June 2025
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tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6211
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
Sunday Outlook
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biggerbyte
- Posts: 1401
- Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:15 am
- Location: Porter, Texas. (Montgomery County)
- Contact:
Is anyone else having trouble getting on Storm2k? It seems like any Texas ip is blocked. Both my cell phone and computer need to use a VPN. It has been since last hurricane season that I've tried.
I don't think it could be both Optimum and Verizon, so it must be a global block of some sort.
Edit to add..
Never mind. I turned off WiFi on my phone and get through using cell service perfectly fine. So, that leaves Optimum.
I don't think it could be both Optimum and Verizon, so it must be a global block of some sort.
Edit to add..
Never mind. I turned off WiFi on my phone and get through using cell service perfectly fine. So, that leaves Optimum.
I wonder if it will make it on down.
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Stratton20
- Posts: 5419
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
This is looking like a bust
Hmmmmmmmmm................... More thunderstorms.
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwa ... %20warning
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwa ... %20warning
Code: Select all
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
TXC313-020345-
/O.NEW.KHGX.SV.W.0106.250602T0313Z-250602T0345Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1013 PM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025
The National Weather Service in League City has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Western Madison County in southeastern Texas...
* Until 1045 PM CDT.
* At 1013 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles southwest
of Fort Boggy State Park, or 17 miles northwest of Madisonville,
moving southeast at 40 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
to roofs, siding, and trees.
* Locations impacted include...
Madisonville, Normangee, and North Zulch.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3093 9583 3084 9618 3086 9618 3087 9620
3090 9620 3091 9621 3094 9620 3095 9621
3095 9623 3097 9624 3100 9617 3107 9604
3107 9601 3109 9598 3109 9592
TIME...MOT...LOC 0313Z 336DEG 33KT 3113 9611
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
$$
Batiste
Bust for me.
The I-45 corridor - maybe down to south of Huntsville.
The I-45 corridor - maybe down to south of Huntsville.
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tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6211
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
825
FXUS64 KHGX 021110
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
610 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 223 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
The potential for strong storms over much of Southeast TX will
continue to decrease during the overnight period. However, an
elongated vort max moving over and east of I-45 may result in a
few more isolated showers and storms through the early morning
hours. For the rest of today into tonight, mostly tranquil
conditions are expected as a mid to upper level ridge moves across
the region. High temperatures today will be in the upper 80s to
lower 90s and the lows tonight will be generally in the lower to
mid 70s inland.
The ridge will weaken late Monday into early Tuesday in response to
a mid to upper level shortwave|disturbance moving across the
Southern Plains. This could trigger some isolated showers and
thunderstorms on Tuesday over portions of Southeast TX, in
particular during the afternoon hours as diurnal heating and
instability increases. Otherwise, we can expect partly cloudy
skies along with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. For
Wednesday night, storms developing over the northern and central
portions of TX during the day, may move into the Brazos Valley
and Piney Woods region during the night hours. The lows are
expected warm up into the mid to upper 70s for most locations.
Cotto
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
The best chance for rain in the long term period will be on
Wednesday as a frontal boundary plays the "I`m not touching you"
game with the Brazos Valley. The boundary looks to be close enough
though to elevate PW values above the 90th percentile (~1.89").
With southwesterly flow aloft bringing in embedded shortwaves
combined with onshore flow at the surface, we`ll have enough
moisture/lift/instability for a decent chance of showers and
storms Wednesday into early Thursday. As far as temperatures go
for Wednesday, expect high temperatures will be mainly in the low
90s with low temperatures in the mid to upper 70s (potentially in
the low 80s along the coast). Things begin to change heading
towards the end of the work week though...
Model guidance is still consistent with a ~592+ dam mid-level high
building in over northern Mexico towards the end of the work week.
This coincides with a plume of Saharan dust that is expected to move
in starting on Friday. The end result is a decreasing trend in rain
chances and an increasing trend in temperatures. By the end of the
work week, high temperatures will be approaching the mid to upper
90s...and likely solidly in the upper 90s over the weekend. Heat
indices will be well into the triple digits and may potentially
flirt with the Heat Advisory threshold towards the end of the week.
So the weekend outlook is hot, hazy (with decreased air quality from
the dust), and mostly dry. Very fitting for the first full weekend
of meteorological summer! Ensemble guidance shows the hot
temperatures sticking around into early next week as well...
Batiste
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 608 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
VFR conditions expected today. SE winds at 10-15 KTS today,
becoming 3-6 KTS tonight. Periods of MVFR cigs and patchy fog are
possible early Tue morning.
