January 2023

[Stratton20]

00z NAM is colder and now has wintry precip much further south, in CS and even in some of our western counties now fwiw

[Karen]

When is this supposed to hit

[Stratton20]

Karen their are some differences in timing on the arrival of the srctic air, but id say roughly tommorow afternoon for far northern counties, and early Monday morning for everyone else

[don]

How is the storm situation looking for Sunday?

For areas along and east of the I-45 corridor looks like widespread thunderstorms with some areas possibly getting 3+ inches of rain.Models show a band or two of training storms along the slow moving frontal boundary.But they differ on exactly where the bands setup,some have the band setting up closer to the coast while others have it setting up along or north of the I-10 corridor.The further west you are from I-45 the drier it looks to be tomorrow, with a tight gradient of rainfall amounts over the area.

[Cpv17]

Nothing unhealthy about living in reality, but chosing to dodge it is definately unhealthy.

Seriously? You could be in the bullseye for a foot of snow within 48 hours of an event and you’d still think like, oh we may get a dusting but that’s about it. Yeah, I’d definitely say that’s living in reality.

[sambucol]

Trying to understand what to expect for SETX. When will the cold air arrive here? Im guessing no winter precip for us.

[Stratton20]

sambucol cold air will most likely arrive by monday midday or maybe morning, as for precip, likely just cold rain for yall with the exception for NW counties, trust me you should be happy with just cold rain, this setup is all out ice/sleet, no snow, ice is miserable

[jasons2k]

jasons2k i personally dont find weather apps to be reliable for temps, mainly just for the radar

I pretty much make my own forecast for temps if I’m being completely honest. And I don’t rely on the NWS or apps for too much of anything. I ride or die with my own forecast. Just being honest.

Same here but the NWS point forecast for my location plus my old rule of thumb: IAH - 1 for lows and IAH + 1 for highs…it’s usually spot-on. If not, within 2 degrees. The misses stand out but it’s infrequent.

[jasons2k]

It was a sad day when I heard the news 9/28/2018 of Ticka's passing. Glad I had a chance to meet her at our Kemah gathering years ago.

Indeed it was. She was one of the original members on S2K when we started.

We need to plan another gathering. I’d like to meet our local members.

[Cpv17]

jasons2k i personally dont find weather apps to be reliable for temps, mainly just for the radar

I pretty much make my own forecast for temps if I’m being completely honest. And I don’t rely on the NWS or apps for too much of anything. I ride or die with my own forecast. Just being honest.

Same here but the NWS point forecast for my location plus my old rule of thumb: IAH - 1 for lows and IAH + 1 for highs…it’s usually spot-on. If not, within 2 degrees. The misses stand out but it’s infrequent.

Yeah, that’s actually a pretty good idea!

[Cpv17]

It’s actually been raining here this morning more than I thought it would. Just had a downpour for a good 5-10 minutes and now the HRRR is giving me 2” of rain over the next 48 hours. Looks to setup along the 59 corridor into Houston and then follow I-10 into Beaumont.

[djmike]

Already over 1” in Beaumont after our flood event 4 days ago. standing water already back in the yard with the ground being so saturated here. Back in a flood watch I see. I don’t remember getting this much rain in January before. This is almost spring like…

[Stratton20]

Man this week is going to be a total mess across the state

[don]

Harris county added to the flood watch.

[jasons2k]

They need to add Montgomery - training bands setting up and moving in.

[Cpv17]

They need to add Montgomery - training bands setting up and moving in.

I agree with you completely. Montgomery County is getting hammered.

[djmike]

Nearing 3” now for today. Almost 7” for the week. Sheesh! Looking at NWS, looks like the entire week will be a washout.

[Cpv17]

Nearing 3” now for today. Almost 7” for the week. Sheesh! Looking at NWS, looks like the entire week will be a washout.

Get your boat ready in Beaumont.

[jasons2k]

It is just pouring here. Lots of thunder and lightning. No wind. It reminds me of a good old fashioned summer thunderstorm in Florida.

[suprdav2]

Already at 4.56 inches here in Cypress. My poor back yard.....

12.5 inches so far for January!