November 2022

[snowman65]

snowman65 winter is not got going to be warm and dry lol

I hope not...

[Cpv17]

snowman65 winter is not got going to be warm and dry lol

I hope not...

Better odds for cold this winter than warm.

[Stratton20]

Yes, looking ahead to december changes are coming as the EPO and NAO look to go negative, PNA neutral to negative as well, Already on the Euro and GFS runs we are seeing signs of potentially yet another very cold airmass entering the US sometime in the first week of december, this warmup ahead will be brief

[MontgomeryCoWx]

when is our warm/dry winter suppise to start. All Im seeing is cool and rainy. Thanksgiving looks like a complete washout.

Literally every variable out there is screaming below normal temps at the moment once we hit meteorological Winter

[jasons2k]

The weather in Maui was perfect. Came back to this crap. This weather sucks.

[Cpv17]

The CMC looks a lot better than the GFS for the next system. The GFS looks to be too progressive with it and pushes the higher totals well north and east of us.

[don]

The 12Z EURO has caved to the GFS CMC and ICON models,for the Thanksgiving storm.(shows widespread rainfall amounts of 2-4 inches for most of us)

[brazoriatx]

So no smoking the turkey on the pit Thursday huh? Is it a complete washout?

[Stratton20]

I wish that dry slot on the euro was over my area, always gotta have a storm system during a holiday lol

[Cromagnum]

Those maps look like the system is coming in on Friday and not Thursday. If that's the case, I couldn't care less as I'm not battling the shopping crowds.

[don]

Those maps look like the system is coming in on Friday and not Thursday. If that's the case, I couldn't care less as I'm not battling the shopping crowds.

Models actually show widespread rain starting Thursday(The EURO & CMC have heavy rain starting as early as Thursday morning while some other models dont really start things until Thanksgiving evening. ). Its a multi day setup as there will be disturbances riding around the cutoff low ahead of it.Timing is still subject to change of course.The mesoscale models will help alot when it comes to timing and the track of potential disturbances moving in the flow aloft.We're looking at a very potent and dynamic storm system,could even end up with a blizzard on the cold side of the storm in west Texas and the panhandle region.

[Cpv17]

Hints of 1-2+ feet of snow potentially in the west TX/Panhandle regions.

[DoctorMu]

Both the 0Z GFS and CMC have come in more aggressive with the Thanksgiving storm system.Both show a potent textbook "bowling ball" low.Producing widespread storms across the state Thanksgiving and Black Friday.Both models have also greatly increases qpf amounts.

I was afraid of that. Go away! Come back in the summer!

[DoctorMu]

I wish that dry slot on the euro was over my area, always gotta have a storm system during a holiday lol

We getting wet slotted.

[Iceresistance]

Both the 0Z GFS and CMC have come in more aggressive with the Thanksgiving storm system.Both show a potent textbook "bowling ball" low.Producing widespread storms across the state Thanksgiving and Black Friday.Both models have also greatly increases qpf amounts.

I was afraid of that. Go away! Come back in the summer!

Not if you need it to break the drought.

[Cpv17]

Looking like the heaviest totals will miss us to the north and east for the Thanksgiving system.

[Cpv17]

The Euro still shows a good 2” across the area while the GFS is more progressive and has most of the rain east of 45 and into LA.

[Cpv17]

[Cromagnum]

What I would have given to have some rain like this at least once during the hell summer.

[Iceresistance]

What I would have given to have some rain like this at least once during the hell summer.

I wished it happened to shoo away the Cockroach Death Ridge, this past summer was HORRIBLE!