December 2025

[tireman4]

What shall it be? Cold? Warm? Rainy?

[tireman4]

A long range forecaster I admire much posted this...

[Stratton20]

Thanksgiving- all of december looks to be pretty cold for a large chunk of the US

[Ptarmigan]

Let's hope for a cold December.

[Stratton20]

Late November- all of december looks to be cold for the central and eastern US, things could get interesting in Texas during that time frame

[Ptarmigan]

Late November- all of december looks to be cold for the central and eastern US, things could get interesting in Texas during that time frame

A cold December would be nice, especially for Christmas.

[Stratton20]

Ptarmigan it only seems right! Cold and Christmas go together!

[tireman4]

Interesting...

[tireman4]

Long Range

[Cpv17]

Long Range

That’s a pretty strong signal for an ensemble mean 384 hours out.

[biggerbyte]

Folks, there is a lot of hype all over the internet about this "polar vortex". Of course, weather is always subject to change, but at this juncture the super cold and snow will stay points well north and northeast of our area. I totally agree with David Paul where there is no hype, just facts. There is plenty of time to watch it. I have seen time and again that frigid temps sag south in spite of everything.

[Stratton20]

No, in. this pattern when you have the EPO/ WPO severely tanking, cold air is going to overwhelm the pattern, meaning even down here in se texas its going to get cold, its just a question of how cold,

[tireman4]

Folks, there is a lot of hype all over the internet about this "polar vortex". Of course, weather is always subject to change, but at this juncture the super cold and snow will stay points well north and northeast of our area. I totally agree with David Paul where there is no hype, just facts. There is plenty of time to watch it. I have seen time and again that frigid temps sag south in spite of everything.

Fair points that you have made. I am just posting them. It is much too early for my interpretation.

[Stratton20]

I suspect this SSWE which to me at this point looks very likely to happen, its causing complete havoc with the models and ensembles, wont be surprised when the dam bursts completely, ive seen this scenario so many times with models

[DoctorMu]

Folks, there is a lot of hype all over the internet about this "polar vortex". Of course, weather is always subject to change, but at this juncture the super cold and snow will stay points well north and northeast of our area. I totally agree with David Paul where there is no hype, just facts. There is plenty of time to watch it. I have seen time and again that frigid temps sag south in spite of everything.

We've seen the polar air overperform again and again. We'll see.

[Stratton20]

I strongly suspect models are too bullish with establishing a zonal flow pattern after our early december front, one thing that is been overlooked is that we have a + TNH developing, already the AIFS/ CMC parallel and even the Euro are starting to reflect these changes, should see a brief warm up, but then i think it turns colder again as you arent going to have a zonal flow pattern across the US with a +TNH developing, also MJO goes strongly into phase 8, another thing that strongly suggests colder weather returns sooner rather than later