... its trying to push a majority of the rain onto SW Louisiana now.