More cold air on the way next week!?

[weatherguy425]

kingwood

[txsnowmaker]

I can't make it out for sure but it appears that there might be some small flakes (more like particle size) blowing in the wind in metro Houston near the Galleria. Anyone else see this?

You're probably seeing drizzle. The type of snow developing across Texas is producing HUGE flakes, not tiny ice crystals more common in colder air. If it starts snowing, you'll know it.

Thanks wxman. Will keep an eye out for the big ones just in case.

[weatherguy425]

Okay I just went outside and theres a steady rain with the occasional flurry wen i look up towards the street light but it doesnt even make it all the way down to the concrete

[txsnowmaker]

Okay I just went outside and theres a steady rain with the occasional flurry wen i look up towards the street light but it doesnt even make it all the way down to the concrete

Yep. I am pretty sure this is what I saw near the Galleria. It definitely wasn't just rain the way it was floating/blowing around. I also saw another person in another forum say they were experiencing rain with an occasional flurry on the west side of town.

[srainhoutx]

Down to 34.7 DP same. 2 degree drop in an hour.

[weatherguy425]

CLL reporting freezing rain

[HouTXmetro]

It's ashame that the precip is about to end. The temps were falling ahead of schedule but time is almost up for an event.

[redneckweather]

Well, I've done my looking and now it's off to la la land. Hopefully we get one more chance 8 to 10 days out but I sure won't be holding my breath. Ed, go to bed and stop looking for a stray snow flake. You know that's the only reason your up.

[srainhoutx]

From Nesdis...

ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/12/10 0211Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 0202Z DS
.
LOCATION...MISSISSIPPI...LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...N TEXAS...
LOCATION...SE OKLAHOMA...
.
ATTN WFOS...MEG...JAN...LIX...LZK...LCH...SHV...TSA...HGX...FWD...
ATTN WFOS...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...CONTINUING MOD SNOWFALL
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...A NEW BAROCLINIC LEAF HAS STARTED TO FORM
OVER NE TX DURING THE LAST 1-2 HRS AS A S/WV IMPULSE LIFTS NEWD THROUGH
THE STATE. EXPERIMENTAL MESOSCALE STLT WIND ALGORITHM SHOWS A 150KT JET
STREAK PULLING AROUND THE ERN SIDE OF THE UPPER TROF ACROSS SRN TX WHICH
IS LIFTING THE IMPULSE RAPIDLY TO THE NE. CLOUD TOP COOLING CAN ALSO BE
OBSERVED IN IR IMAGERY OVER E CENTRAL TO NE TX LIKELY RESULTING IN MOD
INTENSITY..WET SNOW FROM NE TX INTO EXTREME SE OK/SW AR/NW LA. AS UPPER
TROF CONTINUES TO DIG THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS..COLD AIR AND ACCOMPANYING
SNOW WILL SHIFT A BIT ESE ACROSS THE SRN MS VLY. 00Z STREAMLINE ANALYSIS
INDICATED SERLY 925MB FLOW ACROSS LA/NE TX AND SRLY 850MB FLOW ALONG THE
TX/LA BORDER PULLING RICH GULF MOISTURE NWD INTO THE COLD AIR. BLENDED
TPW PRODUCT STILL SHOWS UP TO 0.75" PW'S OVER NE TX. COOLING SFC TEMPS
SHOULD ALLOW FOR GRADUAL EXPANSION OF SNOWS AS WELL WITH SNOW REACHING
ACROSS MUCH OF LA/MS/AL AS THE SYSTEM PROGRESSES.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/

[srainhoutx]

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1136 PM CST THU FEB 11 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM SNOW BRYAN 30.67N 96.37W
02/11/2010 E0.5 INCH BRAZOS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS IN THE BRYAN AREA DUE TO SLUSHY
ROADS. SNOW CHANGED BACK TO RAIN BY TIME OF REPORT.

1027 PM SNOW IOLA 30.77N 96.07W
02/11/2010 E1.0 INCH GRIMES TX BROADCAST MEDIA

ICY CONDITIONS DEVELOPED ON STATE HIGHWAY 30 ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY. NO REPORTS OF ACCIDENTS.

1116 PM SNOW LATEXO 31.39N 95.47W
02/11/2010 E1.0 INCH HOUSTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

1116 PM SNOW GRAPELAND 31.49N 95.48W
02/11/2010 E1.5 INCH HOUSTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IN GRAPELAND. AT LEAST
20 CARS HAVE SLID OFF THE ROAD IN NORTHERN HOUSTON COUNTY
WITH SEVERAL TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS DUE TO ICY ROADS. ONE TREE
DOWNED.

1117 PM SNOW TRINITY 30.94N 95.37W
02/11/2010 E0.5 INCH TRINITY TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

LIGHT SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS TRINITY COUNTY. AT
LEAST FIVE TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS IN THE CITY OF TRINITY.
SEVERAL CARS IN DITCHES ELSEWHERE AROUND COUNTY.

1118 PM SNOW MADISONVILLE 30.95N 95.91W
02/11/2010 E1.0 INCH MADISON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS ACROSS COUNTY DUE TO
SLUSHY/ICY ROADS.

