January 2022

[Kingwood36]

Kingwood36 I really hope so man because quite a few 18z GEFS members dropped this system

For as long as they showed it to all of a sudden drop it seems kinds ehhh to me..I think they will bring it back

[Iceresistance]

the operational gfs continues to be hot garbage, i think we should discard this model

Or better yet, place it as "Do not trust" Category.

I found this Tweet

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/148 ... gr%5Etweet

[Kingwood36]

the operational gfs continues to be hot garbage, i think we should discard this model

Or better yet, place it as "Do not trust" Category.

I found this Tweet

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/148 ... gr%5Etweet

That explains it

[Cpv17]

I’m to the point already where if it happens it happens, if not then whatever lol I’m kinda over it already. Just comes with the territory.

[bdog38]

BBC and "date and time weather" both have frozen precip. ice storm 2022

[bdog38]

they are lowering temps now.

[djmike]

Beaumont is biting…well Lake Charles NWS for Beaumont

[Kingwood36]

Hou/gav isn't biting yet..they have me a low of 33 Thursday night with a 50% of rain then a low of 32 Friday night with a 30% of rain

[Stratton20]

THE NWS has a 20-30% chance of snow showers for me here in college station friday morning , guess they are starting to bite, will see what the 00z models show

[Stratton20]

00z Is significantly colder and shows a setup for a sleet/freezing rain storm, shows we dont get out of the low to mid 30’s on thursday

[walsean1]

David Paul channel 11 just tweeted that it pretty much a cold rain with a slight chance of a snowflake in Brenham/College Station. It’s just not cold enough for a winter storm setup.

[Kingwood36]

He's saving face..it's only Monday...his tune will change

[Stratton20]

walsean1 its just too early to say that

[walsean1]

walsean1 its just too early to say that

We will see what the forecast is by Wednesday Morning but my expectations are tempered. It would be good to get a day off from work

[Cpv17]

walsean1 its just too early to say that

We will see what the forecast is by Wednesday Morning but my expectations are tempered. It would be good to get a day off from work

I’d love that lol I work for Fort Bend County so it would be a paid day off for us.

[don]

There still is a question of moisture availability, it will get cold enough to get frozen precip eventually.But theirs still uncertainty if moisture will be around by the time the colder air gets here.

[don]

The GFS may be getting onboard now...It shows a sleet profile over the metro.The sounding show a pocket of freezing air above the surface.

[TexasBreeze]

Hr 78 during heavier precip shows a nice freezing layer just above the surface when it was warmer before.

[Cpv17]

The GFS may be getting onboard now...It shows a sleet profile over the metro.The sounding show a pocket of freezing air above the surface.

I think a reason why the GFS hasn’t been onboard is due to its lower resolution and its warm bias.

[don]

The 0Z GFS shows some nice qpf amounts in the post frontal environment also...