Saturday morning weather briefing from Jeff: Tropical cyclone formation likely over the western Gulf of Mexico late this weekend or early next week. Heavy to excessive rainfall possible over portions of SE TX early next week. The tropical wave over the Yucatan continues to progress westward and will...

Friday morning weather briefing from Jeff: Heavy rainfall increasingly likely along the TX coast early next week. Tropical wave currently over the western Caribbean may develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm over the SW Gulf late this weekend or early next week. Big shift in the weathe...

We will have to monitor the progress of another upper trough mid to late next Cpv17. If the trough digs S like the current one that brought drier air into Texas, there is the possibility that heavier rains could shift E in time. Coastal Texas will still have to monitor this weekend into early next w...

Thursday morning weather briefing from Jeff: Dry air mass over the region is firmly entrenched behind weak front earlier this week and last night. This will yield hot days and “coolish” nights into Saturday with no chance of rainfall. Pattern will undergo significant changes late Saturday into Sunda...

Is this winter supposed to be cold or colder than normal? I hope so. The first couple I've seen has us at normal precip and colder than normal. I'm leaving this heat hell hole tomorrow morning and headed to the mountains. Lows around 50 and highs around 70. Another cold front just passed my back ya...

Friday morning weather briefing from Jeff: A weak area of low pressure that developed over the SW Caribbean Sea late this week has moved inland over central America in the last 24 hours. Development is not likely as the system remains over the land areas of central America. By early next week the sy...

LOL @ hanging your hat on the Canadian. Not seeing anything favorable like a robust Kelvin Wave or favorable MJO at this time as the more favorable pattern has shifted well East. I expect the tropics will be rather quiet other than Larry putting on a show out in the Atlantic. Perhaps conditions impr...

srainhoutx thats over 9 days out, im taking that with a grain of salt IMO, im not buying it until it shows up inside the 7 day range Kind of like that tropical mischief threat... ;) To be fair, looking at the setup, it is worth watching for Gulf/BOC activity. 😊 Oh absolutely! There's still about 15...

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Mon Aug 30, 2021 8:56 am srainhoutx thats over 9 days out, im taking that with a grain of salt IMO, im not buying it until it shows up inside the 7 day range

Kind of like that tropical mischief threat...

redneckweather we will see, sometimes models dont pick up on systems until they are beginning to form, this has a decently favorable environment to work with so i wouldnt be shocked if this develops, unfortunately we will have to wait anothwr 30 days at least for a “fall” front Not so sure about ha...

Wow...

WWL Radio AM 870 reports that 12 more hours of Hurricane conditions likely for New Orleans.

Electric Transmission Tower that supplies electricity to Jefferson Parish and New Orleans has collapsed into the Mississippi River.

Phil Klotzbach reports Ida ranks with Hurricane Allen (1980) and Hurricane Rita (2005) with a 40 mb drop in pressure in the Gulf in 12 hours.

The impacts between 150 mph and 157 mph are negligible. Not sure other than for historical purposes anyone would "want" a Category 5. Perhaps the media just doing there best to hype. Thankfully I have watched TV in over 2 years...

WTNT64 KNHC 291355 TCUAT4 Hurricane Ida Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021 900 AM CDT Sun Aug 29 2021 ...900 AM CDT POSITION UPDATE... ...NORTHERN EYEWALL OF IDA APPROACHING THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... An elevated NOAA C-MAN station at Southwest Pass,...

Latest AF RECON pass suggests Ida still strengthening. 928 mb at center. Radar also suggests the eye continues to become more symmetrical. Unfortunately no Eyewall Replacement Cycle before landfall.

Move the discussion on any future threats to the September Topic. Nothing on the horizon beyond Ida for the month of August. Thanks.