[Ptarmigan]

Statistically, Houston sees >1 inches of snow about on average every 8 (8.2 to be exact) years going back to 1895. So, the probability of seeing two >1 inch snowfall in one winter is on average every 64 years, three >1 inch snowfall in one winter is on average every 512 years. The only winter where there one or more >1 inches of snow was in 1973, where three >1 inches of snow fell. This going back to 1895 to 2010.

Snow
Snowfall=Every 3 years
>1" Snowfall=Every 8 years
2 >1" Snowfall=Every 64 years
3 >1" Snowfall=Every 512 years
4 >1" Snowfall=Every 4,096 years

To put this statistic in perspective, a tropical cyclone (tropical storm and hurricane) hits the Upper Texas Coast every (1.9) year. Hurricanes come every 3.6 years, while major hurricanes come every 10.8 years. This going back to 1870 to 2010.

Probability For Landfall on Upper Texas Coast
2 Tropical Cyclones=Every 3.6 years
2 Hurricanes=Every 13 years
2 Major Hurricanes=Every 117 years

3 Tropical Cyclones=Every 6.9 years
3 Hurricanes=Every 46.7 years
3 Major Hurricanes=Every 1,260 years

4 Tropical Cyclones=Every 13 years
4 Hurricanes=Every 168 years
4 Major Hurricanes=Every 13,605 years

Houston has a better chance of getting hit by a tropical cyclone than snow. Upper Texas Coast has never recorded two major hurricanes making landfall, which would happen every 117 years. A February 1895 type snowfall in Houston probably happens every 200 to 400 years.

[BigNorthSide]

After this round of moisture moves through which it looks to be fairly soon is there more expected to come this way? It seems the forecast is for precip most of the night?? I read somewhere that there is another low yet to come overnight. Is this the case?

[srainhoutx]

Going to be close...

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[Andrew]

After this round of moisture moves through which it looks to be fairly soon is there more expected to come this way? It seems the forecast is for precip most of the night?? I read somewhere that there is another low yet to come overnight. Is this the case?

There is another low in west Texas, but with the worked over atmosphere and dry air that is expected to come through, I doubt that it will enhance the atmosphere anymore and produce minimal if any precipitation. As Wxman always posts, the soundings show the moisture getting out of here pretty fast.

[srainhoutx]

000
NOUS44 KFWD 120620
PNSFWD
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-120800-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1220 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2010

...SNOW EVENT ONE FOR THE RECORD BOOKS...

AT MIDNIGHT...DFW AIRPORT HAD RECORDED 11.2 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE PREVIOUS DAILY RECORD FOR FEBRUARY 11 OF 1.4 INCHES
SET IN 1988. THIS ALSO BREAKS THE PREVIOUS 24-HOUR RECORD FOR
FEBRUARY...7.5 INCHES ON FEBRUARY 17, 1978 AND FEBRUARY 25, 1924.

THIS IS THE GREATEST CALENDAR-DAY SNOWFALL TOTAL ON RECORD FOR
DALLAS/FORT WORTH. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 7.8 INCHES ON JANUARY 15,
1964 AND JANUARY 14, 1917.

THIS BRINGS THE SEASONAL SNOWFALL TOTAL TO 14.4 INCHES...WHICH IS
THE 3RD HIGHEST SEASONAL TOTAL ON RECORD FOR DALLAS/FORT WORTH. THIS
IS THE SNOWIEST WINTER IN 32 SEASONS (SINCE 1977-1978).

[wxdata]

Snow reports from HGX:

Madisonville [Madison Co, TX] law enforcement reports SNOW of E1.0 INCH at 11:18 PM CST -- numerous traffic accidents across county due to slushy/icy roads.

Trinity [Trinity Co, TX] law enforcement reports SNOW of E0.5 INCH at 11:17 PM CST -- light snow/ice accumulations across trinity county. at least five traffic accidents in the city of trinity. several cars in ditches elsewhere around county.

Grapeland [Houston Co, TX] law enforcement reports SNOW of E1.5 INCH at 11:16 PM CST -- 1 to 2 inches of snow accumulation in grapeland. at least 20 cars have slid off the road in northern houston county with several traffic accidents due to icy roads. one tree downed.

Iola [Grimes Co, TX] broadcast media reports SNOW of E1.0 INCH at 10:27 PM CST -- icy conditions developed on state highway 30 across the northern part of the county. no reports of accidents.


Bryan [Brazos Co, TX] law enforcement reports SNOW of E0.5 INCH at 10:00 PM CST -- several traffic accidents in the bryan area due to slushy roads. snow changed back to rain by time of report.

[Mr. T]

Both Conroe and Hunstville are reporting some light snow or flurries at this hour.

If we are to see any flurries today, it will be now.

[Mr. T]

Snowing in Kingwood! HAHA! Just light flurries, but still, awesome!

I'm going to try to get a video

[Mr. T]

If you are in the path of the precipiation shown on radar, it is coming down as snow!

Man, this is awesome. Seeing snow twice in one season down here! I've never seen that before...

I didn't want to wake everyone up by turning off the alarm and opening up the door to walk outside, so I tried to take a video of the streetlight from the window. I think you can see the flakes flying... I'll upload the video in a bit.

Attn David Paul. There is no rain. It is all snow. It is extremely light and the definition of a flurry, but the precip has changed to all snow. What few flakes there are, they are very big!

[tireman4]

I can confirm Mr. T's sighting, it is a light flurry..but snowing in Atascocita.