February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion

[Mr. T]

Mr T do you think any of that will advance towards the Houston area? Or will the moisture be just rain and then it dries out?

The rain will be out of here before it gets cold enough to do anything. Maybe a different story for northern counties.

Severe thunderstorm warning for College Station...

447 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
BRAZOS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
BURLESON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHERN HOUSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN WALKER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 530 AM CST

* AT 440 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM MIDWAY TO CALDWELL. THIS LINE OF
STORMS WILL PRODUCE WIND GUST OVER 50 MPH. COLLEGE STATION REPORTED
A WIND GUST OF 55 MPH EARLIER THIS MORNING. THE STORMS ARE MOVING
EAST NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO AUSTONIO...MADISONVILLE...CROCKETT...COLLEGE STATION AND
CALDWELL.

[Mr. T]

DFW airport down to 27 with thunder snow and sleet. Possible near blizzard conditions with NW winds at 39 and gusts near 50...

[Mr. T]

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
AUSTIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN BRAZOS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN BURLESON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHERN COLORADO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHERN HOUSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN SAN JACINTO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN TRINITY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WALKER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WALLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 545 AM CST

* AT 445 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WELLBORN TO SHELBY. THIS LINE OF
STORMS WAS MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. PEA SIZE HAIL WAS
REPORTED IN WASHINGTON COUNTY EARLIER THIS MORNING BUT THE PRIMARY
SEVERE WEATHER HAZARD WILL BE STRONG DAMAGING WINDS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO LAKE SOMERVILLE DAM...HUNTSVILLE STATE PARK...TRINITY...
SEALY...PRAIRIE VIEW...PINEHURST...NEW WAVERLY...NAVASOTA...
MAGNOLIA...HUNTSVILLE...HEMPSTEAD...EAGLE LAKE...COLUMBUS...
BROOKSHIRE...BRENHAM AND BELLVILLE.

[Mr. T]

Light snowfall accumulations mentioned:

Thursday Night...Cloudy. A 50 percent chance of snow...rain and sleet in the evening...then a 50 percent chance of snow after midnight. Light snow accumulations. Lows in the mid 20s.

Friday...Cloudy. Snow likely in the morning...then a chance of snow in the afternoon. Light snow accumulations. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent in the morning decreasing to 30 percent in the afternoon.

Friday Night...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of snow in the evening. Lows in the mid 20s.

[Mr. T]

Blizzard or near blizzard conditions across northern areas of Dallas currently. Check out the obs...

http://forecast.weather.gov/obslocal.ph ... fset=21600

Blowing snow in Ft Worth


Temp has dropped from 66 to 40 at CLL in an hour

[ejburas]

Hmm, HGX is taking their sweet time getting the discussion out this morning. Gee, I wonder why, lol.

[Mr. T]

HGX going with wind chills as low as 4 to 14 across Harris County and approaching 1 below zero around College Station through wednesday morning...

Noticed CLL had a wind gust to 56 mph as the line of storms moved through

Look at this for College Station:

Tonight...Partly cloudy. Breezy. Much colder. Lows around 16. North winds 15 to 25 mph. Wind chill readings 1 below to 9 above zero.

Wednesday...Partly cloudy. Colder. Highs in the lower 30s. North winds 15 to 20 mph. Lowest wind chill readings 1 below to 9 above zero in the morning

[ejburas]

New discussion out from HGX, but it's only the aviation discussin. It does mention needing de-icers on Thurs night and Fri...

[djjordan]

Good Morning ..... Cold Front is about to roll through ....Get ready for a rude awakening ....and a wild weather week.




BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
529 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN AUSTIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
COLORADO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WESTERN FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHERN WALLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WHARTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 630 AM CST

* AT 524 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BELLVILLE TO 30 MILES WEST OF EL
CAMPO...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
BELLVILLE TO 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF EDNA...AND MOVING EAST AT 35
MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO PIERCE...WHARTON...WALLIS...SIMONTON...SEALY...EAST
BERNARD...EAGLE LAKE...COLUMBUS...BROOKSHIRE AND BOLING-IAGO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS MAY KNOCK DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OR DAMAGE
BUILDINGS. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 2934 9659 2947 9670 2987 9645 3008 9595
2966 9580 2922 9591 2913 9684
TIME...MOT...LOC 1129Z 257DEG 30KT 2981 9632 2922 9672

$$

[wxman666]

New discussion out from HGX, but it's only the aviation discussin. It does mention needing de-icers on Thurs night and Fri...

