December 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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MontgomeryCoWx
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christinac2016 wrote: Wed Dec 21, 2022 5:16 pm Oh my run club would love you…I think. Lol. A friend of mine crossed running in snow off her bucket list. She’s in CO.

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Dec 21, 2022 3:03 pm I think I’m going for a 5 mile run in below zero wind chills tomorrow. Always love a challenge!
I’m down for a run with others. Are y’all in MoCo?

I went running the day after the 2021 snowfall in 14 degree weather and in my snow boots. It was interesting simply because I fell a couple of time on ice
Last edited by MontgomeryCoWx on Wed Dec 21, 2022 6:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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tireman4
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Dec 21, 2022 5:58 pm
christinac2016 wrote: Wed Dec 21, 2022 5:16 pm Oh my run club would love you…I think. Lol. A friend of mine crossed running in snow off her bucket list. She’s in CO.

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Dec 21, 2022 3:03 pm I think I’m going for a 5 mile run in below zero wind chills tomorrow. Always love a challenge!
I’m down for a run with others. Are y’all in MoCo?
Running in the snow is fun. Done it. :) Due to health concerns, I am bound to my treadmill for all of 2023.
Cpv17
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don wrote: Wed Dec 21, 2022 2:21 pm18Z HRRR
Looks like a lot of forecasts I’m seeing are forecasting temps about 3-5 degrees above what the HRRR is showing.
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Ptarmigan
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What HRRR is forecasting would be the coldest since February 2021.
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christinac2016
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Yes we’re in MoCo. We have members from all over. Check them out northside running. I know most are running Thursday. There might be a brave soul getting out Friday.
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Dec 21, 2022 5:58 pm
christinac2016 wrote: Wed Dec 21, 2022 5:16 pm Oh my run club would love you…I think. Lol. A friend of mine crossed running in snow off her bucket list. She’s in CO.

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Dec 21, 2022 3:03 pm I think I’m going for a 5 mile run in below zero wind chills tomorrow. Always love a challenge!
I’m down for a run with others. Are y’all in MoCo?

I went running the day after the 2021 snowfall in 14 degree weather and in my snow boots. It was interesting simply because I fell a couple of time on ice
davidiowx
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Ptarmigan wrote: Wed Dec 21, 2022 7:20 pm What HRRR is forecasting would be the coldest since February 2021.
The temp drops after the front are insane. It’s really going to be an experience to feel a 30+ degree temp change in less than half an hour.
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DoctorMu
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Progs on Frontal arrival?
I'm going with 10:45 am here in CLL

Friday am lows progged:

NOAA: 15°F
NWS: 15°F
KTBX bolder at: 12°F
GEM: 11°F
GFS softies: 19°F
ICON: 14°F
GEPS: 11°F
EPS: 16°F
RGEM: 13°F
WRF-ARW: 11°F
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jasons2k
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I've been watching the temp drops at some stations and the posts on S2K and wow - this front is a true Blue Norther - minus the precip! Get ready folks - this is the real deal!
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DoctorMu
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It barely reached 50° here, and we won't reach that tomorrow before things crash. Remember those 70s predictions.

We picked our son up in Austin. He took an earlier flight from MInneapolis to escape the blizzard.

30-40°F difference across the front and this is at night. It's just reach the tip of the northern Texas panhandle.
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DoctorMu
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FROPA slammed into Amarillo (well before morning ;) )
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jasons2k
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Weather app just won’t budge off that 17 tomorrow am.

I’ve been watching Livingston Montana on the app (have a relative there) APP has been consistently (for days) showing -28 there this am. Just checked… -28 on the dot.
AtascocitaWX
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jasons2k wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:53 am Weather app just won’t budge off that 17 tomorrow am.

I’ve been watching Livingston Montana on the app (have a relative there) APP has been consistently (for days) showing -28 there this am. Just checked… -28 on the dot.
what app do you use?
brazoriatx
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Herzog said it's coming in colder what models and weather apps are saying...

"Buckle up. Our computer models (and by extension your weather apps) are too “warm” with this arctic front. For example the Euro said it would be 7° in Amarillo at 6AM. Instead it was 2 below zero. 🥶"
Cpv17
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brazoriatx wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:08 am Herzog said it's coming in colder what models and weather apps are saying...

"Buckle up. Our computer models (and by extension your weather apps) are too “warm” with this arctic front. For example the Euro said it would be 7° in Amarillo at 6AM. Instead it was 2 below zero. 🥶"
That’s usually what happens with these Artic blasts.
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tireman4
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It is barreling through DFW at this time
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MontgomeryCoWx
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tireman4 wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:18 am It is barreling through DFW at this time
Evil laugh. I’m ready for it!!
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jasons2k
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AtascocitaWX wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:05 am
jasons2k wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:53 am Weather app just won’t budge off that 17 tomorrow am.

I’ve been watching Livingston Montana on the app (have a relative there) APP has been consistently (for days) showing -28 there this am. Just checked… -28 on the dot.
what app do you use?
It's just the default Apple Weather App.
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jasons2k
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brazoriatx wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:08 am Herzog said it's coming in colder what models and weather apps are saying...

"Buckle up. Our computer models (and by extension your weather apps) are too “warm” with this arctic front. For example the Euro said it would be 7° in Amarillo at 6AM. Instead it was 2 below zero. 🥶"
Careful with that. Faster doesn't necessarily translate to colder temps the next morning.
Cpv17
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jasons2k wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:31 am
brazoriatx wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:08 am Herzog said it's coming in colder what models and weather apps are saying...

"Buckle up. Our computer models (and by extension your weather apps) are too “warm” with this arctic front. For example the Euro said it would be 7° in Amarillo at 6AM. Instead it was 2 below zero. 🥶"
Careful with that. Faster doesn't necessarily translate to colder temps the next morning.
Just means the initial surge of the cold air is stronger. Globals do that every time it seems.
mcheer23
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Really don't think we get above freezing tomorrow. Highs likely in the upper 20s.
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