Winter Long Range Discussion

[Stratton20]

Iceresistance hey 2/20 is better than none

[Kingwood36]

Euro is coming along for next week

[Cpv17]

Euro is coming along for next week

Neutral PNA

[Stratton20]

I know its hard to see but if you look closely, the 18z HRRR does try to spit out some light wintry precip in our northern counties fwiw

[jerryh421]

I know its hard to see but if you look closely, the 18z HRRR does try to spit out some light wintry precip in our northern counties fwiw

Hey Stratton, if you select the regions option in tropicaltidbits you can zoom in closer to our region.

[Stratton20]

jerryh421 oh thanks! ill make sure to do that the next time. i post something

[Stratton20]

David Paul from KHOU said in his forecast update that a sleet mix cant be ruled out on sunday, no travel issues but could be a surprise or two in some spots sunday

[Cpv17]

David Paul from KHOU said in his forecast update that a sleet mix cant be ruled out on sunday, no travel issues but could be a surprise or two in some spots sunday

David Paul is my fav met.

[Stratton20]

CPV17 Yeah hes super great! He always explains things well

[sambucol]

David Paul from KHOU said in his forecast update that a sleet mix cant be ruled out on sunday, no travel issues but could be a surprise or two in some spots sunday

What area could receive a wintry mix? And when? Thanks.

[Stratton20]

Sambucol well if it does occur it will probably be areas around Conroe/ Hunstville, but surprises have happened before probably would be in the early morning ours of sunday I believe

[Stratton20]

Models are backing off anymore cold spells after tommorows one, even the 12z GEFS has backed off on the 2nd front, oh well lets enjoy the 2 days of winter before its back to a boring weather pattern, at least thats what it looks like to me

[Stratton20]

00z Nam for early tommorow morning , shows possible light wintry mix in some of our counties, we shall see, it could happen if their is enough moisture around

[DoctorMu]

Canadian and Ensembles still bringing some cold late week.

[Stratton20]

I think models are struggling with the fact that we have a positive PNA and a Negative EPO, both of these look to stay that way through the 17th of January or so, I suspect we should start to see more bigger cold shots showing up in the models

[Cpv17]

I think models are struggling with the fact that we have a positive PNA and a Negative EPO, both of these look to stay that way through the 17th of January or so, I suspect we should start to see more bigger cold shots showing up in the models

We better hope the PNA isn’t too positive or else it’ll all be east of us.

[Stratton20]

CPV17 Just watched POW ponders update and he showed a graphic in which for the PNA, most ensemble guidance stays around a positive 1 value, Idk if thats too positive or not

[Stratton20]

Hate to say it but this winter is definitely a top 10 worst winters ever, nothing but pure warm crap in the models after this unbelievable smh, this some BS

[don]

Its hard to get sustained cold in a La Nina around here. We will probably see some more arctic air before the seasons over. But don't expect it to stay long though.The pattern is too progressive.

[Stratton20]

I really hope El NINO makes a return next winter, i am over this La Nina ruining winter, ill take a wet pattern next week though, as long as we can stay away from the 80’s