July 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
user:null
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The biggest winner this week in terms of storm coverage has been Brazoria county, and nearby areas of Matagorda (i.e. Bay City): they've been having nice cells provide rain for that area, even during the SAL outbreak. In contrast, coverage was much more sparce for the rest of Houston, though Sugar Land and especially Hobby have gotten some good hits (Hobby got 1.58 inches of rain on Tuesday!).
user:null
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Cpv17 wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 2:07 pmI wouldn’t even mind it if at least we had daily afternoon storm chances like they do in FL. But this crap of 100° every day with hardly a drop of rain is for the birds. I’ve only gotten 1” of rain in the past two months. How my area is only in the abnormally dry category on the drought map is beyond me. Our pasture here is fried and our yard would be too if not for watering it and raising the blade up when we cut it. And the cotton out here looks terrible this year unless it was irrigated. And crazy thing is, cotton doesn’t even like much rain but still needs at least a lil bit.
It always seemed like Louisiana was water-logged. But I've looked at their totals recently, and many areas haven't been that much better than the HOU area so far this summer: Port Arthur, Lake Charles, Baton Rouge, New Iberia, even New Orleans are all in significant deficits so far this summer. Port Arthur is only just over 2 inches so far this month, while New Orleans is a bit over 3 inches (great deficit compared to their average).
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Cromagnum
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user:null wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 3:05 pm The biggest winner this week in terms of storm coverage has been Brazoria county, and nearby areas of Matagorda (i.e. Bay City): they've been having nice cells provide rain for that area, even during the SAL outbreak. In contrast, coverage was much more sparce for the rest of Houston, though Sugar Land and especially Hobby have gotten some good hits (Hobby got 1.58 inches of rain on Tuesday!).
Parts of Brazoria County have gotten rain almost every day. I haven't seen anything in a month.
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DoctorMu
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Ensembles are starting to buy into GFS prog of a decent chance of rail around August 8th.

CMC, GFS, GEPS see a cold front penetrating to near SETX before washing out. Euro has the front easing down through north Texas.

This week might have been fruitful for us, but the Saharan dust pulverized any chances.

28 freakin' days until football season!
Cpv17
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DoctorMu wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 5:04 pm Ensembles are starting to buy into GFS prog of a decent chance of rail around August 8th.

CMC, GFS, GEPS see a cold front penetrating to near SETX before washing out. Euro has the front easing down through north Texas.

This week might have been fruitful for us, but the Saharan dust pulverized any chances.

28 freakin' days until football season!
If you’re referring to A&M, I wouldn’t get your hopes up. I’m honestly surprised they’re still getting so many top recruits. Their bag game must be strong.
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 5:49 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 5:04 pm Ensembles are starting to buy into GFS prog of a decent chance of rail around August 8th.

CMC, GFS, GEPS see a cold front penetrating to near SETX before washing out. Euro has the front easing down through north Texas.

This week might have been fruitful for us, but the Saharan dust pulverized any chances.

28 freakin' days until football season!
If you’re referring to A&M, I wouldn’t get your hopes up. I’m honestly surprised they’re still getting so many top recruits. Their bag game must be strong.
With Dumbo? No way!

NIL the Thrill.

Just looking forward to watching SEC and NCAAF in the comfort of my home - there's only golf and baseball contests that don't really count on TV now. A&M doesn't play on the first weekend.

When A&M comes for Elko after Duke runs through a weak ACC this season, they're going to have to pay a premium buyout now, meaning 2 large buyouts. ;)
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MontgomeryCoWx
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DoctorMu wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 6:51 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 5:49 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 5:04 pm Ensembles are starting to buy into GFS prog of a decent chance of rail around August 8th.

CMC, GFS, GEPS see a cold front penetrating to near SETX before washing out. Euro has the front easing down through north Texas.

This week might have been fruitful for us, but the Saharan dust pulverized any chances.

28 freakin' days until football season!
If you’re referring to A&M, I wouldn’t get your hopes up. I’m honestly surprised they’re still getting so many top recruits. Their bag game must be strong.
With Dumbo? No way!

NIL the Thrill.

Just looking forward to watching SEC and NCAAF in the comfort of my home - there's only golf and baseball contests that don't really count on TV now. A&M doesn't play on the first weekend.

When A&M comes for Elko after Duke runs through a weak ACC this season, they're going to have to pay a premium buyout now, meaning 2 large buyouts. ;)
The only major college coach, in Texas, worse than Jimbo is Sark. Texas going on year 13 of **** results.

