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TXZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/15/10 1720Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1645Z CW
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LOCATION...W TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...MOD TO OCCASIONAL HVY RAINS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BAND OF STEADY RAINS MOVING VERY SLOWLY
EWD ACROSS W TX AHEAD OF UL LOW DIPPING SEWD ACROSS NM. WV LOOP SHOWS
STRONG UL DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND IR/WV HAS SHOWN LITTLE MOVEMENT OF THIS
BAND IN THE PAST SEVERAL HRS...WHICH HAS BEGUN TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
RATES NEAR 0.25-0.3"/HR INVOF KLBB. COMPACT VORT LOBE IS SEEN IN WV
LOOP APPROACHING SW TX...IT IS THOUGHT THAT THIS VORT LOBE WILL BEGIN TO
SLOWLY SHIFT THE AXIS OF MOD/OCCASIONAL HVY RAINS E AND SE OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HRS FROM ITS CURRENT POSITION. TRENDS IN VIS ARE ALREADY SHOWING
NEW CONVECTION DEVELOPING TO THE S AND E OF MAF...WITH A FEW LIGHTENING
STRIKES DETECTED IN THE RECENT LIGHTENING NETWORK DATASET. EVEN WITH
THE GOOD UL DYNAMICS INVOLVED LLVL MOISTURE IS RATHER LACKING ACROSS W
TX...PWS GENERALLY AROUND 0.6"...SO RAINFALL RATES NEAR 0.25-0.3"/HR ARE
LIKELY WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED HIGHER RATES APPROACHING 0.4"/HR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.

At the Lubbock NWS they forecasted rain mixed with snow. The radar could be out of callibration. Also, they are reporting heavy rain, not extremely heavy though.