January 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
Posts: 4257
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

I suspect the 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks will trend towards below normal precipitation, the sub tropical jet just doesn’t look to be that active after next Tuesdays storm system, figures
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5733
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Yeah, the rain chances on Saturday are much lower in CLL than HOU/IAH. Tuesday is the main fly in the ointment for us. Otherwise, cool to seasonable temps. We are progged not to hit freezing, although that could change, particularly next weekend.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5733
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Ensembles are cooler than normal, but not arctic yet for the next 10 days.
Cromagnum
Posts: 2652
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

I would pretty much bank on us getting hammered with the severe stuff and a complete swing and miss on any type of enjoyable cold weather.
Cpv17
Posts: 5335
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote: Thu Jan 19, 2023 8:54 pm I would pretty much bank on us getting hammered with the severe stuff and a complete swing and miss on any type of enjoyable cold weather.
That would be a big change from what has been happening the past couple months. Mostly the severe stuff has been north and east of us. Heck, most of the rain lately has been.
Stratton20
Posts: 4257
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Significant change on the ICON at the 500 mb vort level, the low now tracks much further south, coastal low develops in response
User avatar
sambucol
Posts: 1047
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 5:43 pm
Location: Mont Belvieu
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 19, 2023 9:57 pm Significant change on the ICON at the 500 mb vort level, the low now tracks much further south, coastal low develops in response
Sounds good for SETX!
Cpv17
Posts: 5335
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

sambucol wrote: Thu Jan 19, 2023 10:14 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 19, 2023 9:57 pm Significant change on the ICON at the 500 mb vort level, the low now tracks much further south, coastal low develops in response
Sounds good for SETX!
We might for once actually see some decent rains around here.
User avatar
don
Posts: 2638
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

I've already received more than 3 inches of rain so far this month,with more rain to come.
Cpv17
Posts: 5335
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

don wrote: Thu Jan 19, 2023 10:44 pm I've already received more than 3 inches of rain so far this month,with more rain to come.
I’ve only had one inch since around Thanksgiving time. So almost two months. Prior to that I was getting some good rains on a consistent basis but nothing lately. Everything has been north and east of me.
Stratton20
Posts: 4257
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Models are starting to hint at an arctic blast, hopefully we can get a legit cold snap before winter is over, 60’s for highs are fine, but not really cold, just my opinion though, ensembles look decent in the medium range
Last edited by Stratton20 on Fri Jan 20, 2023 12:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
snowman65
Posts: 1191
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx
Contact:

Dear winter weather lovers,
Sorry, not this year. See yall in hurricane season.
signed,
Mother Nature
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

snowman65 wrote: Fri Jan 20, 2023 12:12 pm Dear winter weather lovers,
Sorry, not this year. See yall in hurricane season.
signed,
Mother Nature
Wrong. February looks cold.
Team #NeverSummer
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5733
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Around the 29th the moisture, coastal low could be in place. We just need the cold air.

It's -80°F in Siberia - why waste that beautifully cold air? A vaca across the north pole?
Stratton20
Posts: 4257
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

DoctorMu we just need cross polar flow to setup, i dont know how people can live in temps like that, blows my mind, i do agree that we need to watch that coastal low around the 29th, its been consistently their in the GFS
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5419
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

I’ve been watching that Russian - Siberian cold for a couple of weeks. That’s why I was saying be patient. ;)
Cromagnum
Posts: 2652
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

I have to wonder how stormy spring will be around here. It feels like it's been many years since we had a legit thunderstorm season. I remember it happening all the time as a kiddo.
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote: Fri Jan 20, 2023 12:47 pm I have to wonder how stormy spring will be around here. It feels like it's been many years since we had a legit thunderstorm season. I remember it happening all the time as a kiddo.
It hasn’t been that long since we had extremely active Springs. Hell, 2015-2019 was very wet.
Team #NeverSummer
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5733
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote: Fri Jan 20, 2023 12:47 pm I have to wonder how stormy spring will be around here. It feels like it's been many years since we had a legit thunderstorm season. I remember it happening all the time as a kiddo.
Probably, a lot of ejection north, like usual lately.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5733
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Fri Jan 20, 2023 1:01 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Fri Jan 20, 2023 12:47 pm I have to wonder how stormy spring will be around here. It feels like it's been many years since we had a legit thunderstorm season. I remember it happening all the time as a kiddo.
It hasn’t been that long since we had extremely active Springs. Hell, 2015-2019 was very wet.
I bout a drought resistance Mexican Oak in the Spring of 2016, but flooding rains drowned it. Since then in CLL we only had 1 Spring (2019?) where late May and June rains left us very wet...but then it still didn't rain hardly at all until late August.
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot], Bing [Bot] and 33 guests