2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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August could be really interesting around here:

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Cpv17
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Interesting that the ensembles pretty much kill Beryl and the one behind it as they get into the western Caribbean. We’ll have to see about that.
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tireman4
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The 11 am..wxman57 said the NHC track would shift south and they did
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tireman4
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Tomer Berg
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Cpv17
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https://x.com/burgwx/status/1807083666717213112

Interesting, but will there be anything left of it by the time it gets near the Yucatan is the question I have.
cperk
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Cpv17 wrote: Sat Jun 29, 2024 11:22 am https://x.com/burgwx/status/1807083666717213112

Interesting, but will there be anything left of it by the time it gets near the Yucatan is the question I have.
According to the 12z GFS at hour 192 it's a tropical storm in the bay of campeche.
biggerbyte
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LOL

Isn't weather just magnificent? :)
It's like chapters of a book. Today, not only does Beryl stay south, but it might even kill over.

Things obviously look pretty certain, but until it's over, it ain't over..
Cpv17
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I’d say it’s certain that it’ll get near Jamaica in a few days. After Jamaica is where I have questions regarding strength and track.

Then there will be Chris to pay attention to behind Beryl.
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srainhoutx
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Major Hurricane impacting the Windward Islands tomorrow into Monday is awfully early in the Season.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Cpv17
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Unprecedented territory here folks.
cperk
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Cpv17 wrote: Sat Jun 29, 2024 12:30 pm I’d say it’s certain that it’ll get near Jamaica in a few days. After Jamaica is where I have questions regarding strength and track.

Then there will be Chris to pay attention to behind Beryl.
Recon will tell us a lot about the future track.
Stratton20
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Euro and EPS/ shifted gulf time into the gulf , ICON and GFS show an intact system that is able to strengthen as it gets into the gulf, we will need to watch that if that ends up happenin
biggerbyte
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If this gets anywhere in the gulf and catches a ride north all bets are off. Though that scenario is still on the table, at this juncture it's not likely. This high pressure is strong and vast.
Just as things have changed since suggestions from a few days ago, I'm sure they will change again. Ike was a perfect example of it ain't done until it's done.
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biggerbyte wrote: Sat Jun 29, 2024 1:37 pm If this gets anywhere in the gulf and catches a ride north all bets are off. Though that scenario is still on the table, at this juncture it's not likely. This high pressure is strong and vast.
Just as things have changed since suggestions from a few days ago, I'm sure they will change again. Ike was a perfect example of it ain't done until it's done.
Beryl or the one after?

And just a suggestion... could we have separate threads for the different systems?
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srainhoutx
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Goomba wrote: Sat Jun 29, 2024 1:47 pm
biggerbyte wrote: Sat Jun 29, 2024 1:37 pm If this gets anywhere in the gulf and catches a ride north all bets are off. Though that scenario is still on the table, at this juncture it's not likely. This high pressure is strong and vast.
Just as things have changed since suggestions from a few days ago, I'm sure they will change again. Ike was a perfect example of it ain't done until it's done.
Beryl or the one after?

And just a suggestion... could we have separate threads for the different systems?
There is no reason why we can't have separate threads at all. I highly encourage folks start and then update their threads to keep them timely. It certainly would make it a whole lot easier to follow different systems. ;)
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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mcheer23
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Sure thing. I will start one for the current systems.
Scott747
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12z suite across the board had a bit of a shift n once it approaches and crosses the YP. Not enough to concern us here but the lower texas coast. Then again we're talking about a storm that hasn't even entered the Caribbean yet.
Cpv17
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Goomba wrote: Sat Jun 29, 2024 1:47 pm
biggerbyte wrote: Sat Jun 29, 2024 1:37 pm If this gets anywhere in the gulf and catches a ride north all bets are off. Though that scenario is still on the table, at this juncture it's not likely. This high pressure is strong and vast.
Just as things have changed since suggestions from a few days ago, I'm sure they will change again. Ike was a perfect example of it ain't done until it's done.
Beryl or the one after?

And just a suggestion... could we have separate threads for the different systems?
OP was referring to Beryl.
Scott747
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Ugh. Multiple threads. :(
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tireman4
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Just had a pro met say we really need to watch future Chris
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