February 2024

[tireman4]

Will it be cold? Will we have wintry mischief?

[Cpv17]

Will it be cold? Will we have wintry mischief?

Hopefully yes to both!!

[Stratton20]

The whole month looks cold, should be a fun ride!

[sambucol]

I’m ready. Real winter for February.

[Cpv17]

I’m ready. Real winter for February.

I’m ready for snow and more temps in the teens and twenties.

[Thundersleet]

Here here, bring on more Winter !

[Stratton20]

we will have to watch for any potential affects from the SSWE that just occured a few days ago, around mid february ( 12th and beyond, Im thinking we start off the first couple of days in february on the mild side, but then transition towards a much colder regime after the first week

[sambucol]

From Larry Cosgrove in response to my question about winter weather returning to SETX:

Yes, I think sometime in February we will get another winter event, and the month may actually turn out to be cold and stormy.

[Stratton20]

I think so to, im seeing signs of another -NAO signature beginning to take shape on the ensembles in the 11-15 day period, starting to see that ridging over the US retrograding into canada

[sambucol]

Larry is very good at forecasting. I’m leaving my winter preps in place.

[Stratton20]

Looks like the operational models are showing the ridge retrograding into north canada, new ridge building over alaska, higher heights building over greenland, and a active STJ, February looks like a fun month, ensembles/ weeklies keep a -NAO/- AO pattern established for the entire month

[Cpv17]

The CPC has already placed parts of southeast TX in another moderate risk for excessive rainfall from the February 3rd-5th timeframe.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 yeah, big oof, hopefully nothing too crazy comes out of that

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 yeah, big oof, hopefully nothing too crazy comes out of that

It’s possible there will be a bigger risk for flooding next time around because the grounds are already saturated.

[Pas_Bon]

Cpv17 yeah, big oof, hopefully nothing too crazy comes out of that

It’s possible there will be a bigger risk for flooding next time around because the grounds are already saturated.

Whoa It rained?

[Stratton20]

Blocking showing up on the operational models now, while i believe this will be a slow flip to cold, I do see alot lining up for a very interesting february

[djmike]

Happy February! Anything cold on the horizon?

[Cpv17]

Happy February! Anything cold on the horizon?

After the 10th it’s possible but not a lot of confidence in that rn.

[sambucol]

Blocking showing up on the operational models now, while i believe this will be a slow flip to cold, I do see alot lining up for a very interesting february

Larry Cosgrove agrees

[Thundersleet]

So, after that brief arctic outbreak during the middle of last month we get a month or nearly that length of time of Springlike weather? Am I gathering, understanding, or perceiving that correctly or right? If that is the case then personally, I would not mind if most if not all of March turns out to be Winter like and early Spring turns out to be a little below average. I say all of this now, but, that is how I feel about it.