August 2022

[jasons2k]

Jasons2k exactly, im seeing so many people on social media calling this season a bust, heck id say the real hurricane season hasnt even started yet,boy are those folks in for a surprise

There is a reason why we have a user on S2K with the username “season_cancelled”

[captainbarbossa19]

A bit off topic but l just learned that I lost a close friend to stage 4 brain cancer today, it just goes to show that we may complain about how miserable the weather here is right now, you cant a day for granted, weather for me at least provides a distraction from grief, and thats why i enjoy being in this group, its entertaining, its informative and heck getting to talk about some of those most bizarre weather events we have faced over the last few years is awesome too!

So sorry for your loss. Praying you'll find comfort through time.

[captainbarbossa19]

Supposedly there’s been a constant weakness over the SE all summer so that’s a big reason why they think it’ll be more active over there.

The plains ridge won’t hold through the whole month of September.

I agree. It often weakens in late August too. The highest chance of Texas getting hit is from about August 20-September 20.

[DoctorMu]

Supposedly there’s been a constant weakness over the SE all summer so that’s a big reason why they think it’ll be more active over there.

The plains ridge won’t hold through the whole month of September.

I agree. It often weakens in late August too. The highest chance of Texas getting hit is from about August 20-September 20.

Yep. August 15-Sept 30+ will be Open Season on the GoM. Shear in the Gulf is pretty low, typical with a La Nina summer.

[DoctorMu]

MOAR of the same today.

The way the weather has gone over the past few years...all the regulars may be posting from other states in 2-3 years.

[TexasBreeze]

The clouds and storms just go everywhere right at the Tx La border. Seems about right on par!

[Ptarmigan]

Jasons2k exactly, im seeing so many people on social media calling this season a bust, heck id say the real hurricane season hasnt even started yet,boy are those folks in for a surprise

There is a reason why we have a user on S2K with the username “season_cancelled”

It is not over til it is over.

[tireman4]

August 1st is here! Hopefully this means wetter weather for us. Actually, temperatures are much cooler than they were a month ago. I'm starting to think we may (fingers crossed) have passed the worst of summer. Average highs will start to decrease in a few weeks (woohooooo)!

On another note, I have not ever talked on here about my career goals, but I am moving to Starkville, Mississippi on the 12th to pursue my bachelor's degree in Professional Meteorology at Mississippi State! So, while I will not be living in Texas, I will still continue to track weather and converse with the community, but I will be busy taking more than a full load this fall. It will also be fun to track tornadoes and other weather while I am living there.

Let us know how you are during each semester. You know we will live vicariously through you!

[Stratton20]

The 12z ICON fwiw does try to close off a weak low associated with that thunderstorm activity off the Louisiana coast

[captainbarbossa19]

August 1st is here! Hopefully this means wetter weather for us. Actually, temperatures are much cooler than they were a month ago. I'm starting to think we may (fingers crossed) have passed the worst of summer. Average highs will start to decrease in a few weeks (woohooooo)!

On another note, I have not ever talked on here about my career goals, but I am moving to Starkville, Mississippi on the 12th to pursue my bachelor's degree in Professional Meteorology at Mississippi State! So, while I will not be living in Texas, I will still continue to track weather and converse with the community, but I will be busy taking more than a full load this fall. It will also be fun to track tornadoes and other weather while I am living there.

Let us know how you are during each semester. You know we will live vicariously through you!

Will do! I feel like I hardly know what rain is, so maybe I will see a lot in Starkville. It definitely has been raining more there a lot more than here lately.

[Cpv17]

August 1st is here! Hopefully this means wetter weather for us. Actually, temperatures are much cooler than they were a month ago. I'm starting to think we may (fingers crossed) have passed the worst of summer. Average highs will start to decrease in a few weeks (woohooooo)!

On another note, I have not ever talked on here about my career goals, but I am moving to Starkville, Mississippi on the 12th to pursue my bachelor's degree in Professional Meteorology at Mississippi State! So, while I will not be living in Texas, I will still continue to track weather and converse with the community, but I will be busy taking more than a full load this fall. It will also be fun to track tornadoes and other weather while I am living there.

Let us know how you are during each semester. You know we will live vicariously through you!

Will do! I feel like I hardly know what rain is, so maybe I will see a lot in Starkville. It definitely has been raining more there a lot more than here lately.

High pwats there than here.

[jasons2k]

Lucy trolls again.

[Kludge]

Lucy trolls again.

I can't even get her to troll around here anymore. Not a drop in 33 days.

[TexasBreeze]

Hopefully that 45/1960 cell heads up there- it sure is a heavy producer!

[user:null]

The vast bulk of the Eastern US even down the the inland Southeast areas (i.e. like Starksville), or even the Gulf Coast, simply happens to get help from midlatitude streams. Even if not a full blown front, then at least the disturbances/shortwaves/etc that trigger mesocale precip events (i.e. similar to spring weather systems in areas of Texas).

And based on what I see so far from the SW desert "monsoon", that mostly looks to be a mechanical interaction with all the orography in the region — I don't see much rainfall at all happening in lowland areas like Yuma as opposed to the mountain peaks.

The peninsula of Florida is the only true "tropical convective" region in the continental US. Even Texas performs better than much of the US in that regard, particularly when looking at "stalled" tropical events (i.e. Claudette, Allison, Harvey, etc).

[Cpv17]

60% chance of rain for Houston on Friday per channel 13 forecast.

[Kludge]

I don't know how Jason's BY is faring, but east Montgomery County is winning the Texas Lottery today.

[jasons2k]

I just keep getting trolled by Lucy again and again…

[Stratton20]

I have better odds of becoming the next President than I do getting any rain🥲

[Stratton20]

Im liking what I see in the medium-Long range in the GFS, late next week it looks like the GFS has a cut off low drifting westward over the state!