April 2024

[Cromagnum]

Put the two newest vehicles in the garage. The oldest one is gonna have to suck it up unfortunately. Need a new roof anyways.

[don]

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Mesoscale Discussion 0408
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024

Areas affected...Middle TX Coastal Plain into Southeast TX

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98...99...

Valid 100658Z - 100830Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98, 99
continues.

SUMMARY...Threat for damaging wind gusts continues from the Middle
TX Coastal Plain into Southeast TX. An increase in the damaging wind
gust potential is anticipated across southeast TX over the next few
hours.

DISCUSSION...Recent regional radar imagery depicts a convective line
extending from Fayette County in the middle TX coastal plain
south-southwestward into Brooks County in deep south TX. Updrafts
within the northern portion of this line have remain relatively
strong over the past hour or so. Some sharpening of the reflectivity
gradient has also been noted within this portion of the line as
well. The downstream airmass across southeast TX is characterized by
steep mid-level lapse rates (noted in the 04Z CRP sounding) and
strong buoyancy (i.e. MLCAPE over 2000 J/kg in latest mesoanalysis).
Moderate vertical shear exist across the region as well, with the
HGX VAD recently sampling 51 kt of 0-6 km bulk shear. This
combination of buoyancy and shear should be more than sufficient for
maintenance of the ongoing line, with a continued threat for
damaging wind gusts and/or large hail.

There is also the potential for more organization within this line
as the primary shortwave currently over the southern continues to
progress eastward, contributing to increase large-scale forcing for
ascent. Additionally, an outflow boundary from early convection
stretches across the region, evidenced by wind shift from southerly
across the upper TX Coast to more northerly/northeasterly farther
north. This boundary could act as a corridor of greater severe
potential, particularly for damaging gusts, as it provides
additional mesoscale ascent.

[don]

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[suprdav2]

It's NASTY out there!!! Haven't felt this nervous about the weather in quite a while.....

[Cromagnum]

Bad stuff getting close.

[Houstonkid]

Almost done in Katy. We’ve had 3” of rain so far and no hail or wind.

[Cromagnum]

Wind just got here. Crazy, but seen worse. Dumping buckets.

[869MB]

Yeah hands down this is the most intense rainfall I’ve experienced since Hurricane Harvey and the April 2016 Tax Day Flood. The water came up past the mailbox to the side walk…

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[suprdav2]

My backyard weather station was recording rainfall rates at almost 6"/hour at the worst of the storm. Received almost 4"of rain total, and still raining currently.

[JDsGN]

We saw 3.75” of rain overnight in Fairfield part of Cypress and the majority happened between 2:30 and 3:30 with a peak rainfall rate of 5.69” per hour. Thats insane!

[Cromagnum]

Our Cajun pals getting it bad.

[Pas_Bon]

Wind was really impressive.....felt like a strong tropical storm there for a bit. Lost several limbs, but no other major damage. Limbs/branches down in a lot of places in League City. At one intersection on FM 96 on my way to work, the wind turned a metal traffic signal apparatus by about 30 degrees.

[Cromagnum]

Insane velocity map just NW of Baton Rouge right now.

[Pas_Bon]

Insane velocity map just NW of Baton Rouge right now.

Velocity is exactly where my son lives - New Roads/Ventress, LA
Trying to get in touch with him now

[Cromagnum]

Definitely looks like debris on the velocity scan.

[Cpv17]

Incredible storm last night! The wind, rain, and lightning/thunder was nuts!! Picked up 3.19”. Models underestimated that event. Major severe weather outbreak looks to be on the table for Oklahoma and NTX next Tuesday.

[Cpv17]

Some places around the Newton and Jasper area north of Beaumont look to have gotten 12-18” of rain… wowzers! The models sure didn’t show that happening.

[DoctorMu]

0.89 inches for the multi day event. Good enough. There was that break in the clouds that allowed partial eclipse observation. But we would have had to drive to Lampasas to avoid cloud cover and see a total eclipse.

[jasons2k]

Got 1.99” here which was close to WPC projections. Intense lightning show and debris (small branches) in the yard.

I saw the training in East Texas - it doesn’t take long for those totals to pile-up.

Glad everyone got some rain. My 10-day forecast is dry. This time next week I’ll be running sprinklers again.

[don]

Storm reports locally. Could have been worse, looks like the moderate tornado risk to the east of us isn't panning out also which is good news.

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