Cotto
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
Light onshore flow and low seas will continue into Monday. Onshore
flow strengthens late Tuesday leading to increasing seas (up to
around 3 to 5 ft) and the potential for caution flags to be raised
for the bays and Gulf waters through early Wednesday. The elevated
onshore flow will lead to an increased risk of rip currents along
Gulf-facing beaches around and after midweek. Chances for showers
and thunderstorms return around midweek.
Batiste
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 92 73 91 76 / 0 0 20 20
Houston (IAH) 91 75 90 78 / 10 0 20 10
Galveston (GLS) 87 79 88 81 / 0 0 10 10
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Cotto
LONG TERM....Batiste
AVIATION...Cotto
MARINE...Batiste
FXUS64 KHGX 021110
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
610 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 223 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
The potential for strong storms over much of Southeast TX will
continue to decrease during the overnight period. However, an
elongated vort max moving over and east of I-45 may result in a
few more isolated showers and storms through the early morning
hours. For the rest of today into tonight, mostly tranquil
conditions are expected as a mid to upper level ridge moves across
the region. High temperatures today will be in the upper 80s to
lower 90s and the lows tonight will be generally in the lower to
mid 70s inland.
The ridge will weaken late Monday into early Tuesday in response to
a mid to upper level shortwave|disturbance moving across the
Southern Plains. This could trigger some isolated showers and
thunderstorms on Tuesday over portions of Southeast TX, in
particular during the afternoon hours as diurnal heating and
instability increases. Otherwise, we can expect partly cloudy
skies along with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. For
Wednesday night, storms developing over the northern and central
portions of TX during the day, may move into the Brazos Valley
and Piney Woods region during the night hours. The lows are
expected warm up into the mid to upper 70s for most locations.
Cotto
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
The best chance for rain in the long term period will be on
Wednesday as a frontal boundary plays the "I`m not touching you"
game with the Brazos Valley. The boundary looks to be close enough
though to elevate PW values above the 90th percentile (~1.89").
With southwesterly flow aloft bringing in embedded shortwaves
combined with onshore flow at the surface, we`ll have enough
moisture/lift/instability for a decent chance of showers and
storms Wednesday into early Thursday. As far as temperatures go
for Wednesday, expect high temperatures will be mainly in the low
90s with low temperatures in the mid to upper 70s (potentially in
the low 80s along the coast). Things begin to change heading
towards the end of the work week though...
Model guidance is still consistent with a ~592+ dam mid-level high
building in over northern Mexico towards the end of the work week.
This coincides with a plume of Saharan dust that is expected to move
in starting on Friday. The end result is a decreasing trend in rain
chances and an increasing trend in temperatures. By the end of the
work week, high temperatures will be approaching the mid to upper
90s...and likely solidly in the upper 90s over the weekend. Heat
indices will be well into the triple digits and may potentially
flirt with the Heat Advisory threshold towards the end of the week.
So the weekend outlook is hot, hazy (with decreased air quality from
the dust), and mostly dry. Very fitting for the first full weekend
of meteorological summer! Ensemble guidance shows the hot
temperatures sticking around into early next week as well...
Batiste
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 608 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
VFR conditions expected today. SE winds at 10-15 KTS today,
becoming 3-6 KTS tonight. Periods of MVFR cigs and patchy fog are
possible early Tue morning.
Cotto
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
Light onshore flow and low seas will continue into Monday. Onshore
flow strengthens late Tuesday leading to increasing seas (up to
around 3 to 5 ft) and the potential for caution flags to be raised
for the bays and Gulf waters through early Wednesday. The elevated
onshore flow will lead to an increased risk of rip currents along
Gulf-facing beaches around and after midweek. Chances for showers
and thunderstorms return around midweek.
Batiste
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 92 73 91 76 / 0 0 20 20
Houston (IAH) 91 75 90 78 / 10 0 20 10
Galveston (GLS) 87 79 88 81 / 0 0 10 10
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Cotto
LONG TERM....Batiste
AVIATION...Cotto
MARINE...Batiste
It’s a wet day down here in Boca Raton.
Holy smokes it’s hailing here in Boca. Don’t see that often down here in these parts.
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6211
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
202
FXUS64 KHGX 022005
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
305 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
Satellite imagery shows a cumulus field that has been persisting
through the day and reflectivity reveals a very faint sea breeze
moving in from the Gulf. So far this has not been enough forcing
to trigger convection. A few Hi-Res models do show an isolated
shower/storm or two developing this afternoon as the sea breeze
moves inland, though confidence on that occurring is low. If any
development does occur, it would likely be a basic summertime
pop-up with a quick downpour and a few rumbles of thunder.
For tonight, expect warm and humid conditions with lows around the
mid to upper 70s along and south of I-10 and in the low to mid 70s
across the Brazos Valley/Piney Woods/North of Houston.
