April 2024

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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don wrote: Wed Apr 10, 2024 11:16 am Storm reports locally. Could have been worse, looks like the moderate tornado risk to the east of us isn't panning out also which is good news. 😉


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I’ve noticed a lot of the risks for severe weather aren’t really panning out. Not that I’m complaining, just something I’ve noticed.
869MB
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Tornado confirmed in Katy last night…

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https://x.com/pcavlin/status/1778097997785526384
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don
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Not a surprise at all that a tornado happened in Katy last night.When i saw the velocity couplet last night on radar i was scratching my head wondering why HGX only had a severe thunderstorm warning on it.


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Last edited by don on Wed Apr 10, 2024 12:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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don
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Apr 10, 2024 11:37 am
don wrote: Wed Apr 10, 2024 11:16 am Storm reports locally. Could have been worse, looks like the moderate tornado risk to the east of us isn't panning out also which is good news. 😉


Cabbpture.PNG

Capdture.PNG
I’ve noticed a lot of the risks for severe weather aren’t really panning out. Not that I’m complaining, just something I’ve noticed.
Yeah, the moderate risk in Oklahoma the other day was a bust also.
869MB
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Yeah according to Pat Calvin this was rated as an EF-1 Tornado. This was approximately 3 miles south of my house…


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869MB
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869MB wrote: Tue Apr 09, 2024 10:00 pm CAM's or Short-term models didn't do a good job at all with initializing these severe thunderstorms off to the northeast of the Houston area now...




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I think this poorly modeled convection I alluded to last night contaminated the warm sector under the Moderate Risk earlier than forecasters expected.
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don
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869MB wrote: Wed Apr 10, 2024 12:52 pm
869MB wrote: Tue Apr 09, 2024 10:00 pm CAM's or Short-term models didn't do a good job at all with initializing these severe thunderstorms off to the northeast of the Houston area now...




COD-NEXRAD-HGX (1).png
I think this poorly modeled convection I alluded to last night contaminated the warm sector under the Moderate Risk earlier than forecasters expected.
Yep i think the atmosphere was overworked to our east with all the storms they had yesterday.
Stratton20
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After last nights storms knocked out the water line here for some time, I would be happy to not see anymore rain for another month or so
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Apr 10, 2024 1:15 pm After last nights storms knocked out the water line here for some time, I would be happy to not see anymore rain for another month or so
Sometimes I really question your passion for the weather lol you sound like you’re afraid of everything.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 Has nothing to do with that at all, for me personally severe weather has never really been a passion of mine, tornado went through my town, lost water for 6-8 hours, yeah i think anyone would take a nice long break from wanting any thunderstorms around, personally i could care less about the rain, yeah its important that we get it heading into summer, but it doesn’t really interest me that much, my passion is tracking tropical systems and winter storms
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Apr 10, 2024 1:38 pm Cpv17 Has nothing to do with that at all, for me personally severe weather has never really been a passion of mine, tornado went through my town, lost water for 6-8 hours, yeah i think anyone would take a nice long break from wanting any thunderstorms around, personally i could care less about the rain, yeah its important that we get it heading into summer, but it doesn’t really interest me that much, my passion is tracking tropical systems and winter storms
My passion is any sort of extreme weather event. Even heatwaves I think are pretty cool but they’re my least favorite.
Cpv17
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jasons2k wrote: Wed Apr 10, 2024 10:21 am Got 1.99” here which was close to WPC projections. Intense lightning show and debris (small branches) in the yard.

I saw the training in East Texas - it doesn’t take long for those totals to pile-up.

Glad everyone got some rain. My 10-day forecast is dry. This time next week I’ll be running sprinklers again.
Idk about that. April looks like a pretty wet month.
Pas_Bon
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Apr 10, 2024 1:53 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Wed Apr 10, 2024 1:38 pm Cpv17 Has nothing to do with that at all, for me personally severe weather has never really been a passion of mine, tornado went through my town, lost water for 6-8 hours, yeah i think anyone would take a nice long break from wanting any thunderstorms around, personally i could care less about the rain, yeah its important that we get it heading into summer, but it doesn’t really interest me that much, my passion is tracking tropical systems and winter storms
My passion is any sort of extreme weather event. Even heatwaves I think are pretty cool but they’re my least favorite.
My first true love as a young un' was tropical weather. I am also extremely glued to the Springtime severe outbreaks and wonder when the next Super Outbreak will occur (akin to 1932, 1974, 2011, etc.)
I started out in college in meteorology/atmospheric science, but alas, I am now a dentist. Bit of a detour, I guess. Lol
Stratton20
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Cpv17 I really only dont like severe weather mainly because of my experience with a night time tornado up in north texas, that was probably the most terrifying event that ive ever been through, not being able to see where it is was so scary, but i am just fascinated with hurricanes or any sort of tropical system, and yeah im about to be working at my moms’s school so yeah my job is definitely a detour as well from the weather world lol
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jasons2k
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My interest in the weather really began in 1977, I was a young kiddo in Tampa, Florida and it snowed. I lived in Riverview, specifically, near the east shore of Hillsborough Bay, and we experienced ‘bay effect snow’ - probably the rarest weather phenomena you can experience in Florida besides a haboob.

