June 2024

[Cromagnum]

13 hours on a deep sea charter today. I'm roasted.

[Stratton20]

06z GFS brings in a surge of tropical moisture to the texas coast in association with that disturbance , could boost rain chances, especially if a low becomes closed off

[tireman4]

Sunday Highlights

[jasons2k]

Some tropical moisture moving-in today. They may need to add a chance of rain this afternoon.

[jasons2k]

Some tropical moisture moving-in today. They may need to add a chance of rain this afternoon.

Haha - I just hit refresh on my NWS 7-day and they added a 20% mainly between 1-4PM.

[sswinney]

Already rain in League City this morning. I didn’t get everything in that was drying off and now it’s all wet again.

FWIW, took the kids to Crystal Beach yesterday and the water is ridiculously warm already. Got home and showered off and I swear the water at the beach was warmer.

[Cpv17]

The CPC 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts continue to look promising for some rain!

[Stratton20]

The noaa 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks favor above normal precipitation here, however the WPC doesn’t show much in se texas, but I think most of that is going to depend on how this disturbance near the yucatan evolves and where it tracks, EPS likes the western gulf, I definitely wouldn’t mind some heavy rain to combat this miserable heat!

[don]

I wont be here this hurricane season once we get into early to mid July. I'm finally leaving Houston and moving to Wichita Falls! I'm really looking forward to tornado season and ESPECIALLY next winter up there!

[Stratton20]

Don congratulations thats awesome!

[don]

Don congratulations thats awesome!

Thank you!

[Stratton20]

The 18z GFS tries to bring a weak closed surface low or maybe depression , but it fall apart as it moves towards the upper texas coast as it gets caught under neath a ridge of high pressure over the central US

[don]

0Z GFS We're getting out of "lala land" time frame FWIW.

Screenshot 2024-06-09 at 23-22-43 Models GFS - Pivotal Weather.png (634.45 KiB) Viewed 1996 times

Screenshot 2024-06-09 at 23-23-17 Models GFS - Pivotal Weather.png (653.04 KiB) Viewed 1996 times

[don]

0Z CMC

Screenshot 2024-06-09 at 23-59-42 Models GDPS - Pivotal Weather.png (735.51 KiB) Viewed 1982 times

Screenshot 2024-06-09 at 23-59-59 Models GDPS - Pivotal Weather.png (748.01 KiB) Viewed 1982 times

[Stratton20]

Don 12z Euro has something similar as well

[don]

Don 12z Euro has something similar as well

Yep I saw that, I also noticed the EURO AIFS is showing TC development for a few runs now off the Texas coast/western Gulf.

[don]

The CMC is also developing the same system as the GFS next weekend, it just has it off the Florida coast instead of the Texas coast like the GFS does.
(0Z CMC vs 0Z GFS)

Screenshot 2024-06-10 at 00-27-20 Models GDPS - Pivotal Weather.png (552.19 KiB) Viewed 1962 times

Screenshot 2024-06-10 at 00-31-16 Models GFS - Pivotal Weather.png (584.35 KiB) Viewed 1962 times

[Stratton20]

Man thats an extremely wet run of the Euro 00z!!

[brazoriatx]

Don, once you leave houston are you still going to visit here and keep us up to date with you're excellent knowledge of weather

[jasons2k]

NWS lowered my rain chances down to 30% today.