Wx Infinity Forums

Iceresistance wrote: ↑

Fri Nov 26, 2021 11:37 am

End of the 12z run on the GFS has a Snowstorm for DFW & Oklahoma.

True, but 20-50°F warmer in that run in the Rockies. I expect this fantasy to fade away.

GFS 06z has a very light freeze in HOU and mid 20s in CLL on Dec 11. Not unusual for mid December. There does seem significant support behind the cold mass (-15°F to -40°F in Montana, Dakotas), so the unusual part could be the length/reinforcement of the cold snap.

It's a long way off. We'll see.

Iceresistance wrote: ↑

Wed Nov 24, 2021 5:35 pm

18z GFS is getting me strongly concerned for Early December


https://s8.gifyu.com/images/snku_acc.us_sc.png

Light freeze Dec 8/9 near the Houston area, but that's no surprise.

Canadian is giving the Baja low more respect than GFS for widespread rain. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2021112412/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_14.png ...although GFS has local heavy rain accumulation, mostly off the coast. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/20211124...

Forecast is variable to unsettled and cooler beginning tonight through next week. The exception for best weather appears to be Friday with sunny skies and temps in the upper 50s. Next Monday and Tuesday appear to be sunny and in the 60s. Saturday and Sunday could see rain with the cutoff Baja low.

Tweet from yesterday… @RyanMaue — Alaska going thru at least 7-10 days of brutally cold conditions. Temperatures way below 0°F and wind chills colder than -50°F where some people live. Idea is that this cold sits and spins for next 10-days or so, then unloads on the Lower 48 with major Arctic blast...

Seasonal on average for the next 6-10 days. NOAA is betting on warmer in mid-December but I'm going to roll the dice on a brief cold snap.

Better not rain..I have 4 turkeys to smoke on Thanksgiving I believe (correct me if I’m wrong) that November is the #1 month in southeast TX for tornadoes. It’s also the month where we can occasionally get large tornadoes as well like what happened in Channelview in 1992. That may be for Houston. T...

Kingwood36 wrote: ↑

Wed Nov 17, 2021 8:12 pm

Travis herzog made a post about the potential front on Thanksgiving on fb..so atleast it's catching the eyes of the local mets

Yeah, we might get a frost here on the northern tier on Black Friday.

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 526 PM CST Tue Nov 16 2021 .AVIATION [00Z TAF ISSUANCE]... Gusty southerly winds will relax a bit this evening into tonight but will still remain rather breezy with speeds varying between 5 to 10 KTS. Though no fog is expected to...