September 2025

[tireman4]

Today and this week's forecast

[don]

I received over 3 inches of rain this morning.

[DoctorMu]

Is that kosher or sea salt that srain and Don keep rubbing in our wounds?...

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... suedby=HGX

[Pas_Bon]

Don’t look now, but there are starting to be signs of our first substantial Fall front around the 2nd week of October. Still way too early to be highly confident yet, but I’m thankful we are at least seeing the models drop hints at this point. Fingers crossed.

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... suedby=HGX

[DoctorMu]

^There appears to be a battle between a cooler West and warmer East across the models.

Naturally, on the GFS 12z with the robust FROPA moving through Texas there's a little surprise in the Gulf.

[jasons2k]

https://www.chron.com/weather/article/t ... 061941.php

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... suedby=HGX

[DoctorMu]

Mesos feature a bit of hopscotching over CLL. Calling Lucy with this alleged 80% chance of measurable precip.

[Ptarmigan]

^There appears to be a battle between a cooler West and warmer East across the models.

Naturally, on the GFS 12z with the robust FROPA moving through Texas there's a little surprise in the Gulf.

If that was to hold up.......

Again, that is weeks away.

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... suedby=HGX

[DoctorMu]

Here's the scenario:

- Incoming.

- Outflow.

- MCS falls apart, hops over College Station

- Reforms with scattered showers in the Houston area.

[DoctorMu]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... suedby=HGX

...so, yeah - I'm feeling the bust here.

We'll see about that 90% chance.

I brought my umbrella, so rain chances are sinking rapid.

Hope the daytime heating will be enough for you all. NW Harris and south, some pretty good chances.

[tireman4]

I guess NOAA Weather Radio in HGX is working again.

[DoctorMu]

Yep. I think we're screwed. The outflow moved through. Scattered, small cells of showers between here and Houston moving SE. Things should crank up in Harris Co. by 2 pm with a new line of showers reforming.

I should have left my dang umbrella at home.

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... suedby=HGX

[JDsGN]

Is the actual front through CS yet? It appears mid 80s and a 6-7* drop in dew point up in the College Station area so im assuming its through. This widespread event seems to be pretty spread out. Maybe once it reaches into 610/Houston and down to the coast itll build a solid line but it looks like a lot of the northwest viewing area will get nothing more than a passing few drops of rain.

[Pas_Bon]

I am sick of getting my hopes up and dry slotted for this stuff.

[suprdav2]

Not a drop at my house in Cypress.....but a good heavy shower here at my office at 290/Hollister. Go figure.