Extratropical Depression Lee: Inland N Gulf States

[Rip76]

Srain, why don't we fly recon out of Ellington?

[srainhoutx]

Srain, why don't we fly recon out of Ellington?

Keesler (Biloxi, MS) is home base for the 53rd

[txsnowmaker]

NWS has bumped up rain chances for metro Houston tonight to 60%...http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... n=-95.3867

However, their forecast of max gusts of 25 mph is off by 11 mph according to their posted data (which shows 36 mph gusts).

[srainhoutx]

Steve,

Perhaps it's just my eyes. Maybe a center has reformed south or the system has moved south. Your thoughts?

It looks as if it is hugging the coast or just a touch inland. Remember this mostly marshland along Coastal SW Louisiana.

[tireman4]

Light to moderate rain in Humble...

[BoonDog]

Any rain we get is wonderful news for fire threats with the front coming through. And it looks like the whole area will get some

[txsnowmaker]

To add to the observations posted by some in this forum, a KFDM meteorologist is on another forum sharing his thoughts that the system appears to be moving SSW over the last hour or so.

[biggerbyte]

Yes, Porter is getting rain now too. 60% chance. What a glorious turn of events. You know, we all talked about this maybe happening a few days back. The final analysis using the models had backed off on a Texas/loop event in the final stage of Lee approaching LA. At that point most folks had given up. Radar hinted all night long a shift west. Yes, up all night praying for a miracle.

[ticka1]

At lake livingston near Onalaska - its been raining since about 5 p.m. - moderate rain. Looks like it might rain all night - makes it rough camping but the whole area up here needs it bad.

So what happened to ts lee - did it move west or did it split off and part got to LA/MS?

[Jamie81]

winds are picking up pretty good here in Alvin (and have been all evening). The cloud bands rolling in made for a pretty sunset. I also see the westerly jog in the latest satellite and IR views. Srain, any chance our area could see some TS watches/warnings posted? I hope it moves just a little further west to get that rain here!

[wxman666]

winds are picking up pretty good here in Alvin (and have been all evening). The cloud bands rolling in made for a pretty sunset. I also see the westerly jog in the latest satellite and IR views. Srain, any chance our area could see some TS watches/warnings posted? I hope it moves just a little further west to get that rain here!

I am wondering this as well. The next couple NHC advisories should be interesting.

[srainhoutx]

The next NHC update (full package discussion) is at 10:00PM. My hunch is IF they are going to make any changes re: Watches/Warnings, it would be at that hour being so close to SE TX. We will see.

[txsnowmaker]

This is starting to feel like our last few winter weather events. About all that is missing is Candy Cane reporting back with his inside info on the content of the next advisory!

I will gladly take them both, but I am more than willing to take a few inches of rain in exchange for missing out on any chance of winter weather this year.

[srainhoutx]

Some changes on the 00Z track guidance...

[srainhoutx]

The 00Z NAM continues to advertise a WSW motion...

[biggerbyte]

And Sat. views suggest it is doing it right now.

[sleetstorm]

How much rain has fallen in southeast Texas today and what is the current status of the drought?

[BoonDog]

How much rain has fallen in southeast Texas today and what is the current status of the drought?

Not much rain has fallen and the drought is still serious.
But any bands of rain we get will help alot before the front comes through

[niner21]

So close yet so far away from the showers.... Literally raining in the front of the neighborhood and not at my house.... Keep swirling LEE!!

Strangest motion I've seen.

[wxman57]

Check out the cool dry air entering north Texas now. It's heading for a rendezvous with Lee tomorrow night/Monday over SE Louisiana.