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Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 9:54 am
by Cpv17
I just looked at the mesoscale models for tomorrow and I’m not really seeing much rain around for a lot of us yet rain chances are like 80-90%. I don’t see anything that should warrant such high chances.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 9:58 am
by don
Thundersleet wrote: ↑Fri Jan 27, 2023 11:32 pm
Only out of curiosity, does anyone know what became of ticka1, wxman57, and Mr.T? Please tell me CO-VID did not snuff their lives out.
Mr.T hasn't been here for years like almost a decade now,im not sure what happened to him.The last time I remember him posting was during the March 2014 ice storm.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 10:36 am
by jasons2k
My $.02 on the topic:
Yeah be careful not to judge people by what they post online.
I’m an optimistic person. I love life and my family - I have been extremely blessed. But when we have a drought or major freeze I probably come a across as a whiny curmudgeon. That’s not me in real life — what I rant about on this board at times doesn’t define who I am, or how I act 99% of the time. So be careful with that.
Weatherwise - it’s a chilly off an on rain up here.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 10:44 am
by jasons2k
Over the last couple of days the low forecasted for next Friday has been rising on the weather app. It was 28 now it’s 38. Not even showing a freeze…
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 10:55 am
by Katdaddy
It was a sad day when I heard the news 9/28/2018 of Ticka's passing. Glad I had a chance to meet her at our Kemah gathering years ago.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 10:57 am
by Stratton20
jasons2k i personally dont find weather apps to be reliable for temps, mainly just for the radar
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 11:46 am
by Cpv17
jasons2k wrote: ↑Sat Jan 28, 2023 10:36 am
My $.02 on the topic:
Yeah be careful not to judge people by what they post online.
I’m an optimistic person. I love life and my family - I have been extremely blessed. But when we have a drought or major freeze I probably come a across as a whiny curmudgeon. That’s not me in real life — what I rant about on this board at times doesn’t define who I am, or how I act 99% of the time. So be careful with that.
Weatherwise - it’s a chilly off an on rain up here.
Just annoys me when people post these doom posts without being properly educated on things and just automatically jump to the worst conclusions about things.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 11:48 am
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 28, 2023 10:57 am
jasons2k i personally dont find weather apps to be reliable for temps, mainly just for the radar
I pretty much make my own forecast for temps if I’m being completely honest. And I don’t rely on the NWS or apps for too much of anything. I ride or die with my own forecast. Just being honest.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 12:16 pm
by Iceresistance
Thundersleet wrote: ↑Fri Jan 27, 2023 11:32 pm
Only out of curiosity, does anyone know what became of ticka1, wxman57, and Mr.T? Please tell me CO-VID did not snuff their lives out.
Wxman57 is on S2K.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 12:22 pm
by DoctorMu
Canadian and NAM12K continue to be in agreement. Guessing about a 40% chance of freezing rain or sleet late this week. For those south of Hwy 1*5 I think the SE ridge is just a bit too strong. Canadian has lows in the teens in CLL next weekend.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 12:26 pm
by Stratton20
DoctorMu CMC has a light glazing for CS
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 12:26 pm
by DoctorMu
TBH, the entire winter so far has gone as expected in CLL. It's been cooler than normal until later today. January thaw after Christmas dry cold. We have colder weather ahead later in the upcoming week.
In the Houston area, the warm sector has dominated, including last weekend's severe weather.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 12:27 pm
by DoctorMu
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 28, 2023 12:26 pm
DoctorMu CMC has a light glazing for CS
That's no surprise. A Shipley's Donuts layer of glaze is possible.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 12:46 pm
by don
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 28, 2023 9:54 am
I just looked at the mesoscale models for tomorrow and I’m not really seeing much rain around for a lot of us yet rain chances are like 80-90%. I don’t see anything that should warrant such high chances.
I don't see that...I guess it depends where you're located.For the eastern half of SE Texas (Houston and points east) rain chances still look pretty good,with most models showing widespread thunderstorms developing tomorrow morning/afternoon.Could be some localized street flooding also tomorrow.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 1:00 pm
by Cpv17
don wrote: ↑Sat Jan 28, 2023 12:46 pm
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 28, 2023 9:54 am
I just looked at the mesoscale models for tomorrow and I’m not really seeing much rain around for a lot of us yet rain chances are like 80-90%. I don’t see anything that should warrant such high chances.
I don't see that...I guess it depends where you're located.For the eastern half of SE Texas (Houston and points east) rain chances still look pretty good,with most models showing widespread thunderstorms developing tomorrow morning/afternoon.Could be some localized street flooding also tomorrow.
wpc_excessive_rainfsll_day2.us_sc.png
I was mainly talking about my area. I should’ve mentioned that. My bad.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 4:08 pm
by snowman65
Nothing unhealthy about living in reality, but chosing to dodge it is definately unhealthy.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 4:59 pm
by DoctorMu
Still icy glaze on NAM12k from a Brenham to College Station to Buffalo line.
A very unstable line and complex forecast in a Battle Royale between Artic air and the SE ridge. The Baja ULL is a fly in the ointment that NAM and CMC are struggle with and GFS is ignoring. The Euro isn't sure. Neither the Euro nor GFS are great in the winter with arctic air masses.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 5:01 pm
by DoctorMu
18zNAM is edging ice and snow closer and closer to covering CLL.
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 8:17 pm
by Cromagnum
How is the storm situation looking for Sunday?
Re: January 2023
Posted: Sat Jan 28, 2023 8:37 pm
by Iceresistance
Cold Front faster than expected.