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AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1250 PM CDT Fri Jun 10 2022

.AVIATION [18Z TAF Issuance]...

VFR conditions will prevail through most of the TAF period.
Ceilings have scattered out with daytime heating and drier air
mixing in. Sea breeze will begin along the coast and push inland
throughout the day, reaching IAH by 22Z, and causing a southerly
wind shift that could be gusty at times. After sunset, gusts will
subside and winds will slowly become southwesterly again. Much
like we have seen over the past few days, MVFR ceilings will
begin shortly before sunrise tomorrow and dissipate by 15-16Z. VFR
will prevail afterwards and sea breeze will push in by tomorrow
afternoon around the same time.

Lenninger

Their has been a noticeable uptick in support from todays 12z EPS, their are 51 total members, I have two pictures, last nights (00z run on the bottom had only 10/51 or so members showing this scenario , but todays 12z run on the top has 22/51 (43%)or so members on board, definitely a pretty decent increase in the 8-10 day timeframe, and yes I actually did take the time to individually count all the low pressure shown by these members lol

96°F with a heat index of 104 here in central Wharton County and that’s probably one of the cooler spots in the area lol

Bam. 100°F here.

I don't believe we hit 100°F all last year...

It was 48 here in the Smoky Mountains this morning. I do not miss the heat and humidity of SE TX one bit!

103 here today. Pretty darn hot.
But guess where I’m at? On my patio about to grill steaks - not inside cooped-up and freezing
After these steaks, time for a dip. Night swimming is awesome!

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Fri Jun 10, 2022 4:12 pm 96°F with a heat index of 104 here in central Wharton County and that’s probably one of the cooler spots in the area lol

Yep. We had about the same temperature today.

I mowed the lawn late this afternoon. Weather report:

https://youtu.be/qXdmTtk1Mm4

Hey, GFS, CMC, Ensembles are seeing some Bay of Campeche action 18th-20th, drifting NW.

Only GFS brings a stronger system with more rain near the Tex-Mex border

I think the GFS is suffering from convective feedback biacy, id say development in the gulf is looking rather unlikely now, ridging looks too strong, and we stay dry for the next 10-14 days, what a miserable pattern

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sat Jun 11, 2022 1:40 am I mowed the lawn late this afternoon. Weather report:

https://youtu.be/qXdmTtk1Mm4

One of the best movies ever made.

It's 1:15 and already 98° here.

Waiting till 7PM to attempt mowing. It's too damned hot.

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Sat Jun 11, 2022 2:14 pm Waiting till 7PM to attempt mowing. It's too damned hot.

Same here. it was still brutal.

Mega upper level Death Ridge block through about the 20th across the models and ensembles. High and dry for the next week+

101 here. Was outside 20-25 min cutting a grate for my grill and I am soaked. It’s HOT out there. Little breeze helps but sheesh.. no end in sight for a good week as well.

davidiowx wrote: ↑Sat Jun 11, 2022 3:30 pm 101 here. Was outside 20-25 min cutting a grate for my grill and I am soaked. It’s HOT out there. Little breeze helps but sheesh.. no end in sight for a good week as well.

Dang! 101°F there? You’re only about 45 minutes from me and I’m at 96°F. Same as yesterday. I might top out at 97. I’m definitely not complaining lol

Boring/oppressive weather pattern. A lot of people are thankful for it, but it doesn't do much good for us this time of year. You need a blocking ridge in August/September, not June! Our luck, the ridge will leave when a hurricane is threatening.

This pattern really does suck, and unfortunately it could be around for the next 14+ days, I see no relief in the short and long term, brutal

Well I reached 97°F which now makes it the hottest day of the year for me. Heat index is brutal coming in at 107.

captainbarbossa19 wrote: ↑Sat Jun 11, 2022 3:48 pm Boring/oppressive weather pattern. A lot of people are thankful for it, but it doesn't do much good for us this time of year. You need a blocking ridge in August/September, not June! Our luck, the ridge will leave when a hurricane is threatening.

Why would anyone be thankful? Do they want to pay my electric bill? Are Minnesotans thankful for -20°F - -30°F winter temps?

100°F here. I noticed the stands at Blue Bell are not full.