November 2024
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brazoriatx
- Posts: 415
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Looking like it is going east
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Stratton20
- Posts: 5528
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- Location: College Station, Texas
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Its not going too, models have been correcting back to the west today, that arctic air is coming down here ( modified) before going east
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sambucol
- Posts: 1197
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- Location: Mont Belvieu
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I’ll take it!
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kyzsl51
- Posts: 66
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really which models? Def not on the gfsStratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 24, 2024 4:34 pm Its not going too, models have been correcting back to the west today, that arctic air is coming down here ( modified) before going east
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Stratton20
- Posts: 5528
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kyzs151 CMC, ICON, JMA, Euro AIFS, Euro starting to as well, the GFS is bad at seeing low level shallow cold air, so its definitely too warm, and arctic air in nature wants to sink south first before moving off to the east, alot more guidance is trending west compared to the gfs
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kyzsl51
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Well i hope your right! This fall has suckedStratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 24, 2024 5:16 pm kyzs151 CMC, ICON, JMA, Euro AIFS, Euro starting to as well, the GFS is bad at seeing low level shallow cold air, so its definitely too warm, and arctic air in nature wants to sink south first before moving off to the east, alot more guidance is trending west compared to the gfs
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DoctorMu
- Posts: 7491
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Correct. GFS sends the cooler air east. Canadian and the Euro are more aggressive with freezing temps penetrating Texas. The Ensembles split the difference.kyzsl51 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 24, 2024 5:03 pmreally which models? Def not on the gfsStratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 24, 2024 4:34 pm Its not going too, models have been correcting back to the west today, that arctic air is coming down here ( modified) before going east
We'll see. But I think we're in for a little below average temps for the beginning of Decamber. How long and how cold are not consistently progged yet.
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DoctorMu
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JMA is sending the cold stuff east.
Still good news and consistent with the 6-10 day NWS forecast.
Still good news and consistent with the 6-10 day NWS forecast.
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tireman4
- Global Moderator
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This week
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don
- Posts: 3095
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Finally looks like the first freeze of the season will happen here tonight. And Thanksgiving night looks to be in the upper 20’s. Two weeks later than average but better late than never.
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Ptarmigan
- Statistical Specialist
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I will take any cooler weather.
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Cpv17
- Posts: 6751
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Yesterday it was this site that wasn’t working and now today I can’t access Storm2k .. damn.
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tireman4
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Cromagnum
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High getting all the way to 82 today. Blech.
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Cpv17
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jasons2k
- Posts: 6024
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Our planet is so screwed…
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Cpv17
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tireman4
- Global Moderator
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Happy Thanksgiving to you all!
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MontgomeryCoWx
- Posts: 2632
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I’ll take that bet on snow and give you 100-1 odds that it stays the same decadal wise.
Team #NeverSummer
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Cpv17
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Spill the beans bro lolMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Thu Nov 28, 2024 6:21 pmI’ll take that bet on snow and give you 100-1 odds that it stays the same decadal wise.