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Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 7:49 pm
by jasons2k
Conroe Regional sits in a bowl so it’s a bit of an outlier. Just a few miles away, near Conroe HS, there are still mature Mexican Fan Palms that survived the 2021 snowmageddon - when you have areas inside Beltway 8 that got completely torched. Microclimates are real and that’s something that you really appreciate in places like Hawaii, where microclimates are everywhere.

I wonder if we’ll start to see any flurries south of the lakes? It’s getting pretty dry already.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 7:51 pm
by christinac2016
26 degrees…was just 27 not 10 minutes ago here in The Woodlands.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:01 pm
by TexasMetBlake
7pm Temp Check vs NWS Forecast Low:

Dallas: 14°/10° … big bust potential
Austin: 21°/15° … big bust potential
San Antonio: 26°/18° … big bust potential
Houston: 29°/16° … potential bust

Still have 12 hours of cooling ahead 👀

Temperatures are far outpacing any model and we’re already closing in on the forecast low tonight in many areas and it’s only 7pm. IAH is the exception. They’re gonna have to cool quicker than they are to match the forecast low of 16°. They’ll likely lose 2-3 degrees per hour for a few more hours and then cool at the standard 1 degree per hour from then on. I’m still betting IAH gets below 15°F. It’ll be close, especially with a clearing sky and very strong CAA. Temperatures upstream are very cold so that gives me hope.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:06 pm
by jasons2k
Weather app now shows 16 here. NWS says 13 (probably right)…

26 here now.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:09 pm
by Cpv17
25 here now wind chill 10..crazy!

TWC app has me down for 18 tomorrow morning.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:21 pm
by DoctorMu
19°F now. Well ahead of schedule and just about the break through GFS' paper thin prediction. ;)

Blake, my 13°F prediction may be too high. Single digits could be a possibility under clear skies.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:23 pm
by DoctorMu
Cpv17 wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:09 pm 25 here now wind chill 10..crazy!

TWC app has me down for 18 tomorrow morning.
A windchill of 4°F here. We're headed to negative territory on wind chill, a first for me here. In Feb 2021 the winds had died down with snow/albedo when we had the 5°F and 9°F nights.

TG the electricity and heat are doing fine so far. Knock on wood.

The freezing line is headed toward Corpus. There's a pool of really cold air west of HOU heading south.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:25 pm
by TexasMetBlake
DoctorMu wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:21 pm 19°F now. Well ahead of schedule and just about the break through GFS' paper thin prediction. ;)

Blake, my 13°F prediction may be too high. Single digits could be a possibility under clear skies.
The wind is the Achilles’ heel. Normally wind that strong would stifle a significant drop in temps but in this case, it is blowing in frigid Siberian air. The temps in North Texas are already closing in on single digits so that works in our favor for extreme cold.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:30 pm
by djmike
Now 30 in Beaumont

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:30 pm
by DoctorMu
TexasMetBlake wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:25 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:21 pm 19°F now. Well ahead of schedule and just about the break through GFS' paper thin prediction. ;)

Blake, my 13°F prediction may be too high. Single digits could be a possibility under clear skies.
The wind is the Achilles’ heel. Normally wind that strong would stifle a significant drop in temps but in this case, it is blowing in frigid Siberian air. The temps in North Texas are already closing in on single digits so that works in our favor for extreme cold.
Right. Everyone in Oklahoma is in single digits or below. That source air is courtesy of the Gulag!

18°F here. Every time I refresh Wundermap, the temp is lower. :shock:

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:40 pm
by DoctorMu
The FROPA has reached the RGV. This map is one for the ages.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:05 pm
by snowman65
now 32 in Orange

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:28 pm
by BigNorthSide
Frosty has no worries tonight! :D

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:33 pm
by TexasMetBlake
ACT has held at 15 now for the last 3 hours. The temperature fall is beginning to slow a bit in central and north Texas. Should still see a decent drop in the Houston area for the next few hours. Dewpoints are -4 at DFW, 2 at ACT, 14 at IAH, and 4 in AUS. So still plenty of room to fall another 5 or 6 degrees.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:51 pm
by djmike
snowman65 wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:05 pm now 32 in Orange
Just turned 27 in Beaumont

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:56 pm
by christinac2016
Power just went out in The Woodlands. Anyone else? Has it been restored?

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:58 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
christinac2016 wrote: Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:56 pm Power just went out in The Woodlands. Anyone else? Has it been restored?
Wind will do that.

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 10:08 pm
by Cpv17
22°F here at 9:45 PM. Wind chill of 6. Wee bit nipply out there!

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 10:31 pm
by christinac2016
Shhh! Power back on. 🤞🏻
21 in The Woodlands with feel like of 6. 🥶🥶😯

Re: December 2022

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2022 10:34 pm
by jasons2k
22 here also. Well within hard freeze territory + the wind. It's cold!