Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 1:56 am
Looks like 0z suite came in a lil colder tonight. Teens looking likely now.
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Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 6:09 am
Still looking dry..we need that trough to cooperate
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 6:33 am
It is too bad it is looking dry and cold but we have seen craziness unfold in these winter weather scenarios. I going to reference Larry Cosgrove’s post from Friday where he had a storm that formed in the gulf and was going to dump 1-3 inches minimum from the Texas Rio Grande Valley through the 1-10 corridor.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 6:36 am
Kinda hard to get a low in the gulf if that trough doesn't make it more south
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 7:53 am
Dry nose bleed cold for Christmas. At least it will be cold. Maybe we will have a little luck with frozen precip later on in February.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 8:25 am
Without snow, it’s just wasted, miserable cold for me. I would prefer 70’s.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 8:42 am
Nice to see 57 mentioning the possibility of a shortwave and snow in Houston on Christmas Eve.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 8:43 am
We still have a ways out, so I still think we see changes.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 8:46 am
Lucyyyyy!!!!
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 8:47 am
That moisture will be limted so maybe the coast and Houston
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 9:19 am
Been telling folk to shave at least a few degrees off their weather app forecast.
Probably more like 10 degrees after looking into NW Canada
Probably more like 10 degrees after looking into NW Canada
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 9:21 am
The models have come and go with snow. Given we’re still about a week out I’m certainly expecting more changes back and forth over the coming days.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 9:42 am
Models don’t pick up on winter weather events down here till we get into range of the Hi-res models. Never seen a global model pick up on a winter weather event for us at this range and show it consistently all the way up to the event. If something is there the Hi-res models should start to pick up on it within 24-48 hours.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:13 am
Couldn’t agree more. That’s exactly how it tends to work down here.Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 17, 2022 9:42 am Models don’t pick up on winter weather events down here till we get into range of the Hi-res models. Never seen a global model pick up on a winter weather event for us at this range and show it consistently all the way up to the event. If something is there the Hi-res models should start to pick up on it within 24-48 hours.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:23 am
Getting sleet In angleton..it's melting on contact
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:23 am
Santa Fe also
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:49 am
1069 MB HP on the 12 GFS in western Montana on day 5. Never seen that in all my years of watching models. Would crush the 1983 record.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:55 am
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:57 am
If we get a 1060 plus the modeling will be 5-10 too warm when it’s now cast time.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Sat Dec 17, 2022 11:00 am
Man the 12z CMC is brutally cold, highs in the teens…