June 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Cpv17
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DoctorMu wrote: Mon Jun 30, 2025 5:33 pm El Campo and CoCo are and will seem some action from the Barry moisture plume.

Unfortunately, I think the action will be limited to West of Brenham and Caldwell. San Antonio, New Braunfels, Austin, Round Rock. Naturally east around Conroe - Huntsville there is some rain as well. We're in the donut again.
I picked up exactly one inch today. Got lucky after largely missing out on everything last week.
Cpv17
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jasons2k wrote: Mon Jun 30, 2025 6:10 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Mon Jun 30, 2025 5:33 pm El Campo and CoCo are and will seem some action from the Barry moisture plume.

Unfortunately, I think the action will be limited to West of Brenham and Caldwell. San Antonio, New Braunfels, Austin, Round Rock. Naturally east around Conroe - Huntsville there is some rain as well. We're in the donut again.
My house can’t catch a break. Multiple close calls the last several days on radar but my station keeps printing zeros. I think one day last week there was a whole tenth of an inch when the surrounding areas all got slammed.
This is the same exact thing that happened to me last week. I feel your frustration, no doubt.
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DoctorMu
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Cameron, Caldwell are getting rain. So close, but so far away.

Impressive outstretching by Barry's moisture on GOES.

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/s ... &length=24
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DoctorMu
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DoctorMu
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GFS. NWS, Mesos continue to swing and miss. Our 20% yesterday and 10% today became 1.10 inches of rain. Green in July. Prayers still for the Hill Country which continued to flood south of I-20 and west if I-35.

For the time being, I'm ignoring all the forecasts, models/ensembles except the Euro.

Euro deterministic/ensembles have a higher chance of rain on Monday- Wednesday. Allegedly, some ridging from Thursday - the weekend...however, it doesn't appear to last. July 11-20 doesn't feature much ridge on Euro - so, SETX could have a 20-30% chance of showers daily.
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