August 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Kludge
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Cromagnum wrote: Sat Aug 13, 2022 2:46 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sat Aug 13, 2022 2:34 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Sat Aug 13, 2022 2:30 pm This will be a transitory high, its only going to be here for 2-3 days and the. it moves off, models are in agreement on a front moving into our area late week
Yep, exactly. After Thursday we could be done with the upper 90’s to low 100’s till next summer. Huge pattern change coming. So many Nancy’s on here lol but I don’t blame them. This summer has turned most of us all into Nancy’s and Karen’s :lol:

Summer in Houston sucks during the best years. 2022 was up there in the dreadful category.
Yep last straw for me. I'm a native Texan and love it, but this will be my last full summer here. I'll be bailing out next July to take my sweet cheesehead wife home and get away from the melting asphalt for a month or two. :x

PS my cheesehead in-laws are coming down here for a month or two in January. Goes both ways. ;)
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Kludge
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Breaking News: A "band" is coming onshore. Let's see how far it can make it before dry air and subsidence can crush it.
Cpv17
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Kludge wrote: Sat Aug 13, 2022 3:06 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Aug 13, 2022 2:46 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sat Aug 13, 2022 2:34 pm

Yep, exactly. After Thursday we could be done with the upper 90’s to low 100’s till next summer. Huge pattern change coming. So many Nancy’s on here lol but I don’t blame them. This summer has turned most of us all into Nancy’s and Karen’s :lol:

Summer in Houston sucks during the best years. 2022 was up there in the dreadful category.
Yep last straw for me. I'm a native Texan and love it, but this will be my last full summer here. I'll be bailing out next July to take my sweet cheesehead wife home and get away from the melting asphalt for a month or two. :x

PS my cheesehead in-laws are coming down here for a month or two in January. Goes both ways. ;)
I’d never want to live anywhere else besides Texas. I guess you could say I’m pretty closed minded. Summers here when we have at least average weather is tolerable for me.
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Katdaddy
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So far .40” for the day and hopefully a little more today but we shall see.
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jasons2k wrote: Fri Aug 12, 2022 8:52 am When you read the SCW blog they completely ignore that today was supposed to be a big rainmaker. They just pretend it wasn't so and move right on to the next.
Oh yeah, SCW is overrated. Not sure what everyone sees in them.
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Aug 13, 2022 9:39 am 3 weeks to CFB season. The light is at the end of the hellish, shitty Summer tunnel!
Cowboys are on now.

But, yes about 2 weeks and 5 days before the very first CFB
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DoctorMu
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Stratton20 wrote: Sat Aug 13, 2022 2:30 pm This will be a transitory high, its only going to be here for 2-3 days and the. it moves off, models are in agreement on a front moving into our area late week
Beginning Thursday we have a paradigm change in the weather per models. We'll see. That FROPA has been sniffed out for nearly a week.
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jasons2k
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We're finally on the east side of the trough axis. We'll see what happens tomorrow but I was watching what was happening east of us on satellite loops all weekend and things didn't make it very far inland.
Cpv17
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I’m in love with the 0z GFS :lol:
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jasons2k
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NWS cut my rain chances in half again today - down to 20%

It’s raining now with hopefully more showers streaming onshore.
Last edited by jasons2k on Sun Aug 14, 2022 9:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
biffb816
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So does a disturbance like the one going into south Texas do anything to sort of churn the Gulf energy and lessen the chances of a major storm, at least in the short term?
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jasons2k
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Picked-up a quick .20”
Yes! Just enough to keep me from watering the lawn until the front.
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jasons2k
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biffb816 wrote: Sun Aug 14, 2022 9:44 am So does a disturbance like the one going into south Texas do anything to sort of churn the Gulf energy and lessen the chances of a major storm, at least in the short term?
This system was too weak to make a difference. We’ll already need an eye on the stalling front next weekend.
Stratton20
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Agreed with Jasons2k, a weak system really tends to not make much of a difference in terms of mixing up the water temperatures that much, GFS has a weak tropical system in the BOC next week while the Euro has a weak low moving into south texas next week, something to watch , combine that with a stalling front, things could get interesting next week
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don
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Next week does look interesting indeed as models have been very consistent on a front stalling over the state and leaving a weakness over us.The EURO and GFS also show a tropical wave moving into the western gulf and being pulled north by the weakness sitting over the state.Could see some widespread rains for multiple days with this setup.And maybe even some tropical mischief.An interesting week ahead to see how it all plays out,but this is the best signal I've seen for rain here in a while.
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DoctorMu
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It's tropical humid in CLL this morning. There's an outer "band" of the Gulf mess ready to hit the AggieDome wal.

Yesterday again, a few showers in the area, but another outflow and 5 drops of rain was all IMBY.

Next week's front begins a "wetter" pattern although it's iffy we see much needed rain in CLL Thursday and Friday. Yeah, NWS has gone much drier on the forecast. fml
Stratton20
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DoctorMu ive stopped putting much faith into the NWS forecasts, they are a joke lol
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Rip76
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That low is pretty wrapped up this morning.
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djmike
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No showers in Beaumont from Blob #2. Glad to see Houston getting a few tail slaps. South Texas needed this go round. Maybe we will be next week. My partner just drove through the blob about 2 hours ago and said driving is treacherous. Is coming back from the valley. Flooding all around south of Corpus. One area I see has already received over 10” thus far. Will probably start seeing footage on news and fb….Anyway, this humidity today is off the charts. Im outside no more than 5 minutes and its like Niagara Falls of sweat dripping. Hope the so called front will make a difference. Have a relaxing Sunday my friends. Take time to relax! Going to be a hot week ahead.
Last edited by djmike on Sun Aug 14, 2022 12:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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djmike
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Rip76 wrote: Sun Aug 14, 2022 12:39 pm That low is pretty wrapped up this morning.
I thought same thing. Looks just like a tropical storm as far as clouds and the wraparounds. If blob #2 had probably 12-24 more hours over water, she may have been something a little stronger.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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