November 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
Posts: 4248
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

guinness i had a feeling that the cloudiness was going to keep a lid on severe potential today, and im certainly happy for folks that got meaningful rain without any of the severe stuff
Cpv17
Posts: 5300
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 4:45 pm 2.5 inches in my rain gauge which I will gladly take.
Wtf? That’s a sh*tload. I got .58”. Heck, I’m happy with that. I wasn’t even sure I’d get that much.
biggerbyte
Posts: 1142
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:15 am
Location: Porter, Texas. (Montgomery County)
Contact:

We are setting a dangerous precedent for the general public. Not even within 24 hours. Cry wolf syndrome is deadly. Armageddon on the rocks. We better do better than this.
Cpv17
Posts: 5300
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 4:55 pm guinness i had a feeling that the cloudiness was going to keep a lid on severe potential today, and im certainly happy for folks that got meaningful rain without any of the severe stuff
I don’t think anyone got anything severe today. Didn’t hear about one single watch or warning all day.
User avatar
djmike
Posts: 1703
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
Location: BEAUMONT, TX
Contact:

biggerbyte wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 5:00 pm We are setting a dangerous precedent for the general public. Not even within 24 hours. Cry wolf syndrome is deadly. Armageddon on the rocks. We better do better than this.
Agree 100%!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Cromagnum
Posts: 2624
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

biggerbyte wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 5:00 pm We are setting a dangerous precedent for the general public. Not even within 24 hours. Cry wolf syndrome is deadly. Armageddon on the rocks. We better do better than this.
Forecasts have busted before and this won't be the last time. All of the broadcasters last night were making a huge point that this setup was conditional. The real problem is that society has gotten soft and everyone wants to shutdown all activity at the slightest hint of bad weather. In the 80s as a kid, if it stormed while we were at school, we just dealt with it.
Last edited by Cromagnum on Thu Nov 30, 2023 5:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Cromagnum
Posts: 2624
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 4:59 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 4:45 pm 2.5 inches in my rain gauge which I will gladly take.
Wtf? That’s a sh*tload. I got .58”. Heck, I’m happy with that. I wasn’t even sure I’d get that much.
It's STILL raining at home apparently according to my wife. Ditch in front of the house is full and there is standing water in my backyard.

Image
User avatar
don
Posts: 2618
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

biggerbyte wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 5:00 pm We are setting a dangerous precedent for the general public. Not even within 24 hours. Cry wolf syndrome is deadly. Armageddon on the rocks. We better do better than this.
Maybe a bit hyperbolic...🤔Bust happen, the weather is very hard to forecast. They weren't forecasting Armageddon, it was a conditional chance of tornadoes. And that's a good thing it didn't happen. Only thing that sucks is the rain was not as widespread because the warm front didn't move pass I-10.
User avatar
don
Posts: 2618
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

I've picked up about 1" of rain so far.The southeastern half of Harris county has rainfall amounts of 1-3 inches showing in the counties rain gauges, not bad.Though it would have been nice if those rainfall amounts were more widespread across the area. So understand some disappointment in that.
cperk
Posts: 770
Joined: Sun Aug 19, 2012 12:09 pm
Location: Richmond
Contact:

I got an inch and hope to get a little tomorrow :) .
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 4488
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

They ( NWS) did mention potential. They also mentioned the variables in which severe could not take place. I think they covered the bases in the write ups
User avatar
Katdaddy
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 2502
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 8:18 am
Location: League City, Tx
Contact:

Very glad we had cloud cover this morning resulting in less lift because the shear was in place. Very low clouds were moving rapidly across the sky today. So far a nice 3.14" total since this morning.
Cpv17
Posts: 5300
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

You people on the SE side hit the jackpot. Super jealous of y’all. The HRRR this morning pretty much nailed it.
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5401
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

Have a total of .54" so far.

I don't think there was a single severe weather watch, warning, or report anywhere in SE Texas today. After all hype, it turned out to be a big nothing-burger.
DavidH
Posts: 21
Joined: Mon Nov 19, 2018 11:44 am
Location: Danbury, Texas
Contact:

2.44"
Cpv17
Posts: 5300
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

jasons2k wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 8:01 pm Have a total of .54" so far.

I don't think there was a single severe weather watch, warning, or report anywhere in SE Texas today. After all hype, it turned out to be a big nothing-burger.
This was the biggest bust that I can remember, honestly.
User avatar
don
Posts: 2618
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 9:49 pm
jasons2k wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 8:01 pm Have a total of .54" so far.

I don't think there was a single severe weather watch, warning, or report anywhere in SE Texas today. After all hype, it turned out to be a big nothing-burger.
This was the biggest bust that I can remember, honestly.
Nah, the moderate risk in April 2017 was a worse bust than today's.There was nothing but streamer showers that day for most. LOL


Image
Last edited by don on Thu Nov 30, 2023 10:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5401
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

don wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 10:13 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 9:49 pm
jasons2k wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 8:01 pm Have a total of .54" so far.

I don't think there was a single severe weather watch, warning, or report anywhere in SE Texas today. After all hype, it turned out to be a big nothing-burger.
This was the biggest bust that I can remember, honestly.
Nah, the moderate risk in April 2017 was a worse bus,than today.There was nothing but streamer showers that day for most. LOL


Image
Yep, that was probably the worst, but the pattern continues...
Cpv17
Posts: 5300
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

don wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 10:13 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 9:49 pm
jasons2k wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 8:01 pm Have a total of .54" so far.

I don't think there was a single severe weather watch, warning, or report anywhere in SE Texas today. After all hype, it turned out to be a big nothing-burger.
This was the biggest bust that I can remember, honestly.
Nah, the moderate risk in April 2017 was a worse bust than today's.There was nothing but streamer showers that day for most. LOL


Image
Sir, you have a good memory lol. I completely forgot about this till you mentioned it.
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5401
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 10:41 am jasons2k I never said the threat wasn’t gone, I said the cloud cover and light rain might help add some stability to the atmosphere, im not downplaying anything, im aware of the threat and the dynamics that are there, just hoping we can get things to not go out of hand, it is a serious setup, no doubt about it, im just hoping the forecast doesnt pan out, but hope is a naive thing sometimes
As it turned out, you were right about the cloud cover. My apologies for jumping the gun on that. I really expected some spin-ups despite the lack of cape.
Post Reply
  • Information