March 2023

[DoctorMu]

Fingers crossed the line weakens! The cap should win out though

Jailbreaks are still possible.

[Cpv17]

The line is now developing further south. Supercell currently over San Antonio.

[DoctorMu]

The cap and dry air in the mid levels have eroded somewhat. Don't count your chickens...until they are picked up by 70 mph winds!

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24

At least near CLL.

[jasons2k]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 58
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
745 PM CST Thu Mar 2 2023

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Texas

* Effective this Thursday night from 745 PM until Midnight CST.

* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will spread eastward this evening,
while posing a threat for mainly damaging winds.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles south of
Lufkin TX to 45 miles south southwest of College Station TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

[DoctorMu]

...and there you have it.

Message: NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-TX12663C067E08.SevereThunderstormWarning.12663C068574TX.HGXSVSHGX.0149587d9cd4d75ce9351de05c888112 from w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Sent: 20:26 CST on 03-02-2023
Effective: 20:26 CST on 03-02-2023
Expires: 20:45 CST on 03-02-2023
Event: Severe Thunderstorm Warning
Alert:
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CST
FOR BURLESON...CENTRAL BRAZOS AND WESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

At 825 PM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles southwest of Hearne to 8 miles northwest of
Caldwell to near Lexington, moving east at 40 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
Locations impacted include...
College Station, Bryan, Caldwell, Somerville, Snook, Burton, Wixon
Valley, Lake Somerville Dam, Lake Somerville State Park & Trailway,
Kyle Field, Bryan Utilities Lake, Carmine, Lyons, Deanville,
Chriesman, Quarry and Wellborn.
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
Instructions: For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
Target Area:
Brazos
Burleson
Washington

[don]

[Stratton20]

Well the southern part of the line is definitely weakening appreciably, thats good news , cap holding strong

[Cpv17]

Well the southern part of the line is definitely weakening appreciably, thats good news , cap holding strong

Good news for you maybe. Some of us would like some rain and a decent storm lol

[Iceresistance]

Well the southern part of the line is definitely weakening appreciably, thats good news , cap holding strong

Of course, when you say that, you get clapped with the line of storms.

[DoctorMu]

We have tacos.

Linear winds and actual rain. Not too bad so far.

The cold air has caught up with the line, so the severe threat is *probably* over.

I'd expect a broken line of storms moving east - good for the plants.

The trees are budding and leaves emerging nearly a month ahead of next year.

[don]

Well the southern part of the line is definitely weakening appreciably, thats good news , cap holding strong

Yep just as expected. The GFS has been pretty consistent on a stormy pattern starting towards the middle of the month,we shall see.

[DoctorMu]

Well the southern part of the line is definitely weakening appreciably, thats good news , cap holding strong

Good news for you maybe. Some of us would like some rain and a decent storm lol

It's raining here. Pretty hard.

Unfortunately, there's an outflow starting. It may run out of gas west of Katy. I'll keep my fingers crossed for you all.

[jasons2k]

Line is starting to fizzle, right on cue.

[Cromagnum]

Yep. Big old nothin burger for south of I10, maybe even all of our area based on radar. I don't understand how it can be so humid for a month, and when a front finally comes again there is no rain.

[DoctorMu]

But it wasn't the cap, as mid levels were increasing in moisture. The cold front took the legs out of the southern portion of the line, and generated an outflow. It will take until tomorrow for the line to reform in the warm sector.

[jasons2k]

Great, about to get a pile of yard debris for maybe 2 drops if anything.

[dp6]

Got 30 minutes of rain without any hail or wind damage, so today was pretty good to me.

[Cromagnum]

Driveway didn't even get damp here. What a joke.

[jasons2k]

Nothing here. So much for that 80% chance if rain. My weather app never got over 30% (most of the time it was 0%)

Scorecard for the most recent 2 weather events:

iOS Weather App - 2
NWS - 0

Facts are facts. Glad I watered on Wednesday.

[Cpv17]

Got 30 minutes of rain without any hail or wind damage, so today was pretty good to me.

And where the heck do you live?