October 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Post Reply
User avatar
snowman65
Posts: 1341
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx
Contact:

Someone had to start it lol. What shall it bring? Looking for that first true shot of crisp fall weather...
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4375
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

Anything is possible for October 2025.
User avatar
Rip76
Posts: 2073
Joined: Mon Feb 15, 2010 12:38 am
Location: The Woodlands
Contact:

To begin October, looks hot and dry.

Ugh.
Cpv17
Posts: 6732
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

The Euro looks wet begging in 10ish days. GFS, dry through the entire run.
User avatar
Kludge
Posts: 269
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 11:53 pm
Location: Montgomery (Walden) TX
Contact:

The silver lining this time, from my standpoint, is that this pattern didn't coincide with peak summer heating. Hot is tough. Dry is depressing. Hot and Dry is hell.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7433
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

I don't see any rain at all on the 18z models, except near the coast, until mid-October.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4375
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Mon Sep 29, 2025 7:47 am The Euro looks wet begging in 10ish days. GFS, dry through the entire run.
I would like to see a consensus on forecast models.
Pas_Bon
Posts: 915
Joined: Tue Sep 11, 2018 7:58 am
Location: League City, TX
Contact:

Welp…..GFS has 100’s in College Station (mid-90’s in Galveston County) in mid-October. If that, indeed, pans out….. Looks like Mother Nature wants to repay us for the milder high temps this Summer. I can’t stand this climate.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7433
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Bleak.

90°F+ until sometime in mid-October

Euro - no relief in sight

CMC - FROPA around the 10th or 11th

GFS -FROPA around the 16th + an ECAP storm spreading moisture.

For the next 10-14 days more Fall Big Suck like last year.
User avatar
Rip76
Posts: 2073
Joined: Mon Feb 15, 2010 12:38 am
Location: The Woodlands
Contact:

This is so depressing.
Stratton20
Posts: 5505
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

So pretty much the average texas weather in october, not surprised anymore
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7433
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Rip76 wrote: Tue Sep 30, 2025 1:27 pm This is so depressing.
KBTX Weather forecast: "More of the Same."

That says it all.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4375
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

DoctorMu wrote: Tue Sep 30, 2025 12:20 pm Bleak.

90°F+ until sometime in mid-October

Euro - no relief in sight

CMC - FROPA around the 10th or 11th

GFS -FROPA around the 16th + an ECAP storm spreading moisture.

For the next 10-14 days more Fall Big Suck like last year.
Yuck! :evil:
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 6519
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

Today and this week's forecast
Attachments
small5.png
small5.png (240.58 KiB) Viewed 3145 times
small3-1.png
small3-1.png (254.38 KiB) Viewed 3145 times
small2-1.png
small2-1.png (407.1 KiB) Viewed 3145 times
Cromagnum
Posts: 2978
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Location: Georgetown
Contact:

These 7-8 month summers are getting real damn old. We get maybe 3-4 months of fallnterspring around mid November before its hot and dry again starting in April.
Pas_Bon
Posts: 915
Joined: Tue Sep 11, 2018 7:58 am
Location: League City, TX
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote: Wed Oct 01, 2025 11:01 am These 7-8 month summers are getting real damn old. We get maybe 3-4 months of fallnterspring around mid November before its hot and dry again starting in April.
Agreed. I’m moving once my daughter graduates high school. I need to be somewhere with seasons.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7433
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

I was thinking about retiring in 10 years, but it may be closer to 5. I enjoy what we're doing, but the weather/climate change is breaking my will.

So...North Carolina or Colorado - whichever we can afford! I'm thinking about near Elon - halfway between the mountains and coast.

I remember way back in 1987, just before I met my wife, I took a trip to San Antonio and the Hill Country about October 8th or 9th to visit my brother and family. An actual cold front passed through. After the rain there were brilliant blue skies with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. Just beautiful conditions. I actually thought at the time that this was a common occurrence in Texas during Fall. Dumb me, but it was before the internet. :lol:

Back in the 1990s in College Station we had a couple of frosts around Halloween. October and even September featured a lot of rain. The ground at A&M was usually muddy from late September through the end of May. No mas.



Now we have endless summer, but not the Beach Boys kind. :lol: :cry:

We're a semi-arid desert with occasional floods.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4375
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

DoctorMu wrote: Wed Oct 01, 2025 5:17 pm I was thinking about retiring in 10 years, but it may be closer to 5. I enjoy what we're doing, but the weather/climate change is breaking my will.

So...North Carolina or Colorado - whichever we can afford! I'm thinking about near Elon - halfway between the mountains and coast.

I remember way back in 1987, just before I met my wife, I took a trip to San Antonio and the Hill Country about October 8th or 9th to visit my brother and family. An actual cold front passed through. After the rain there were brilliant blue skies with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. Just beautiful conditions. I actually thought at the time that this was a common occurrence in Texas during Fall. Dumb me, but it was before the internet. :lol:

Back in the 1990s in College Station we had a couple of frosts around Halloween. October and even September featured a lot of rain. The ground at A&M was usually muddy from late September through the end of May. No mas.



Now we have endless summer, but not the Beach Boys kind. :lol: :cry:

We're a semi-arid desert with occasional floods.
There was a freeze in Halloween 1993. There have been cold blasts before December in the early 1990s. November 1991 comes to mind, along with October 1993.
JDsGN
Posts: 169
Joined: Tue May 23, 2017 10:25 pm
Location: Cypress TX
Contact:

Mid to late October used to be the best time of the year. My birthday is the 23rd and i can remember quite a few beautiful cool birthdays growing up in the late 80s/90s but always watching the forecast because it always seemed to rain on or around my birthday. Same with the Wings over Houston Airshow. There were a few warm ones but nothing like it has been the past decade.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7433
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Ptarmigan wrote: Wed Oct 01, 2025 9:36 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Wed Oct 01, 2025 5:17 pm I was thinking about retiring in 10 years, but it may be closer to 5. I enjoy what we're doing, but the weather/climate change is breaking my will.

So...North Carolina or Colorado - whichever we can afford! I'm thinking about near Elon - halfway between the mountains and coast.

I remember way back in 1987, just before I met my wife, I took a trip to San Antonio and the Hill Country about October 8th or 9th to visit my brother and family. An actual cold front passed through. After the rain there were brilliant blue skies with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. Just beautiful conditions. I actually thought at the time that this was a common occurrence in Texas during Fall. Dumb me, but it was before the internet. :lol:

Back in the 1990s in College Station we had a couple of frosts around Halloween. October and even September featured a lot of rain. The ground at A&M was usually muddy from late September through the end of May. No mas.



Now we have endless summer, but not the Beach Boys kind. :lol: :cry:

We're a semi-arid desert with occasional floods.
There was a freeze in Halloween 1993. There have been cold blasts before December in the early 1990s. November 1991 comes to mind, along with October 1993.
I remember the 1993 freeze well. Good times! That clean fresh Canadian air. Crystalline blue sky.
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 180 guests