We had a lot of snow in 2004 and we are east of Houston.txsnowmaker wrote: ↑Fri Dec 16, 2022 8:34 am There’s a met on S2K predicting that it goes further south for a 2004 redux where we end up with nothing here. I sure hope that doesn’t turn out to be the case.
December 2022
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sambucol
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txsnowmaker
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I’ll take my cues from 57 when it comes to tropical weather but I’ll take my cues from our on-air mets when it comes to winter weather, especially when conservative on air mets don’t commonly mention a “legit” shot at snow here a week out like one is doing now.brazoriatx wrote: ↑Fri Dec 16, 2022 8:38 am I don't buy that 6Z GFS run for a second, by the way. It's been way too bullish with west Gulf lows all season. Odds are it doesn't have the pattern right.
Right on cue from 57
https://abc13.com/arctic-blast-white-ch ... /12576536/
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Cpv17
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Actually we’ve been pretty wet lately. I’ve had over 10” of rain at my house in the last 6 weeks and like I mentioned with the SOI crashing this has merit.brazoriatx wrote: ↑Fri Dec 16, 2022 8:38 am I don't buy that 6Z GFS run for a second, by the way. It's been way too bullish with west Gulf lows all season. Odds are it doesn't have the pattern right.
Right on cue from 57
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walsean1
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Stratton20
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I bet it goes ka poof on the 12z lol, but
i hope not!
i hope not!
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brazoriatx
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It will...then it will magically reappear...happens 95% of the time
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brazoriatx
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mcheer23
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Interesting that ensemble support for snow has increased...also shows up on the 00z Euro Control run. As of now probably only a 20 percent chance it actually snows.
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txsnowmaker
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Yep, it’s already done that with this particular system.brazoriatx wrote: ↑Fri Dec 16, 2022 9:37 am It will...then it will magically reappear...happens 95% of the time
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brazoriatx
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mcheer23
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Someone forgot to tell the ICON to stay away from drugs lol
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don
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The 12Z ICON has completely flipped with the trough placement now over the Plains/Rockies.Shows a deeper and slower trough.Very significant change from its previous runs FWIW.
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Cpv17
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What does that mean Don?
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mcheer23
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Icon has Houston around 13 degrees next Friday AM....only warming up to about 30
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Dls2010r
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I’m a dumb dumb with the verbiage.
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Dls2010r
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What about Santa Fe?
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txsnowmaker
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What is the 12z ICON showing for precip in the Houston area?
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Stratton20
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doesnt have any precip in SE Texas but does have snow in the GOM LOL!