My Grandfather was an electrical engineer but an incredible weather enthusiast. He had every kind of instrument and kept very detailed logs. He built himself a homemade barometer with a giant glass container of liquid mercury that went up a thick glass tube on his office wall. The tube ran several feet high. His office would probably be declared a hazmat cleanup site today.

The daily thunderstorms in Florida summers were always fascinating to me. I’d stare at the sky every day watching the daily cycle from clear calm (or fog) to puffy cumulus to eventually thunderstorms. The daily ritual never got boring for me; every storm; every gust front was unique in some way.

We later moved to Savannah and then I became interested in tropical cyclones with all the commotion over hurricane Diana in 1984, then visiting Tampa in 1985 watching hurricane Elena tease the whole gulf coast at one point or another. That storm had a mind of its own, and I couldn’t get it out of my mind. Back in Savannah for the rest of the summer, I’d call Pat Prokop at WTOC for a daily update on hurricane Gloria after school. He patiently answered all my questions (thinking back - that poor man - haha).

We moved to Plano in 1988 and my attention shifted to TV lessons from Harold Taft about severe weather and ice storms. I went extreme by going to school at TTech and saw some crazy blizzards, dust storms, hail and tornadoes out there in the panhandle.

Life can take you to places you never expected. I graduated from Tech with a double-major in History and English with plans to take a break and go to Law School. Thought the rest of my life was already scripted. Well, I got a job in technology after graduation making good money so those plans changed. Those were the days when if you could spell HTML, a lot of companies would throw money at you just to learn web design and do it for them. 😉

I found myself in my 20’s as the first ever DBA for Southwestern Bell Mobile Systems (this is pre-Cingular, pre-AT&T folks). It was the wild west. I had every single rate contract in an Access database with NO backups. In it, were the access keys (codes) to every single tower in the network. There was no Oracle or SQL yet, this was ancient stuff. And because of that - I kid you not - one single error, one single accidental deletion of a table could have brought down the entire company, instantly. The whole thing, shut down. And I was 24-years old and responsible for this.

Insanity.

Anyway, the rest is history. I didn’t go to Law School, but I don’t regret it. I picked up my MBA along the way and now I’m a VP at a bank leading a wonderful team of folks who are a lot more fun to work with than the Legal department. 😃

And somewhere along the way a small group of us from the Lowe’s/Palm Beach Post board went rogue and started this little experiment called Storm2k.

Make lemonade out of lemons 🍋
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Katdaddy
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My interest in weather began at a young age also. In Pearland, TX I experienced 3 weather events that I vividly remember to this day at 55 years old.

1972 - FO Tornado - May 12, 1972 - 4 years old
1973 - 3" snowfall - Feb 9, 1973 - 5 years old
1973 - Tropical Storm Delia - Sep 4-6, 1973 - 5 years old

I decided in high school to keep weather as a lifetime hobby since math was not my strength. I have had success with process control software in the Natural Gas industry. Yep I also remember the GoPBI days that spawn off Storm2k.

1.28" this morning and winds gusted 40-50MPH
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tireman4
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I suppose I will put my log in the fire. I have been fascinated by waether since I was 5. My father had a subscription to Weatherwise, a weather magazine. I could not wait to read it cover to cover. In fouth grade, the class was asked what they want to be when grew up. I enthusiastically replied, Meteorologist and Historian. I had that dream all the way until my senior year in high school. I still had faint hopes of a double major in college, but math took care of that dream. Life has a strange of taking you to places you sorta knew you would end up, but not exactly. I ended up achieving my dream of becoming a Historian ( BA, MA and PhD in History), but my main job is a Librarian ( library director). That being said, the dream of wanting to study weather rears it's head every once in awhile. That is my story.
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jasons2k
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Katdaddy wrote: Wed Apr 10, 2024 6:17 pm Yep I also remember the GoPBI days that spawn off Storm2k.
Ahh, yes, and the screen handle had a different meaning back then ;) Some of the old timers know mine has changed, a few times now.
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Ptarmigan
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Quite a storm last night.
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Ptarmigan
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My interest with weather goes back when I was a child.
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