February 2025

[mcheer23]

January has been below normal, will that continue into February?

[Cpv17]

January has been below normal, will that continue into February?

Depends on the progression of the MJO IMO.

[Cpv17]

From what I’m seeing February could be a doozy as well.

[Stratton20]

Its looking like winter ends abruptly in february, unfavorable MJO, all teleconnections go positive, thats all she wrote for winter

[DoctorMu]

Looks like the temperature for February will be near normal, but warmer than average in the upper Midwest.,

With an active MJO, look for an active SJT and more rain with mild weather. Cross polar events seem very unlikely.

In other words, boring.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Looks like the temperature for February will be near normal, but warmer than average in the upper Midwest.,

With an active MJO, look for an active SJT and more rain with mild weather. Cross polar events seem very unlikely.

In other words, boring.

At least it’s not looking torchy. Februarys can do that after well below normal Januarys

[Stratton20]

The only caviet i see is the first week of february the ensembles are building alot of cold air in western and central canada, but it just sits there and never comes down, just worth watching in case we can get a storm system to drag that out of canada, unlikely but absolutely dont think we can rule out one more big arctic front before all is set and done

[Ptarmigan]

Anything can happen in February. February has produced big freezes like in 1895, 1899, 1933, 1951, 1973, 1985, 1989, 1996 2011, and 2021.

There have been 90 degree days in February in 1940, 1986, and 1996.

[DoctorMu]

Anything can happen in February. February has produced big freezes like in 1895, 1899, 1933, 1951, 1973, 1985, 1989, 1996 2011, and 2021.

There have been 90 degree days in February in 1940, 1986, and 1996.

1996 was brutal. Temps in the 90s not long after cool weather.

[DoctorMu]

Looks like the temperature for February will be near normal, but warmer than average in the upper Midwest.,

With an active MJO, look for an active SJT and more rain with mild weather. Cross polar events seem very unlikely.

In other words, boring.

At least it’s not looking torchy. Februarys can do that after well below normal Januarys

I'd expect a bit of cloudiness with an active jet, but not miserable overrun. We may need to keep an eye out for an early severe outbreak late in the month.

[redneckweather]

Yep, the first week of February give or take we could see a big arctic front come down with a noisy jet stream. I wouldn’t rule out wintry weather across the state during this time period. After that I think we are done. Come on flip flops and hot weather!

[Stratton20]

no thank you, hot weather can stay where it belongs, in south florida

[Stratton20]

First week of february looks interesting, we got the se ridge in play, but look at all of that cold air lurking in western and central canada on the ensembles, would not take much for the dam to burst, gotta watch this closely

[Cpv17]

First week of february looks interesting, we got the se ridge in play, but look at all of that cold air lurking in western and central canada on the ensembles, would not take much for the dam to burst, gotta watch this closely

Yeah, I see some people already talking about it on X.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 yeah i dont think we are done , 12z Euro AIFS shows what im talking about with the dam bursting , how many times have we seen models try to hold
back the arctic air because of the se ridge, and almost every time that arctic air ends up plunging further south like a battering ram

[Cpv17]

https://x.com/bamwxcom/status/188251145 ... _m1NXPw4Cg

[Ptarmigan]

I wonder why Louisiana and Florida got more snow than Southeast Texas.

[Ptarmigan]

First week of february looks interesting, we got the se ridge in play, but look at all of that cold air lurking in western and central canada on the ensembles, would not take much for the dam to burst, gotta watch this closely

I would not be surprised if we see another freeze. February 2011 had another cold blast after the one with the freezing rain event.

[Cpv17]

I wonder why Louisiana and Florida got more snow than Southeast Texas.

I’m also wondering about this, but then again they do get more precipitation than we do.

[sambucol]

I have a feeling we will get an ice storm
In February. No data to back it up. Just a feeling.