Page 66 of 85
Re: December 2022
Posted: Mon Dec 19, 2022 11:05 pm
by TexasMetBlake
Looking at the 12km NAM and the 00z GFS, I find it interesting that they are "warm" showing lows in the upper teens for central and southeast Texas while the 00z GEM and ICON models are single digits and teens. Seeing the NAM more in line with the GFS kind of raises an eyebrow for me. Maybe I'm too cold on my temps.
We're nearly within the window to where we can start watching in real time the temperatures in Denver, Amarillo, OKC , and Dallas to see what kind of airmass we're dealing with. Still 3 days out so lets see what happens.
Of note, Feb 2021 was the first time HGX had ever issued a Wind Chill Warning and now, not even two years later, they are likely to do it again!
Re: December 2022
Posted: Mon Dec 19, 2022 11:14 pm
by sambucol
From Ch 13:
Bitterly cold air will move in Thursday afternoon. A hard freeze along with dangerously cold wind chills has prompted us to designate Thursday and Friday ABC13 Weather Alert Days. Stay tuned!
They also said scattered power outages Thursday.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Mon Dec 19, 2022 11:39 pm
by Cpv17
TexasMetBlake wrote: ↑Mon Dec 19, 2022 11:05 pm
Looking at the 12km NAM and the 00z GFS, I find it interesting that they are "warm" showing lows in the upper teens for central and southeast Texas while the 00z GEM and ICON models are single digits and teens. Seeing the NAM more in line with the GFS kind of raises an eyebrow for me. Maybe I'm too cold on my temps.
We're nearly within the window to where we can start watching in real time the temperatures in Denver, Amarillo, OKC , and Dallas to see what kind of airmass we're dealing with. Still 3 days out so lets see what happens.
Of note, Feb 2021 was the first time HGX had ever issued a Wind Chill Warning and now, not even two years later, they are likely to do it again!
What do you think the EPO will do over the next month or so?
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 1:09 am
by Stratton20
00z Euro lingers the cold blast into Tuesday of next week
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 1:11 am
by DoctorMu
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 19, 2022 10:56 pm
lol the 00z CMC keeps us in the 30’s and 40’s for highs all the way through next wednesday lol
CMC were the winners of the Feb. 2021 Winter Storm Award.
Wow - CMC progging a solid week of cold! And a little wintry mischief east of I-45 next Tuesday...single digits on 2-3 nights in CLL.
Euro has 15°F for CL Thursday night
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 1:17 am
by DoctorMu
I'll go along with the RGEM meso for now.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 9:12 am
by snowman65
crickets....
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 9:18 am
by MontgomeryCoWx
Everyone knows what’s coming. What are you expecting?
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 9:20 am
by AtascocitaWX
snowman65 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 20, 2022 9:12 amcrickets....
yea we all know its going to be cold with no Wintry stuff , not quite exciting.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:06 am
by guinness
NWS forecast has the front coming in around 5 or 6 for the Katy area. Do you all agree with this?
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:25 am
by MontgomeryCoWx
guinness wrote: ↑Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:06 am
NWS forecast has the front coming in around 5 or 6 for the Katy area. Do you all agree with this?
I think it will be quicker. 3-4 pm
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:39 am
by guinness
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:25 am
guinness wrote: ↑Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:06 am
NWS forecast has the front coming in around 5 or 6 for the Katy area. Do you all agree with this?
I think it will be quicker. 3-4 pm
Thanks, got a kid working at HEB in the parking lot on Thursday and trying to figure out if it's going to be blowing in during his shift. Going to be brutal.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 11:00 am
by mcheer23
guinness wrote: ↑Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:39 am
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:25 am
guinness wrote: ↑Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:06 am
NWS forecast has the front coming in around 5 or 6 for the Katy area. Do you all agree with this?
I think it will be quicker. 3-4 pm
Thanks, got a kid working at HEB in the parking lot on Thursday and trying to figure out if it's going to be blowing in during his shift. Going to be brutal.
Might even be as soon as 1 pm....
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 11:06 am
by Stratton20
Looks like the 12z CMC brings in a storm system on monday, we will see
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 11:44 am
by christinac2016
Kinda nervous. Always leased apts. first time renting townhouse. Going to cover outdoor faucet tomorrow with styrofoam cover a friend bought me. Not nervous about cold. Don’t want any damage.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 1:08 pm
by GBinGrimes
DoctorMu wrote: ↑Mon Dec 19, 2022 10:50 pm
Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Mon Dec 19, 2022 7:22 pm
DoctorMu wrote: ↑Mon Dec 19, 2022 4:40 pm
We were in the NC mountains in late 1983 skiing. It was below 0°F for a couple of nights, but we escaped any pipes bursting in the rental. That didn't stop us from skiing, and the snow was less icy.
They are more prepared to deal with cold weather. I have skiied in mountainous areas, in the Western US.
Yes and no. Houses in the NC mountains are built on foundations, so all the pipes underneath the house in the crawlspace have to be insulated. Foundations have built in warming - mother Earth. water lines and pipes in attics have to be insulated or dripped. When the temp was below 0°F, we definitely dripped water.
If the argument is that many houses in Texas are not sufficiently or are sloppily insulated, then I agree! That applies to summer energy costs big time as wel... I'm looking to see if we can blow or place more insulation in our western walls.
I have a plan to keep the garage and attic above freezing. We did well in Feb. 2021. Fingers crossed!
In the 2021 event we opened the attic stairwell, allowing the warmer house air to vent up into the attic space. The house was a bit cooler than we would've liked yet the attic temps stayed in the upper 40's to low 50's. I'll take that trade to save pipes and $$$.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 1:37 pm
by jasons2k
In 2021, we had friends over in Austin who took every standard precaution but the pipes still froze under their kitchen island.
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 2:36 pm
by Stratton20
Wind Chill Watch issued for my area, bring it on!!
🥶🥶🥶
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 2:39 pm
by brazoriatx
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 20, 2022 2:36 pm
Wind Chill Watch issued for my area, bring it on!!
🥶🥶🥶
Issued for All of South East Texas
Re: December 2022
Posted: Tue Dec 20, 2022 3:12 pm
by djmike
Not ALL southeast texas. Lol. Beaumont not yet… but our NWS comes from Lake Charles. Im sure it will be any minute for the remaining of setx.
