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Where the heck did this come from?

Severe thunderstorm warning here now:

Rip76 wrote: ↑Sun Jun 04, 2023 12:55 am Where the heck did this come from?

Two cells merged. It escalated quickly and held together. It's nice to see some rain.

Getting slammed here in katy

It's pouring here. Nice MCS moving through Next few days may be stormy on and off.

Pouring. Nothing severe though.

A lot of persistent wind right now with these storms. And the rainfall is torrential my street is almost about to flood.

Im thinking this MCS may work over the atmosphere pretty good, may not see much in the way of new development until probably tommorow evening of so

Nothing but a sprinkle over here.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jun 04, 2023 2:41 am Nothing but a sprinkle over here.

Dang that sucks! I got 2.3” IMBY. The highest totals I’ve seen for the event appear to be in the Pecan Grove/Harvest Green area

Models were showing that MCS dieing before it got down here, then storms refiring. The exact opposite happened so far.

Picked up almost 2 inches here.

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Sun Jun 04, 2023 10:03 am Models were showing that MCS dieing before it got down here, then storms refiring. The exact opposite happened so far.

It shows forecast models get it wrong. Forecast models do get it right as well.

I dont expect much in the way of redevelopment this afternoon, as expected the atmosphere is too worked over from the MCS

Rainfall amount - I'd estimate about 0.7 in IMBY Only about 0.28 inches at the airport.

Good, but we need more. Our rain left in the wee hours, so there may be less substinence.

Widely scattered daytime heating driven showers appear to be the norm through Tuesday - about 40% chance every day. Seabreeze chances after that through next Saturday.

Expect the ridge to begin building after next weekend.


.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 425 AM CDT Sun Jun 4 2023

With the cutoff mid/upper level low meandering in the region through
mid week, SE TX will remain in a favorable spot for continued active
weather as a series of short-waves move down from the Plains. And as
it has been of late the timing of these systems look to be the major
problem with the forecast. Current runs are indicating that the bulk
of these disturbances could be more of an issue for the evening/over-
night crews. For now, will keep at least scattered POPs in the grids
for both daytime and nighttime hours for Tues/Weds.

Heading into Thur/Fri, the stronger closed low over the Baja will be
on the move east and push some weak ridging aloft into the state. At
this time, will expect the return to a more familiar pattern of main-
ly daytime storms with the sea breeze. Temperatures will remain warm
with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s through the week. 41

There are more thunderstorms flaring up in Texas.
https://radar.weather.gov/region/southplains/standard

Heavy rain at the CLL airport. Not a drop here. It's getting darker, though...maybe the cell drifts this way?

Im expecting those storms to likely weaken as they drift westward, still looks like a pretty stable environment over most of se texas

Nothing but a trace here last night and crickets today. Hopefully it’s my turn tomorrow.

Poof, those storms hit a wall and died