DoctorMu, are you DukeMu on TexAgs?
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jasons2k
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This next week will go down as the hottest week of the summer for us. Stay hydrated and cool.
Stratton20
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Im definitely encouraged by the GFS over night run, hopefully the prospect for increased rain chances in the first week of august continue to improve!
Cpv17
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 7:08 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 6:51 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 5:49 pm

If you’re referring to A&M, I wouldn’t get your hopes up. I’m honestly surprised they’re still getting so many top recruits. Their bag game must be strong.
With Dumbo? No way!

NIL the Thrill.

Just looking forward to watching SEC and NCAAF in the comfort of my home - there's only golf and baseball contests that don't really count on TV now. A&M doesn't play on the first weekend.

When A&M comes for Elko after Duke runs through a weak ACC this season, they're going to have to pay a premium buyout now, meaning 2 large buyouts. ;)
The only major college coach, in Texas, worse than Jimbo is Sark. Texas going on year 13 of **** results.

DoctorMu, are you DukeMu on TexAgs?
I do think Texas ends up with a better record than A&M this year though but that’s mostly cuz they have 2-3 guys that could be first round picks in next years draft. They will miss Bijan a lot though. A&M has so much talent but like Texas, they have development problems. This coming season will make or break Sark imo.
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Rip76
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jul 30, 2023 12:42 am
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 7:08 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 6:51 pm

With Dumbo? No way!

NIL the Thrill.

Just looking forward to watching SEC and NCAAF in the comfort of my home - there's only golf and baseball contests that don't really count on TV now. A&M doesn't play on the first weekend.

When A&M comes for Elko after Duke runs through a weak ACC this season, they're going to have to pay a premium buyout now, meaning 2 large buyouts. ;)
The only major college coach, in Texas, worse than Jimbo is Sark. Texas going on year 13 of **** results.

DoctorMu, are you DukeMu on TexAgs?
I do think Texas ends up with a better record than A&M this year though but that’s mostly cuz they have 2-3 guys that could be first round picks in next years draft. They will miss Bijan a lot though. A&M has so much talent but like Texas, they have development problems. This coming season will make or break Sark imo.
I believe you’re right about this being Sark’s make or break year.
Possibly why Patterson is hanging around for another year. Someone CDC knows well.

** Oh yes, weather.
Sun. That is all.
davidiowx
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This heat is getting incredibly old. Can’t even get some dang clouds consistently. Can we nuke a high pressure? LOL
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GBinGrimes
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Slow watering around foundations of house and barn. The ground is dry again within 15 minutes of moving the hose. This is crazy stuff. Planted 20 pine trees in the spring. Keeping them alive is no small task.

Irrigation system is next on the "to do" list, along with stockpiling well pump motors.
Cpv17
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davidiowx wrote: Sun Jul 30, 2023 5:44 pm This heat is getting incredibly old. Can’t even get some dang clouds consistently. Can we nuke a high pressure? LOL
Hang in there a bit longer. Changes may be coming.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Early Winter forecasts look a bit extreme to the cold and snowfall side….
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Stratton20
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That’s interesting, nornally el nino implies colder and wetter conditions around here, but maybe not as much extreme cold events, so that’s definitely intriguing
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sun Jul 30, 2023 7:36 pm That’s interesting, nornally el nino implies colder and wetter conditions around here, but maybe not as much extreme cold events, so that’s definitely intriguing
Usually during El Niños, it’s only cooler than normal here because of clouds and rain events. Not really because of cold shots of air coming down. So yeah, that would be different.
Cromagnum
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Have cracks in my yard big enough to break my own ankle in if I don't watch where I step. That's extra fun when we just had knee surgery on my dog and he needs help going outside for a while.
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jul 30, 2023 7:40 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Sun Jul 30, 2023 7:36 pm That’s interesting, nornally el nino implies colder and wetter conditions around here, but maybe not as much extreme cold events, so that’s definitely intriguing
Usually during El Niños, it’s only cooler than normal here because of clouds and rain events. Not really because of cold shots of air coming down. So yeah, that would be different.
Right - there's usually a lot of SJT overrun and cold drizzle during El Niño winters in SETX.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jul 30, 2023 7:40 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Sun Jul 30, 2023 7:36 pm That’s interesting, nornally el nino implies colder and wetter conditions around here, but maybe not as much extreme cold events, so that’s definitely intriguing
Usually during El Niños, it’s only cooler than normal here because of clouds and rain events. Not really because of cold shots of air coming down. So yeah, that would be different.
That’s why I was skeptical.
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