The ridge is expected to weaken late today into Tuesday. This will
be in response to a mid-level shortwave that will cut across the
Southern Plains. A few vort maxes are progged to move through
during the day which would work in concert with the available
moisture (PW around 1.8" by Tuesday afternoon) to trigger isolated
showers and thunderstorms. These would be more likely to occur
with peak heating in the afternoon as instability increases. The
highest probabilities will lie generally along and west of the
I-45 corridor (15-20%). Outside of the thunderstorm potential,
skies should be partly cloudy with highs in the upper 80s to low
90s.
Tuesday night will be another warm and muggy night with lows in
the 70s inland and near 80 degrees along the coast. A couple of
showers may try to sneak in from the NW into the Brazos
valley/Piney Woods late Tuesday night into early Wednesday
morning ahead of a cold front that will be approaching Central
Texas.
Adams
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
Wednesday may see a few isolated showers an storms, courtesy of
passing shortwave just north of our area, along with a stalled
frontal boundary in the vicinity. Afterwards, ridging takes hold
over Texas/Northern Mexico, ushering in hot weather through the
weekend. 500mb heights across the region rise above 590 dam with
NAEFS mean 500mb heights above the 90th climatological percentile
from Thursday through Sunday. LREF mean 850mb temperatures start off
around 16-19C at the beginning of this period, then rise up to 17-
23C by the end of the weekend. Highs on Thursday are forecasted to
reach the upper 80s/mid 90s with isolated triple digit temperatures
possible on Sunday. Dewpoints are expected to be in the 70s, though
could mix out into the upper 60s for some inland areas during the
afternoon hours. Broadly, heat indices on Thursday & Friday will
range from 96-107F, then 100-110F over the weekend.
The effects of this heat will mostly be moderate during the work
week, primarily affecting those already sensitive to heat. Heading
into the weekend, heat levels will pose a greater risk to all
individuals, with health systems and heat sensitive industries more
likely to feel impacts as well. Heat advisories aren`t out of the
question during this period, though we`ll have to see how much of a
role mixing will play over the next few days.
03
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
VFR prevailing at all sites this afternoon. Winds are light out of
the southeast. CIGs may reach MVFR levels for a few hours early
Tuesday morning for several sites; however, confidence is low on
how long this will last and if MVFR criteria will be reached at
all. Latest models have backed off on this potential for IAH, but
maintained TEMPO for now. CXO may experience MVFR VSBYs briefly
Tuesday morning. Otherwise, VFR through the period, with light
southeast winds.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 213 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
Light onshore flow and low seas will continue through the
afternoon into Tuesday during the day. Onshore flow strengthens
late Tuesday leading to increasing seas (up to around 3 to 5 ft)
and the potential for caution flags to be raised for the bays and
Gulf waters through early Wednesday. The elevated onshore flow
will lead to an increased risk of rip currents along Gulf-facing
beaches around and after midweek. Chances for showers and
thunderstorms return around midweek.
Adams/Batiste
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 73 92 75 89 / 10 10 10 40
Houston (IAH) 75 89 77 90 / 0 20 0 50
Galveston (GLS) 80 86 80 87 / 0 10 10 30
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Adams
LONG TERM....03
AVIATION...Adams
MARINE...Adams/Batiste
FXUS64 KHGX 022005
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
305 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
Satellite imagery shows a cumulus field that has been persisting
through the day and reflectivity reveals a very faint sea breeze
moving in from the Gulf. So far this has not been enough forcing
to trigger convection. A few Hi-Res models do show an isolated
shower/storm or two developing this afternoon as the sea breeze
moves inland, though confidence on that occurring is low. If any
development does occur, it would likely be a basic summertime
pop-up with a quick downpour and a few rumbles of thunder.
For tonight, expect warm and humid conditions with lows around the
mid to upper 70s along and south of I-10 and in the low to mid 70s
across the Brazos Valley/Piney Woods/North of Houston.
The ridge is expected to weaken late today into Tuesday. This will
be in response to a mid-level shortwave that will cut across the
Southern Plains. A few vort maxes are progged to move through
during the day which would work in concert with the available
moisture (PW around 1.8" by Tuesday afternoon) to trigger isolated
showers and thunderstorms. These would be more likely to occur
with peak heating in the afternoon as instability increases. The
highest probabilities will lie generally along and west of the
I-45 corridor (15-20%). Outside of the thunderstorm potential,
skies should be partly cloudy with highs in the upper 80s to low
90s.
Tuesday night will be another warm and muggy night with lows in
the 70s inland and near 80 degrees along the coast. A couple of
showers may try to sneak in from the NW into the Brazos
valley/Piney Woods late Tuesday night into early Wednesday
morning ahead of a cold front that will be approaching Central
Texas.
