sambucol wrote:Ed Mahmoud wrote:
How do abnormally dry Winters/Springs correspond to SETX TC activity the following season?
I have a feeling I know the answer...
Inquiring minds want to know.
Statistical analysis with Winter, Spring, and Winter and Spring rainfall totals and tropical cyclones from 1895 to 2010.
Winter (December to February) Rainfall Total
r = .04
p-value = 0.67
A somewhat wetter winter is favorable for tropical cyclone landfall for Upper Texas Coast.
Spring (March to May) Rainfall Total
r = -.04
p-value = 0.65
A somewhat drier spring is favorable for tropical cyclone landfall for Upper Texas Coast.
Winter and Spring Rainfall Total
r = -.01
p-value = 0.93
A somewhat drier winter and spring rainfall total is favorable for tropical cyclone landfall for Upper Texas Coast.
Overall, no correlation between winter, spring, and winter and spring rainfall total. It can go either way. The correlation and p-value are not significant.