Betting they have their hands full issuing warnings. Surprising SPC hasn't said a word.

[cristina99]

Good morning! this is just wicked. Just wow. What are the chances the temps could go lower than the meterologists on tv are saying? I saw a posting about the HGX forecasting a higher percentage for snow - for what area? I think the poster was from Kingwood. I wish we could get some decent snow - that would stick. Amarillo 3 degrees - WOW!

[Mr. T]

I saw a posting about the HGX forecasting a higher percentage for snow - for what area?

For all of Houston

[djjordan]

I do believe most temps are running a bit too warm and the need to undercut those temps are going to happen as we go through the day. Temps have been lower than forecast so far with the passage of this front in many locations in Texas. This is going to be brutal cold for us here in SE Texas.

[wxman57]

The one thing that could save us (my orange trees) temperature-wise is a post-frontal cloud deck. But even with clouds, there's such strong cold advection that we could reach the low-mid 20s. I hate cold. This is gonna hurt...

[Mr. T]

Severe thunderstorm warning for Houston... Arctic front says hey what's up

550 AM CST TUE FEB 1 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WESTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN HOUSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
POLK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SAN JACINTO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
TRINITY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WALKER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
EASTERN WALLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
EASTERN WHARTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 630 AM CST

* AT 544 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM TRINITY TO SEALY. THE LINE WAS
MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS A HISTORY
OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE AND SMALL HAIL. WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND
70 MPH WERE REPORTED IN WASHINGTON...BRAZOS AND HOUSTON COUNTY
EARLIER THIS MORNING.

* LOCATIONS IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO SPLASHTOWN...SEBASTOPOL...LAKE LIVINGSTON STATE PARK...
HUNTSVILLE STATE PARK...HOOKS AIRPORT...THE GALLERIA...
BUSH-INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT...APPLE SPRINGS...ALABAMA-COUSHATTA
RESERVATION...WOODBRANCH...WILLIS...WALLER...TRINITY...TOWN WEST...
TOMBALL...THE WOODLANDS...SUGAR LAND...STAFFORD...SPRING VALLEY...
SPRING...SPLENDORA...SHEPHERD...SHENANDOAH...ROSENBERG...ROMAN
FOREST...RICHMOND...PORTER HEIGHTS...PLEAK...PINEY POINT VILLAGE...
PECAN GROVE...PATTON VILLAGE...PANORAMA VILLAGE...ONALASKA...OAK
RIDGE NORTH...NEW WAVERLY...NEEDVILLE...MISSION BEND...MEADOWS...
LIVINGSTON...KINGWOOD...KATY...JERSEY VILLAGE...HUNTSVILLE...
HUNTERS CREEK VILLAGE...HUMBLE...HEDWIG VILLAGE...GROVETON...FIRST
COLONY...CUT AND SHOOT...CORRIGAN...CONROE...BUNKER HILL VILLAGE...
BELLAIRE AND ALDINE.



Here it comes, folks

[jabcwb2]

5 minutes ago is was warm out and a just the slightest breeze. Now pounding rain! I just looked at ch 11's radar...it wasn't even here yet!

[Katdaddy]

Now I am really getting amped up on the potential snow for Thursday night and Friday. 60% is getting up there for N Galveston County. Tireman you may have been on to something yesterday. 2 days out from the event and looking better.

[unome]

wow - front is blowing through Cypress, blew the chairs off our patio - wrap up those kids good today !

[PaulEInHouston]

Morning all...gotta love it for those that love the cold and what's to come.

Radar is tracking a few cells with hail signatures it appears...wouldn't be surprised to see some local reports of pea/dime sized hail with this line that's approaching quickly. http://wx.apxsolutionsinc.com/wxradarbaseref.php

[Mr. T]

A humid 70 at IAH. 22 with blowing snow at DFW.