February 2026

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 it would be better if it was about 30-40 degrees colder lol

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 it would be better if it was about 30-40 degrees colder lol

Lol nah bro, I’ll take my 70’s and 80’s. You can have that cold stuff all you want. That stuff stings my skin and hurts me lol I’m good on that! Unless we’re talking historic cold or a sleet or snowstorm then I’ll pass.

[DoctorMu]

The tradeoff is potential severe weather...as severe weather season migrates toward earlier and farther south.

Only a slight risk, but there nonethless. Probably multiple broken lines of rain, getting stronger as they move toward LA, MS at night. Get used to this scenario.

[DoctorMu]

80 degrees here , i cant even begin to describe how awful it feels outside.

The temp is fine, it’s just the humidity.

Right. Lower DP and better weather over the next 10 days in Gainesville, FL. 70s during the day, upper 40s and low 50s during the day. That's the ticket.

To reiterate, we've become a humid desert in the Brazos Valley with occasional floods.

Re: Cold. Layers and keep moving. I acclimate within a few days. No problem.

There is no acclimating for 85°F-100°F+ and humid, besides staying indoors. There are too many days here with DPs > 60°F. Summers (including what used to be Fall) keep getting longer and longer.

[Cpv17]

HRRR looks like crap for my area tomorrow… next!

[jasons2k]

In the wintertime, we’ll occasionally have visitors at the corporate office from northern locales.

When they come here, 9/10 you’d think they had landed in Naples, compared to home.

Not once have I ever heard one of them say “I wish I was back home where they had a low of 12 degrees this morning”

Not one time ever. Just sayin

[tireman4]

Today

[Cpv17]

Ok HRRR, I’m liking what I’m seeing now lol nice change from last night.

[tireman4]

Jeff Lindner on Facebook

2-14-26 1035am

Severe risk remains in play for late this afternoon and evening with a few instances of damaging winds, large hail, and isolated tornadoes all possible.

Main timing for a line of thunderstorms will be from 500pm-1100pm with the Houston metro area most likely impacted between 600pm-900pm.

Showers and thunderstorms will begin to increase in coverage and intensity through the mid to late afternoon hours ahead of the main line.

[jasons2k]

Mesoscale Discussion 0075
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0205 PM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

Areas affected...Parts of east TX into western LA

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 142005Z - 142230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...The severe threat is expected to gradually increase through the afternoon. Watch issuance may eventually be needed, though timing is uncertain.

DISCUSSION...A loosely organized QLCS has developed across parts of north-central TX early this afternoon, with occasional weak low-level rotation noted along the leading edge of the line. Weak buoyancy and poor low-level lapse rates have likely limited the severe threat thus far across north TX, while a persistent capping inversion (noted on the 18Z CRP/LCH soundings and a special College Station sounding) has inhibited development of deep convection farther south into central TX. However, increasing ascent associated with an approaching mid/upper shortwave trough and filtered diurnal heating are expected to weaken the cap and gradually increase warm-sector buoyancy with time. An increase in storm coverage and organization is still expected by late afternoon along the composite outflow/cold front, as convection approaches east TX.

Area VWPs generally depict gradually strengthening low-level flow and enlarging hodographs, and this trend is expected to continue as low-level mass response increases and a surface low begins to consolidate and deepen near the ArkLaTex by late afternoon/early evening. The strengthening ascent and effective SRH may result in development of a more organized QLCS across parts of east/southeast TX by late afternoon. While questions remain regarding the impact of poor low-level lapse rates (as noted on the 18Z SHV sounding) on the north and east extent of the severe threat, gradually increasing damaging-wind and line-embedded tornado potential may necessitate watch issuance by mid to late afternoon.

..Dean/Gleason.. 02/14/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

[DoctorMu]

In the wintertime, we’ll occasionally have visitors at the corporate office from northern locales.

When they come here, 9/10 you’d think they had landed in Naples, compared to home.

Not once have I ever heard one of them say “I wish I was back home where they had a low of 12 degrees this morning”

Not one time ever. Just sayin

When we head up to NC in the Spring, Fall or Minnesota in March - October, there's never a time where I say I'd like to be back in 100°F soaking wet from sweat.

[DoctorMu]

Jeff Lindner on Facebook

2-14-26 1035am

Severe risk remains in play for late this afternoon and evening with a few instances of damaging winds, large hail, and isolated tornadoes all possible.

Main timing for a line of thunderstorms will be from 500pm-1100pm with the Houston metro area most likely impacted between 600pm-900pm.

Showers and thunderstorms will begin to increase in coverage and intensity through the mid to late afternoon hours ahead of the main line.

There's definitely some shear up there. I've seen a lot worse, but isolated cells like the one N of San Antonio...



https://radar.weather.gov/station/kgrk/standard

[DoctorMu]

Welp. FROPA blasted through and here's your flood. lol 2 inch/hour stuff, currently.

Ya'll need to watch those cells developing south of S.A., just in case.

[Brazoriatx979]

Tornado watch just issued

[Cpv17]

Tornado watch just issued

I can see Stratton already hiding in the bathtub with a mattress over his head lol

[tireman4]

Tornado Watch