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Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 8:34 am
by djmike
Snow flurries this morning in Beaumont!

http://www.kfdm.com/articles/flurries-4 ... heast.html

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 9:23 am
by unome
-46 being reported as low temps by NWS Duluth for Int'l Falls & Babbitt

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cm ... 0&source=0

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 10:15 am
by djmike
Wow...odd. Temps in Beaumont continue to fall. Even at the 10:00 hour. Woke up 34.3 and now we just dipped to 31.9.

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 10:41 am
by srainhoutx
Right on cue, the 12Z GFS drops a significant cold surge very far S as a storm takes shape over TX...
01222011 12Z gfs_ten_264l.gif
01222011 12Z gfs_ten_276l.gif
01222011 12Z gfs_ten_288l.gif

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 10:53 am
by Kludge
Seems the SE TX groundhog may need to wear ski boots when he comes out to check for a shadow. I believe this warrants a new topic title, maybe?

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 10:53 am
by harpman
Too bad it's so far out!

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 11:25 am
by srainhoutx
Goodness gracious...

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 11:32 am
by ThunderMan
That would be awesome ;)

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 11:34 am
by srainhoutx
I was very busy earlier and forgot to post the Western Pacific Winter RECON data was ingested into the 12Z output...

Fri Jan 21 14:52:16 2011 GMT
NOUS42 KWNO 211451
ADMNFD

SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS CAMP SPRINGS MD
1350Z FRI JAN 21 2011
12Z NCEP MODEL PRODUCTION IS ON TIME..
15 DROPSONDES IN THE WRN PACIFIC WERE AVAILABLE FOR 12Z GFS INGEST
IN SUPPORT OF WSR..
$$
SHIREY/SDM/NCO/NCEP

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 11:38 am
by wxman57
Yeah, 12Z GFS doesn't have us in the lower teens on the 2nd, but now it has us under 6" or more of snow. Doesn't look like 80 degrees that week to me, regardless.

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 11:51 am
by tireman4
wxman57 wrote:Yeah, 12Z GFS doesn't have us in the lower teens on the 2nd, but now it has us under 6" or more of snow. Doesn't look like 80 degrees that week to me, regardless.

Yeah it does. It is called thermostat in your house....Tee hee......LOL

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 12:02 pm
by tireman4
srainhoutx wrote:I was very busy earlier and forgot to post the Western Pacific Winter RECON data was ingested into the 12Z output...

Fri Jan 21 14:52:16 2011 GMT
NOUS42 KWNO 211451
ADMNFD

SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS CAMP SPRINGS MD
1350Z FRI JAN 21 2011
12Z NCEP MODEL PRODUCTION IS ON TIME..
15 DROPSONDES IN THE WRN PACIFIC WERE AVAILABLE FOR 12Z GFS INGEST
IN SUPPORT OF WSR..
$$


SHIREY/SDM/NCO/NCEP
So to Wxman57 and others<

The input into the models. Is this a really good thing? What I mean is, does this make the model runs even more believable?

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 12:07 pm
by srainhoutx
It lends credence to what the GFS has been suggesting since Tuesday. With that additional Upper Air data in a data sparse region of the Pacific, the support tends to grow at this time. I suspect there will be future Winter RECON missions as well in the days ahead. A storm this significant, if it occurs, would have far reaching impacts across the Nation.

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 12:20 pm
by TexasBreeze
Here we go again! But in reality it will dissappear in the next runs in at most a day or two and we'll see what we have been seeing recently... ;)

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 12:21 pm
by ronyan
TexasBreeze wrote:Here we go again! But in reality it will dissappear in the next runs in at most a day or two and we'll see what we have been seeing recently... ;)
Well it probably will but these events can happen.

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 12:33 pm
by TexasBreeze
Maybe 2004 12/24 again?
I'm ready for the next 70+ degree day like Wxman57 is! :)

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 12:33 pm
by tireman4
TexasBreeze wrote:Here we go again! But in reality it will dissappear in the next runs in at most a day or two and we'll see what we have been seeing recently... ;)
Never ever say never:

Blizzard of 1895...Houston...20 inches:

http://bayoucityhistory.blogspot.com/20 ... wfall.html

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 12:42 pm
by ticka1
Whether it happens or not - at least its fun to talk about even with the heat miser himself! I'll send you an extra snuggie wxman57 if this comes to fruitation.

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 12:44 pm
by tireman4
I must say.. to have something (Summer or Winter event) give Wxman57 pause is something....

Re: January Weather Discussion: Light Freeze Fri/Sat Jan 21

Posted: Fri Jan 21, 2011 12:55 pm
by redneckweather
Are y'all actually getting excited about something that is 2 weeks out? Tis tis tis!!! :D

It's neat to see the possibilities though.