Adams
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
Wednesday may see a few isolated showers an storms, courtesy of
passing shortwave just north of our area, along with a stalled
frontal boundary in the vicinity. Afterwards, ridging takes hold
over Texas/Northern Mexico, ushering in hot weather through the
weekend. 500mb heights across the region rise above 590 dam with
NAEFS mean 500mb heights above the 90th climatological percentile
from Thursday through Sunday. LREF mean 850mb temperatures start off
around 16-19C at the beginning of this period, then rise up to 17-
23C by the end of the weekend. Highs on Thursday are forecasted to
reach the upper 80s/mid 90s with isolated triple digit temperatures
possible on Sunday. Dewpoints are expected to be in the 70s, though
could mix out into the upper 60s for some inland areas during the
afternoon hours. Broadly, heat indices on Thursday & Friday will
range from 96-107F, then 100-110F over the weekend.
The effects of this heat will mostly be moderate during the work
week, primarily affecting those already sensitive to heat. Heading
into the weekend, heat levels will pose a greater risk to all
individuals, with health systems and heat sensitive industries more
likely to feel impacts as well. Heat advisories aren`t out of the
question during this period, though we`ll have to see how much of a
role mixing will play over the next few days.
03
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
VFR prevailing at all sites this afternoon. Winds are light out of
the southeast. CIGs may reach MVFR levels for a few hours early
Tuesday morning for several sites; however, confidence is low on
how long this will last and if MVFR criteria will be reached at
all. Latest models have backed off on this potential for IAH, but
maintained TEMPO for now. CXO may experience MVFR VSBYs briefly
Tuesday morning. Otherwise, VFR through the period, with light
southeast winds.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 213 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025
Light onshore flow and low seas will continue through the
afternoon into Tuesday during the day. Onshore flow strengthens
late Tuesday leading to increasing seas (up to around 3 to 5 ft)
and the potential for caution flags to be raised for the bays and
Gulf waters through early Wednesday. The elevated onshore flow
will lead to an increased risk of rip currents along Gulf-facing
beaches around and after midweek. Chances for showers and
thunderstorms return around midweek.
Adams/Batiste
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 73 92 75 89 / 10 10 10 40
Houston (IAH) 75 89 77 90 / 0 20 0 50
Galveston (GLS) 80 86 80 87 / 0 10 10 30
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Adams
LONG TERM....03
AVIATION...Adams
MARINE...Adams/Batiste
Dayum,
NWS has replaced the alleged rain chances for later in the week with HEAT, haze, and the BIG SUCK.
Wish I was in Boca.
Yep - rainy and 80s in Gainesville, FL beginning late week. I hate it when the weather flips here. FL gets rain every other day and we get the Big Suck.
Jason - I just wouldn't come back. Sell the homestead and rely on rainwater for your tropical plants.
NWS has replaced the alleged rain chances for later in the week with HEAT, haze, and the BIG SUCK.
Wish I was in Boca.
Yep - rainy and 80s in Gainesville, FL beginning late week. I hate it when the weather flips here. FL gets rain every other day and we get the Big Suck.
Jason - I just wouldn't come back. Sell the homestead and rely on rainwater for your tropical plants.
Last edited by DoctorMu on Mon Jun 02, 2025 5:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Oh, man...bite me, DR. Looks bad for the next week or so.
At least the GFS is starting early with its summer "entertainment" modeling: for mid June. lol
At least the GFS is starting early with its summer "entertainment" modeling: for mid June. lol
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Stratton20
- Posts: 5419
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
DoctorMu at least the heat ridge looms to be moving, rebuilds over the western US, with all the rain we have had the last month or so, they may help to put a damper on extreme heat this summer
This is a REALLY cool site that gives you retro-themed local weather data. Free.
https://weatherstar.netbymatt.com/
https://weatherstar.netbymatt.com/
Like the nostalgia.Pas_Bon wrote: ↑Mon Jun 02, 2025 8:01 pm This is a REALLY cool site that gives you retro-themed local weather data. Free.
https://weatherstar.netbymatt.com/
haha 1991 TWC back when they actually carried weather with good Mets instead of TV personality Mets, more accurate forecasts vs. today, jazz over the forecast on the 10s. Occasional science of meteorology programming instead of the dumbed down "reality shows." Today they'll halt coverage of an active TS to show some "When Weather's Gone Wild" or Ice Truckers, or w/e. The models have come along way in 30+ years but broadcasting weather took a nose diver somewhere and never recovered.Pas_Bon wrote: ↑Mon Jun 02, 2025 8:01 pm This is a REALLY cool site that gives you retro-themed local weather data. Free.
https://weatherstar.netbymatt.com/